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  • Should you sell in May and go away…?
  • News flow seems to have subsided for now, markets continue to grind gradually higher. The JSE added 1% last week on the back of stronger commodity prices; Brent recovered 3,4% after trading softer for several weeks. Internationally, markets continue in a holding pattern; testing new highs. Commodities are responding to a weaker dollar and US Markets stumbled for the second time on new challen... ››› more
  • [27 May 2017]
  • Macron wins French election, settles markets - Two to buy and one to sell
  • US markets closed at record highs on Friday, helped by technology stocks like Apple, Facebook and Google. The strength of the US markets is filtering through to other developed markets and the victory by Emmanuel Macron in the French elections eliminates one more hurdle. Improving global sentiment bodes well for the weeks ahead. The rise in technology stocks is playing out nicely for our inve... ››› more
  • [09 May 2017]
  • The proven secrets to master the “buy high and sell higher” strategy
  • We've all heard the expression to make money in the market you need to, “Buy low and sell high.” Well today, I'm going to shatter that conventional wisdom and introduce you to one investor who managed to master the art of “buy high and sell higher”. And in doing so, become one of the world's greatest investors. It was so effective, that his stock recommendation publication returned... ››› more
  • [08 May 2017]
  • If you bought Lifecare Health two weeks ago, you'd be up 27% - Two to buy and one to sell
  • Global markets are watching developments around the French elections for direction. Once again, a far-right candidate, with radical views is the underdog and has the potential to create a shock to the status quo. Emmanuel Marcon is leading Marine Le Pen after the first round, both candidates have offered to hold referendums on remaining part of the European Union. The US earnings season k... ››› more
  • [25 April 2017]
  • Moving swiftly along - Three to buy
  • A week of heightened protests has ended and the ANC Cadre are holding the fort, for now. Their confidence masks the growing dissension from all sides, including members of its own party, eventually pressure will come to bear. Fitch followed S&P in downgrading SA, but again the reaction was relatively muted. Clearly the market had been preparing for this eventuality. Of more concern is that som... ››› more
  • [11 April 2017]
  • Cabinet reshuffle announced - Two to buy and one to sell
  • Admittedly, I expected more movement in the Rand once the cabinet reshuffle was announced. We have a saying that “the Market always knows” which seems to apply in this case. When Mr. Nene was removed, the Rand fell 8,5% within the first few days and then extended those losses by another 10% a few weeks later. By comparison the Rand has loss only 7% so far, perhaps the Market knew that SA I... ››› more
  • [06 April 2017]
  • Choppy waters ahead? - Two to buy and one to sell
  • The news yesterday that several ministers have been recalled to SA has created some consternation; the Rand jolted back 3%. There is speculation of a cabinet reshuffle and/or further legal developments relating to the impasse between Treasury, Banks, and the Gupta's…... The new Mining Charter is expected to be released this week. And the market is bracing itself for new challenges. This just... ››› more
  • [28 March 2017]
  • The one thing that will lose you money when you ‘buy to flip'
  • Buying a house, renovating and then selling it (called "buy to flip") can be one of the most rewarding investments for property investors… You buy an old home for say R1 million, spend R250,000 on renovations and then sell it for R1.6 million or more. Most investors believe the biggest secret behind a buy to flip is getting the best deal on materials for your renovation. That's the b... ››› more
  • [23 March 2017]
  • "Triple Witching" stirs local market rally- Two to buy and two to sell
  • “Triple Witching” refers to the combined expiration of the Index futures, Index options and stock options. In the UK and US this happens on Friday's, but in SA it happens a day earlier on Thursday. The event typically creates increased market activity and in some cases volatility. Global markets were relatively subdued for last week's expiry, the US, UK and European majors were firmer by b... ››› more
  • [21 March 2017]
  • Receive dollar-based performance through structured products
  • Since my last article on the subject of structured products I have received a number of enquiries from readers asking for more information. Due to the overwhelming response I decided to do this follow-up article and go over the most frequently asked questions. First, for those who may not have read the original, here is a brief recap. I discussed a currently available structured product with ... ››› more
