For the last four years, this index has been sitting in my “TBTT” (Too Boring To Trade) list.
It's done absolutely nothing but consolidate in a sideways trend since 2014.
Until last month… where it broke out of its chains and started an entirely new trend - up!
This is now one index that's no longer too boring to trade- I see some significant profit opportunities lining up.
... ››› more
On 13 August Wescoal, a small coal miner on the JSE, had sales equaling to 3.5 million shares for the day.
This is roughly equal to 18 times the average shares traded per day - for the last year!
Clearly there was major interest in the company…
And, considering that volume trade in the company is 30% higher since July than it has been for the past year you'd be right to guess there's so... ››› more
Take a look at this chart...
See the big fat flat red line – that means the JSE is going nowhere fast. There is no strong rise or fall. In fact, you might say its flat lining.
For a trader, we call this a sideways market and this is the perfect picture.
Above is the daily JSE All Share Top 40 Index chart since January 2018!
Anyone... ››› more
The JSE has remained buoyant after falling due to the ANC's EWC announcement last week. It's been range bound since breaking above its previous consolidation phase.
A rally into year-end is still on the cards thanks to several JSE heavy weights earning significant offshore revenue.
Stronger global growth and a rand that is facing headwinds into next year's elections should see earnings inc... ››› more
The JSE was one of the few markets that ended last week lower. The Rand strengthened on the back of China being more passive in the “Trade War”. Commodity prices also pulled back last week causing the resources sector to impact the market performance. We've given up all the recent gains and are back in buying territory.
SA equities are cheap when you compare the median P/E ratio of the All... ››› more
After a wild two weeks, the Top40 is quickly approaching a key resistance level as the US dollar softens. This is on the back of US Jobs data that signals the Fed will hike gradually and that “Trade War” fears have subsided.
This risk on sentiment has seen investors buying the dip and remaining bullish. Last night we had the Dow up almost 1% and the S&P up 0.70%. This will provide some sup... ››› more
Did you know in a 200-year period, nothing has come close to matching the long-term compounded returns of stocks?
In a study conducted by University of Pennsylvania finance professor, Jeremy Siegel,
showed that every $1 invested in:
• Treasury Bills, grew to $5,061
• Bonds were worth $18,235
• Gold rose to $32.84 204
And stocks returned a phenomenal $12.7 million.
But do... ››› more
Q1 GDP coming out at -2.2%, the worst since Q1 2009, reflects that the Ramaphoria optimism has not resulted in any tangible results and likely kept investors complacent.
The rand strength is hard to explain and perhaps it will weaken while investors and portfolio managers digest the impact of these GDP figures on their investments.
Look to pick up the quality rand hedges that have been sol... ››› more
Look at the graph below…
It may look like your typical graph of a company's share price, but it's not. And if it was, you'd better be worried.
But this graph actually depicts what a shrinking stock market looks like.
And right now, you need to know what it means and the investment approach you must take if you have any chance of making money from the JSE.
It... ››› more
These are the “widest discounts to sum of the parts I have tracked in many years; I see … excellent long term value here…”
These are the words from a fellow analyst regarding two specific JSE listed investment companies.
Following his statement, I had a deeper look at the two he refers to as well as other companies. And what I found is astounding.
Businesses are selling at 15%, ... ››› more
Turn on Bloomberg and all you'll see is red…
The Dow Jones Stock Exchange crashed over 1,000 points dropping 4.15% in a day.
The S&P tanked 100 points dropping 3.75% in a day. And the Nasdaq fell 275 points dropping 3.90% in a day.
Come back to our local stock market and you'll see a big market drop.
Should you start to panic with your investments or will this pass.
Today, I'll tell... ››› more
I can remember my honeymoon like yesterday.
We were crazy in love.
And for months afterward this euphoric phase continued.
I could make no mistake in her eyes, nor she in mine. Everything was perfect.
Then suddenly reality struck. Our first big fight after getting married.
And suddenly we realized being married is tough, and the good times go hand in hand with the tough ones…... ››› more
If you ask any trader how trading is going on the JSE, you'll hear the same thing.
“It's damn difficult.”
“The JSE can't decide on direction”
So whether you buy or sell, chances are you've got it wrong!
But if you know how to read a ‘Blue Diamond', you would know how to profit in this environment.
Let me show you what I mean…
I’m pr... ››› more
The JSE All-Share Index is just 10% off from its all-time high.
It's sitting around the highest PE level of all time for the index, at 23.24.
At the same time, US markets are at all-time highs, and interest rates are threatening to go up.
With this in mind, I was recently asked by an investor, whether the JSE is overvalued and set for a massive correction.
So, should you hold on or sel... ››› more
2016 has been a year many will quickly forget, but for the shock results of the Brexit vote and the US elections; it was a year where many cans were kicked down the road.
Global growth remained benign and potential silver-linings have yet to gain material traction because of lingering uncertainties such as the future US foreign policy, the tensions in South East Asia, lingering debt problems i... ››› more
Happy new year everyone, I hope you all had a good break and did tons of holiday shopping for your friends and family!
Why? Because yesterday marked the beginning of the retail reporting season. And, in the next couple of weeks we're going to see just how much South African's spent at the shops in December.
There is no doubt the market is expecting a super tough Xmas period for the beleag... ››› more
AVI is a South African based company, listed on the JSE in the Food Products sector, and is centered on the FMCG market.
AVI's extensive brand portfolio includes more than 50 brands. The Group comprises of trading subsidiaries that manufacture, process, market & distribute branded consumer products.
AVI brands span across a range of categories including: hot beverages, sweet and savory bis... ››› more
Over the past 10 years, the South African listed property sector has easily outperformed its peers.
Investors who've jumped on this rally early, would have made a fortune investing in JSE property companies.
But the smooth-sailing returns delivered by the commercial property market are coming to an end.
You see, listed property returns have halved for the last three years - 25.1% in 2... ››› more
The JSE Top 40 closed the week down 1,5%.
Higher commodity prices; Gold, Silver and Brent Oil were up more than 2%, while Platinum managed 1,6%. These were not enough to save the Resources Index (down 3%) from a stronger Rand. Industrials and Financials were also softer.
Anglogold up 9,3% and Harmony 9,5% responding to a firmer Gold Price (up 2,5%).
PSG rallied 6%, see comment below. ... ››› more
Consolidated Infrastructure Limited (JSE:CIL) is one of those buy and hold for a decade shares.
The company had a mere R8.32 in net assets in 2011. Today they stand at R21.62 - nearly 200% growth.
CIL also grew revenues from R1.4 billion in 2011, to R4.5 billion in 2016. That's a whopping 221% revenue growth.
And it's profit growth has been just as remarkable as it rode the wave of exp... ››› more
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