2016 has been a year many will quickly forget, but for the shock results of the Brexit vote and the US elections; it was a year where many cans were kicked down the road.
Global growth remained benign and potential silver-linings have yet to gain material traction because of lingering uncertainties such as the future US foreign policy, the tensions in South East Asia, lingering debt problems i... ››› more
Happy new year everyone, I hope you all had a good break and did tons of holiday shopping for your friends and family!
Why? Because yesterday marked the beginning of the retail reporting season. And, in the next couple of weeks we're going to see just how much South African's spent at the shops in December.
There is no doubt the market is expecting a super tough Xmas period for the beleag... ››› more
As I predicted last year, 2016 was a year of consolidation. Our market went nowhere. But shares are much cheaper today than they were a year ago.
And that makes me optimistic about 2017.
But there's one industry in particular that I've got my eyes on.
It was arguably the worst sector for 2016.
One of the worst droughts in decades hit South Africa. Farmers lost crop... ››› more
No one can accurately predict where the markets will go in 2017.
The fact is, the markets become volatile in times of uncertainty.
And when the markets become volatile, there's a good chance your investments could decrease in value. This is simply known as market risk.
The main causes of market risk are recessions, political turmoil, natural disasters and terrorist attacks. Or even sm... ››› more
AVI is a South African based company, listed on the JSE in the Food Products sector, and is centered on the FMCG market.
AVI's extensive brand portfolio includes more than 50 brands. The Group comprises of trading subsidiaries that manufacture, process, market & distribute branded consumer products.
AVI brands span across a range of categories including: hot beverages, sweet and savory bis... ››› more
I call it platinum fatigue…
Eight years ago, platinum hit $2,200/ounce.
It subsequently crashed to $800, recovered to $1,500 and dropped back to $800 again in 2016.
Everyone's basically given up on platinum, there's just been too much drama for the metal…
Did you even notice that platinum is up $100 since December 2017?
On 26 December 2016, Platinum was at $894 per oun... ››› more
Since 28 December 2016, the JSE has rallied around 6%.
Some investors or analysts will say it's just erased the losses from last year.
But many will say the strong rally will continue delivering even more returns.
Whether or not that's true, it would be no surprise to now see investors pile money into the stock market.
And if you're one of those investors, that have been waiting pa... ››› more
Please don't let your portfolio fall because of this single mistake…
In 2014, I got a mail from an investor:
I'm not investing in a single investment recommendation of yours again. I've bought Mr Price shares with my whole portfolio. And at the rate it's going now, I'll retire in a few short years.
I bought Mr Price at R136 in February, and now that it's August, the sha... ››› more
The JSE Top 40 closed the week down 1,5%.
Higher commodity prices; Gold, Silver and Brent Oil were up more than 2%, while Platinum managed 1,6%. These were not enough to save the Resources Index (down 3%) from a stronger Rand. Industrials and Financials were also softer.
Anglogold up 9,3% and Harmony 9,5% responding to a firmer Gold Price (up 2,5%).
PSG rallied 6%, see comment below. ... ››› more
When I began investing, I used to buy and sell shares without even knowing exactly what the company did.
And my game plan couldn't have been more straightforward: If the share was moving higher, I bought it. If the share was falling, I sold it. I simply didn't care about the economics of a company.
This wasn't much of a strategy though. In some cases, it would work but it certainly never g... ››› more
Consolidated Infrastructure Limited (JSE:CIL) is one of those buy and hold for a decade shares.
The company had a mere R8.32 in net assets in 2011. Today they stand at R21.62 - nearly 200% growth.
CIL also grew revenues from R1.4 billion in 2011, to R4.5 billion in 2016. That's a whopping 221% revenue growth.
And it's profit growth has been just as remarkable as it rode the wave of exp... ››› more
These days, investing for attractive income returns is extremely hard to come by.
Money market funds at most pay you 7.3%.
The average share on the JSE is only paying investors around 2.9% in dividends per year.
And once you factor in inflation, you're basically getting nothing!
But there is a way, you can invest for income and receive a return…
That beats every money market ... ››› more
Where is, the Rand going?
The biggest surprise last week came from the Rand which strengthened another 2,3% against the US Dollar and 3% to the Pound. This put Rand hedge stocks under pressure and the Resources Index fell 2,7%. The JSE Top 40 index was down 1,5%.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1,8% and the S&P500 1,5%, touching new highs. European markets were firmer but m... ››› more
As an advisor to the South African Investor board I deal with investors that are looking for long term returns that'll help them live, and retire securely.
That means we typically look at companies like Vodacom, Naspers, Bidvest and the like.
Large blue-chip shares that have been around for years, and will continue to be there for years to come.
Recommending these large companies is th... ››› more
What do you believe an investor's greatest asset is?
A high IQ?
A stack of degrees behind their name?
A workable investment strategy?
Not at all.
In fact, the answer has nothing to do with money or personal success.
But it's something every potential investor can achieve.
Let me explain…
The world’s most famous investor confirms this... ››› more
Disclaimer Note that FSP Invest, a division of Fleet Street Publications (Pty) Ltd, is a research house and not a registered broker, financial advisor or financial service provider. Our editors and customer services teams also do not give personal investment advice. The advice in this website is general advice only and may not be appropriate to your particular investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, so before investing or if in any doubt about your personal situation, you should seek professional advice from a stockbroker or independent financial adviser authorised by the Financial Services Board.
We research our recommendations and articles thoroughly, but disclaim all liability for any inaccuracies or omissions found in this publication.
Remember: Never invest more than you can afford to spare and that the value of any investment, and the income derived from it, can go down as well as up. The past is not necessarily a guide to future performance.
Editors or contributors may have an interest in investments commented on in this newsletter. However they have signed restraints to prevent the abuse of their position as contributors to this publication.