  • [17 March 2017]
  • Commodities take a step lower - Three to buy and one to sell
  • Commodities take a step lower Brent oil led the commodity basket lower last week, losing 8,1%; Platinum and Gold were down 5,7% and 2,4% respectively. Although the Rand softened, the pressure was too much for the JSE All Share Index which fell 0,8%. Resources fell 5,5%, but the rest of the sectors held up well. International indices were slightly softer across most time zone... ››› more
  • [16 March 2017]
  • US interest rates, Three to buy and one to sell
  • US interest rates on the rise. Fed Chair Janet Yellen provided testimony last week indicating a high likelihood of another US interest rate hike in March. The markets are now pricing in a 0,25% hike. The US dollar is strengthening again. Local markets were flat over the week. The All Share squeezed out a gain of 0,1%, Resources were similar and Industrials down marginally (0,5%), Fin... ››› more
  • [16 March 2017]
  • Budgets, Two to buy and two to sell this week
  • The Budget was delivered without too much fuss. Everyone knew there would be a “Gap” and the balancing act was to find a suitable filler. The new tax bracket was a bit of a surprise, but the hiking of the marginal tax rate was expected. Never the less bracket creep was significant so everybody shoulders the burden. In SA, the market fell 1%; Gold shares were under pressure as the Rand held ... ››› more
  • [28 February 2017]
  • Getting it right… 2 to buy and 2 to sell
  • Where is, the Rand going? The biggest surprise last week came from the Rand which strengthened another 2,3% against the US Dollar and 3% to the Pound. This put Rand hedge stocks under pressure and the Resources Index fell 2,7%. The JSE Top 40 index was down 1,5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1,8% and the S&P500 1,5%, touching new highs. European markets were firmer but m... ››› more
  • [22 February 2017]
  • Valentines Stocks! + 3 to buy and 1 to sell
  • The state of our nation A strong rally on Friday reversed losses on the JSE and helped the Top 40 close the week up 0,75%. Financials gained 2% while Industrials and Resources were marginally higher. Markets continued to respond positively to the Trump administration's rhetoric, particularly regarding lower taxes. Data from China and Japan supported the market rally. The Nikkei rose 2,5% a... ››› more
  • [16 February 2017]
  • The state of our nation + 3 to buy and 2 to sell
  • The JSE Top 40 closed the week down 1,5%. Higher commodity prices; Gold, Silver and Brent Oil were up more than 2%, while Platinum managed 1,6%. These were not enough to save the Resources Index (down 3%) from a stronger Rand. Industrials and Financials were also softer. Anglogold up 9,3% and Harmony 9,5% responding to a firmer Gold Price (up 2,5%). PSG rallied 6%, see comment below. ... ››› more
  • [08 February 2017]
  • Trump's first days in office + 3 to buy and 2 to sell
  • Last week's sentiment remained positive and markets continued their rally. President Trump's first days in office are being closely monitored and provide plenty for traders to digest. The JSE Top 40 closed the week up 0,8%, but retreated slightly on Friday along with generally softer developed markets; for the year to date the JSE is up 7,7%. Kumba rallied 27% after it provided a product... ››› more
  • [31 January 2017]
  • Movers of the Week - Plus 3 to buy and 2 to sell
  • Trump in the White House - America First! As President Trump was being inaugurated the markets appeared to be waiting for direction. The JSE closed slightly lower, down 0,6% and the major developed markets were little changed if not slightly softer. Currency and Commodity also appear to be in a holding pattern. Trump's speech was direct and unambiguous, watch-out as America puts its foot... ››› more
  • [24 January 2017]
  • JSE up 3.6%, The All Share is up 5% - are these signs of a great year ahead?
  • The JSE was up 3,6% last week, adding to gains from the week before. The All Share index is now up 5% in two weeks, Resources 8,2%, Industrials 4,6% and Financials up 1,3%. January is known to be a month with larger moves than normal, double digit figures are quite common. Watch out for the reversal in February. 2016 was a case in point… Commodity Prices were firm with good gains from Pla... ››› more
  • [17 January 2017]
  • The Year that was - The biggest winner of 2016 was the Rand!
  • 2016 has been a year many will quickly forget, but for the shock results of the Brexit vote and the US elections; it was a year where many cans were kicked down the road. Global growth remained benign and potential silver-linings have yet to gain material traction because of lingering uncertainties such as the future US foreign policy, the tensions in South East Asia, lingering debt problems i... ››› more
  • [11 January 2017]
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