The Rand strengthened 3.3% last week on a weaker US Dollar, higher appetite for risk assets and a court ruling indicating President Zuma could face corruption charges - that were previously withdrawn.
Support for Cyril Ramaphosa as the ANC's next leader is growing. A Bloomberg survey of 26 political analysts has 16 of them expecting Ramaphosa to pip Dlamini-Zuma - with which we concur. A Ramph... ››› more
The Top40 index is up 15.5% year to date, which is a result of Naspers and Richemont. In fact, if you strip out NPN and CFR, the Top40 index would be down 0.50%.
We've had a buy on both shares this year, and remain invested.
Global markets are working in tandem and hitting record highs, this week we have Federal Open Market Committee minutes and Mario Draghi, all eyes are on any indication... ››› more
March 2009 - that was the first time I ever bought a share…
It was Old Mutual. And while Old Mutual was a massive company, the 2008 financial crisis decimated it, and the share became a ‘penny stock'.
I bought my first shares in the company for 603c, with the money I made from vacation work as a student at the mine I had a bursary with. I bought 990 shares with around R6,000.
By No... ››› more
PSG has pulled back to a good buying level around the R235 mark. We've been trading the R230/R270 range this year very well.
When you buy PSG you get exposure to a number of companies, like Capitec, now one of South Africa's “big 5” and growing by over 100,000 clients per month.
Through PSG, you also gain exposure to Curro and Studio, which has been unbundled from Curro and starts tradin... ››› more
Industrials down 3%
Industrials took the brunt of weaker markets last week as concerns regarding the economic outlook post US elections weighed on sentiment. Woolies was down 6,3% and several other industrial shares fell by approximately 4%.
Naspers down 7,9%
Rand strength and weakness in social media stocks put pressure on Naspers. Facebook was down 8,6% while Groupon fell 19%. Some anal... ››› more
The producer price index, non-farm payrolls, new housing starts, gross domestic product….
The list of economic indicators released monthly is massive.
The South African Reserve Bank alone releases a four-page report with more than 110 different economic indicators each month. That's not even considering international indicators.
So, which of these indicators should you keep an eye on, a... ››› more
2016 has been a year many will quickly forget, but for the shock results of the Brexit vote and the US elections; it was a year where many cans were kicked down the road.
Global growth remained benign and potential silver-linings have yet to gain material traction because of lingering uncertainties such as the future US foreign policy, the tensions in South East Asia, lingering debt problems i... ››› more
Happy new year everyone, I hope you all had a good break and did tons of holiday shopping for your friends and family!
Why? Because yesterday marked the beginning of the retail reporting season. And, in the next couple of weeks we're going to see just how much South African's spent at the shops in December.
There is no doubt the market is expecting a super tough Xmas period for the beleag... ››› more
As I predicted last year, 2016 was a year of consolidation. Our market went nowhere. But shares are much cheaper today than they were a year ago.
And that makes me optimistic about 2017.
But there's one industry in particular that I've got my eyes on.
It was arguably the worst sector for 2016.
One of the worst droughts in decades hit South Africa. Farmers lost crop... ››› more
AVI is a South African based company, listed on the JSE in the Food Products sector, and is centered on the FMCG market.
AVI's extensive brand portfolio includes more than 50 brands. The Group comprises of trading subsidiaries that manufacture, process, market & distribute branded consumer products.
AVI brands span across a range of categories including: hot beverages, sweet and savory bis... ››› more
The JSE Top 40 closed the week down 1,5%.
Higher commodity prices; Gold, Silver and Brent Oil were up more than 2%, while Platinum managed 1,6%. These were not enough to save the Resources Index (down 3%) from a stronger Rand. Industrials and Financials were also softer.
Anglogold up 9,3% and Harmony 9,5% responding to a firmer Gold Price (up 2,5%).
PSG rallied 6%, see comment below. ... ››› more
Where is, the Rand going?
The biggest surprise last week came from the Rand which strengthened another 2,3% against the US Dollar and 3% to the Pound. This put Rand hedge stocks under pressure and the Resources Index fell 2,7%. The JSE Top 40 index was down 1,5%.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1,8% and the S&P500 1,5%, touching new highs. European markets were firmer but m... ››› more
“The JSE is too expensive, rather buy these offshore stocks”, if read this headline, and variations of it many times in the past year.
Yet, my Red Hot Penny Shares readers would've banked an average gain on shares we sold of 22.21% in 2016.
Whilst there are still calls to drop the JSE and put your money elsewhere I am optimistic.
I believe 2017 can be just as good, or better, than ... ››› more
Commodities take a step lower
Brent oil led the commodity basket lower last week, losing 8,1%; Platinum and Gold were down 5,7% and 2,4% respectively.
Although the Rand softened, the pressure was too much for the JSE All Share Index which fell 0,8%. Resources fell 5,5%, but the rest of the sectors held up well.
International indices were slightly softer across most time zone... ››› more
“Triple Witching” refers to the combined expiration of the Index futures, Index options and stock options. In the UK and US this happens on Friday's, but in SA it happens a day earlier on Thursday. The event typically creates increased market activity and in some cases volatility.
Global markets were relatively subdued for last week's expiry, the US, UK and European majors were firmer by b... ››› more
Buying a house, renovating and then selling it (called "buy to flip") can be one of the most rewarding investments for property investors…
You buy an old home for say R1 million, spend R250,000 on renovations and then sell it for R1.6 million or more.
Most investors believe the biggest secret behind a buy to flip is getting the best deal on materials for your renovation.
That's the b... ››› more
The news yesterday that several ministers have been recalled to SA has created some consternation; the Rand jolted back 3%. There is speculation of a cabinet reshuffle and/or further legal developments relating to the impasse between Treasury, Banks, and the Gupta's…...
The new Mining Charter is expected to be released this week. And the market is bracing itself for new challenges. This just... ››› more
Admittedly, I expected more movement in the Rand once the cabinet reshuffle was announced. We have a saying that “the Market always knows” which seems to apply in this case.
When Mr. Nene was removed, the Rand fell 8,5% within the first few days and then extended those losses by another 10% a few weeks later. By comparison the Rand has loss only 7% so far, perhaps the Market knew that SA I... ››› more
A week of heightened protests has ended and the ANC Cadre are holding the fort, for now. Their confidence masks the growing dissension from all sides, including members of its own party, eventually pressure will come to bear.
Fitch followed S&P in downgrading SA, but again the reaction was relatively muted. Clearly the market had been preparing for this eventuality. Of more concern is that som... ››› more
Global markets are watching developments around the French elections for direction. Once again, a far-right candidate, with radical views is the underdog and has the potential to create a shock to the status quo.
Emmanuel Marcon is leading Marine Le Pen after the first round, both candidates have offered to hold referendums on remaining part of the European Union.
The US earnings season k... ››› more
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