The JSE's rally from late June accounts for all the growth we've seen this year.
The bullish tone is threatening a break above the trading range which has confined the market for more than three years.
As in common at this stage, small caps and midcaps have lagged significantly and we expect them to play catch up.
Mid-caps to consider include: MicroMega, Santova, AdvTech and AECI.
**... ››› more
Last week's interest rate cut of 25 basis points (0.25%) has boosted retailers and shares with high debt levels. Improving sentiment and the prospect of a boost to economic growth provided support for the Rand.
Earning season is in full swing, as of Friday, 19% of the companies in the S&P 500 had reported results for Q2 2017 and 73% had beaten earnings and sales expectations.
In the we... ››› more
News flow seems to have subsided for now, markets continue to grind gradually higher. The JSE added 1% last week on the back of stronger commodity prices; Brent recovered 3,4% after trading softer for several weeks.
Internationally, markets continue in a holding pattern; testing new highs. Commodities are responding to a weaker dollar and US Markets stumbled for the second time on new challen... ››› more
Local markets were slightly firmer across the board last week, assisted by some Rand weakness and better commodity prices. US markets were slightly softer, the UK rallied 1,8% while Europe was flat.
US economic data did not meet expectations, which has called the pace of continued rate hikes into question. The US dollar gave up ground against most major currency pairs. Political uncertainty re... ››› more
I've been waiting for this for three years!
If you go look at the JSE All Share Top 40 Index, you'll see it's been going nowhere.
But us traders have been watching a very powerful indicator. This indicator shows us that momentum on the Index is picking up.
And finally, the buy signal has confirmed!
The JSE-ALSI has been lining up for a strong rally. In fact, I expect the JSE-ALSI will ... ››› more
The Foschini Group is down 10.54% in the last month, Mr Price 10.40%, Truworths 6.33%.
And Lewis crashed a whopping 16.70%.
If you're invested in retail, it's been a bad month for you.
But before you start buying into the sector because it ‘shows value' I want to warn you…
South African retail sales are dropping and you need to watch out for the fallout
In its m... ››› more
The news yesterday that several ministers have been recalled to SA has created some consternation; the Rand jolted back 3%. There is speculation of a cabinet reshuffle and/or further legal developments relating to the impasse between Treasury, Banks, and the Gupta's…...
The new Mining Charter is expected to be released this week. And the market is bracing itself for new challenges. This just... ››› more
For years we've been reading some ridiculous gold predictions from experts. And when I say experts, I'm talking about the TOP banking analysts around the world.
“Gold is going to $6,000 in the next three years” “You can expect the gold price to go up 15,000% from here”
At that time gold was trading at $1,719, when these predictions were made. And guess what? Today gold is trading at ... ››› more
“The JSE is too expensive, rather buy these offshore stocks”, if read this headline, and variations of it many times in the past year.
Yet, my Red Hot Penny Shares readers would've banked an average gain on shares we sold of 22.21% in 2016.
Whilst there are still calls to drop the JSE and put your money elsewhere I am optimistic.
I believe 2017 can be just as good, or better, than ... ››› more
The Budget was delivered without too much fuss. Everyone knew there would be a “Gap” and the balancing act was to find a suitable filler. The new tax bracket was a bit of a surprise, but the hiking of the marginal tax rate was expected. Never the less bracket creep was significant so everybody shoulders the burden.
In SA, the market fell 1%; Gold shares were under pressure as the Rand held ... ››› more
As an advisor to the South African Investor board I deal with investors that are looking for long term returns that'll help them live, and retire securely.
That means we typically look at companies like Vodacom, Naspers, Bidvest and the like.
Large blue-chip shares that have been around for years, and will continue to be there for years to come.
Recommending these large companies is th... ››› more
Consolidated Infrastructure Limited (JSE:CIL) is one of those buy and hold for a decade shares.
The company had a mere R8.32 in net assets in 2011. Today they stand at R21.62 - nearly 200% growth.
CIL also grew revenues from R1.4 billion in 2011, to R4.5 billion in 2016. That's a whopping 221% revenue growth.
And it's profit growth has been just as remarkable as it rode the wave of exp... ››› more
The state of our nation
A strong rally on Friday reversed losses on the JSE and helped the Top 40 close the week up 0,75%. Financials gained 2% while Industrials and Resources were marginally higher.
Markets continued to respond positively to the Trump administration's rhetoric, particularly regarding lower taxes. Data from China and Japan supported the market rally. The Nikkei rose 2,5% a... ››› more
The JSE Top 40 closed the week down 1,5%.
Higher commodity prices; Gold, Silver and Brent Oil were up more than 2%, while Platinum managed 1,6%. These were not enough to save the Resources Index (down 3%) from a stronger Rand. Industrials and Financials were also softer.
Anglogold up 9,3% and Harmony 9,5% responding to a firmer Gold Price (up 2,5%).
PSG rallied 6%, see comment below. ... ››› more
Over the past 10 years, the South African listed property sector has easily outperformed its peers.
Investors who've jumped on this rally early, would have made a fortune investing in JSE property companies.
But the smooth-sailing returns delivered by the commercial property market are coming to an end.
You see, listed property returns have halved for the last three years - 25.1% in 2... ››› more
AVI is a South African based company, listed on the JSE in the Food Products sector, and is centered on the FMCG market.
AVI's extensive brand portfolio includes more than 50 brands. The Group comprises of trading subsidiaries that manufacture, process, market & distribute branded consumer products.
AVI brands span across a range of categories including: hot beverages, sweet and savory bis... ››› more
Trump in the White House - America First!
As President Trump was being inaugurated the markets appeared to be waiting for direction. The JSE closed slightly lower, down 0,6% and the major developed markets were little changed if not slightly softer. Currency and Commodity also appear to be in a holding pattern.
Trump's speech was direct and unambiguous, watch-out as America puts its foot... ››› more
Last week, we discussed how through one simple switch we managed to save our clients a cumulative 71% in 2016.
But this year we're going to try and do it again. So let's compare the investment cases of The Foschini Group (TFG) and Woolworths (WHL).
These companies share similarities in that they're both involved in apparel retailing in South Africa but have very different strategies when i... ››› more
Happy new year everyone, I hope you all had a good break and did tons of holiday shopping for your friends and family!
Why? Because yesterday marked the beginning of the retail reporting season. And, in the next couple of weeks we're going to see just how much South African's spent at the shops in December.
There is no doubt the market is expecting a super tough Xmas period for the beleag... ››› more
2016 has been a year many will quickly forget, but for the shock results of the Brexit vote and the US elections; it was a year where many cans were kicked down the road.
Global growth remained benign and potential silver-linings have yet to gain material traction because of lingering uncertainties such as the future US foreign policy, the tensions in South East Asia, lingering debt problems i... ››› more
Disclaimer Note that FSP Invest, a division of Fleet Street Publications (Pty) Ltd, is a research house and not a registered broker, financial advisor or financial service provider. Our editors and customer services teams also do not give personal investment advice. The advice in this website is general advice only and may not be appropriate to your particular investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, so before investing or if in any doubt about your personal situation, you should seek professional advice from a stockbroker or independent financial adviser authorised by the Financial Services Board.
We research our recommendations and articles thoroughly, but disclaim all liability for any inaccuracies or omissions found in this publication.
Remember: Never invest more than you can afford to spare and that the value of any investment, and the income derived from it, can go down as well as up. The past is not necessarily a guide to future performance.
Editors or contributors may have an interest in investments commented on in this newsletter. However they have signed restraints to prevent the abuse of their position as contributors to this publication.