“Triple Witching” refers to the combined expiration of the Index futures, Index options and stock options. In the UK and US this happens on Friday's, but in SA it happens a day earlier on Thursday. The event typically creates increased market activity and in some cases volatility.
Global markets were relatively subdued for last week's expiry, the US, UK and European majors were firmer by b... ››› more
The biggest lie you'll ever hear in the stock market is that: “As a private investor you're not smart enough, and you lack the information to invest and make money on the stock market.”
It's a lie presented by fund managers, personal financial advisers and media analysts alike.
Obviously, they don't say it quite like this, but it's what they mean.
The essence behind their big lie i... ››› more
Imagine a country with massive amounts of natural resources.
The richest economy in its region.
However, there are signs of trouble, including rising inequality and societal unrest.
To combat this the government is turning to populism by taxing the rich, confiscating assets and dramatically increasing the redistribution of funds to the poor.
This is not South Africa in 2017 I am t... ››› more
“The JSE is too expensive, rather buy these offshore stocks”, if read this headline, and variations of it many times in the past year.
Yet, my Red Hot Penny Shares readers would've banked an average gain on shares we sold of 22.21% in 2016.
Whilst there are still calls to drop the JSE and put your money elsewhere I am optimistic.
I believe 2017 can be just as good, or better, than ... ››› more
The state of our nation
A strong rally on Friday reversed losses on the JSE and helped the Top 40 close the week up 0,75%. Financials gained 2% while Industrials and Resources were marginally higher.
Markets continued to respond positively to the Trump administration's rhetoric, particularly regarding lower taxes. Data from China and Japan supported the market rally. The Nikkei rose 2,5% a... ››› more
When I began investing, I used to buy and sell shares without even knowing exactly what the company did.
And my game plan couldn't have been more straightforward: If the share was moving higher, I bought it. If the share was falling, I sold it. I simply didn't care about the economics of a company.
This wasn't much of a strategy though. In some cases, it would work but it certainly never g... ››› more
The JSE Top 40 closed the week down 1,5%.
Higher commodity prices; Gold, Silver and Brent Oil were up more than 2%, while Platinum managed 1,6%. These were not enough to save the Resources Index (down 3%) from a stronger Rand. Industrials and Financials were also softer.
Anglogold up 9,3% and Harmony 9,5% responding to a firmer Gold Price (up 2,5%).
PSG rallied 6%, see comment below. ... ››› more
Last week's sentiment remained positive and markets continued their rally. President Trump's first days in office are being closely monitored and provide plenty for traders to digest.
The JSE Top 40 closed the week up 0,8%, but retreated slightly on Friday along with generally softer developed markets; for the year to date the JSE is up 7,7%.
Kumba rallied 27% after it provided a product... ››› more
Do you believe that January 2017 is almost over? It feels like yesterday we were celebrating the New Year to come.
And now, we're about to enter February! You know that feeling when you plan to do something and then you postpone it.
Well sometimes we need that kick in the butt to actually do it.
And that's why I am going to present the first Forex 101 Workshop 2017 early in February to g... ››› more
On 20 January 2017 Friday evening, Donald J Trump became the 45th president of the United States.
We saw the markets welcome the transition of power. But we also know the sentiment is fickle as weather.
In today's Trading Tips, and in honour of his inauguration, I want to look at three bearish (downside) trading set ups and one safe-haven gold trade.
These companies may ... ››› more
AVI is a South African based company, listed on the JSE in the Food Products sector, and is centered on the FMCG market.
AVI's extensive brand portfolio includes more than 50 brands. The Group comprises of trading subsidiaries that manufacture, process, market & distribute branded consumer products.
AVI brands span across a range of categories including: hot beverages, sweet and savory bis... ››› more
It's been a fascinating journey over the last few weeks.
You've seen why I enjoy trading these currency pairs the most:
Today, I'm going to reveal my fourth favourite currency pair.
Let's get to it…
Currency Pair #4: The Swiss Franc (USD/CHF)
The USD/CHF is an abbreviation for the U.S dollar against the Swiss Franc. This is the official legal t... ››› more
No one can accurately predict where the markets will go in 2017.
The fact is, the markets become volatile in times of uncertainty.
And when the markets become volatile, there's a good chance your investments could decrease in value. This is simply known as market risk.
The main causes of market risk are recessions, political turmoil, natural disasters and terrorist attacks. Or even sm... ››› more
Last week, we discussed how through one simple switch we managed to save our clients a cumulative 71% in 2016.
But this year we're going to try and do it again. So let's compare the investment cases of The Foschini Group (TFG) and Woolworths (WHL).
These companies share similarities in that they're both involved in apparel retailing in South Africa but have very different strategies when i... ››› more
The JSE was up 3,6% last week, adding to gains from the week before. The All Share index is now up 5% in two weeks, Resources 8,2%, Industrials 4,6% and Financials up 1,3%.
January is known to be a month with larger moves than normal, double digit figures are quite common. Watch out for the reversal in February. 2016 was a case in point…
Commodity Prices were firm with good gains from Pla... ››› more
Do you know the difference between minimum investing and low-cost investing?
Well, most investors would usually say they're the same thing. But this is far from the truth.
Low-cost investing deals with the investments associated with investing your money, while minimum investing implies the least amount of money you can invest.
In fact, failure to understand this can actually lead to... ››› more
Happy new year everyone, I hope you all had a good break and did tons of holiday shopping for your friends and family!
Why? Because yesterday marked the beginning of the retail reporting season. And, in the next couple of weeks we're going to see just how much South African's spent at the shops in December.
There is no doubt the market is expecting a super tough Xmas period for the beleag... ››› more
From 2013 to 2015, South Africa's listed property sector has achieved a 17% annual average return.
Over the same period, that's:
Five times more than what SA bonds returned
Three times more than what SA cash returned
3% better return than what SA equities has achieved
But the many investors who allocated a large portion of their wealth into listed property in 201... ››› more
The producer price index, non-farm payrolls, new housing starts, gross domestic product….
The list of economic indicators released monthly is massive.
The South African Reserve Bank alone releases a four-page report with more than 110 different economic indicators each month. That's not even considering international indicators.
So, which of these indicators should you keep an eye on, a... ››› more
In the past 24 months the JSE All share index has been unable to lift itself out of its sideways channel.
In the last two years it only managed to deliver a 1% move for investors. The trading environment in the local market has been tough to say the least.
There has been a slew of socio-political upheavals, both internationally and locally, that have negatively affected the market.
With j... ››› more
Disclaimer Note that FSP Invest, a division of Fleet Street Publications (Pty) Ltd, is a research house and not a registered broker, financial advisor or financial service provider. Our editors and customer services teams also do not give personal investment advice. The advice in this website is general advice only and may not be appropriate to your particular investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, so before investing or if in any doubt about your personal situation, you should seek professional advice from a stockbroker or independent financial adviser authorised by the Financial Services Board.
We research our recommendations and articles thoroughly, but disclaim all liability for any inaccuracies or omissions found in this publication.
Remember: Never invest more than you can afford to spare and that the value of any investment, and the income derived from it, can go down as well as up. The past is not necessarily a guide to future performance.
Editors or contributors may have an interest in investments commented on in this newsletter. However they have signed restraints to prevent the abuse of their position as contributors to this publication.