The entire investment community will be watching the Jackson Hole Symposium this week.
Starting on Thursday and lasting three days, investors will look for ques from Janet Yellen and Mario Draghi to see how and when the easy monetary policies (quantitative easing) will end.
With Inflation as low as it is, they could indicate a more aggressive conclusion to all the stimulus the markets have... ››› more
Global markets have retreated over the past week as tensions rose on Trumps threats directed at North Korea.
Tensions will subside and global markets will continue their rallies on the back of positive earnings surprises.
The big earnings release for our market will be Tencent's (due to Nasper's stake in it) that will be released in the early hours of Wednesday.
All 32 major analysts tha... ››› more
The JSE's rally from late June accounts for all the growth we've seen this year.
The bullish tone is threatening a break above the trading range which has confined the market for more than three years.
As in common at this stage, small caps and midcaps have lagged significantly and we expect them to play catch up.
Mid-caps to consider include: MicroMega, Santova, AdvTech and AECI.
**... ››› more
Last week's interest rate cut of 25 basis points (0.25%) has boosted retailers and shares with high debt levels. Improving sentiment and the prospect of a boost to economic growth provided support for the Rand.
Earning season is in full swing, as of Friday, 19% of the companies in the S&P 500 had reported results for Q2 2017 and 73% had beaten earnings and sales expectations.
In the we... ››› more
Before we jump into what the market did and what you should look out for this week, I would like to mention a few interesting retirement articles you should consider reading.
This week's Business Times had some excellent articles by Laura du Preez on Retirement Planning, take note of the following:
New disclosure of RA costs is highlighting rampant abuse in this area
How a ... ››› more
The Rand continued its slide last week as news emerged that Nationalising the Reserve Bank was discussed at the ANC conference.
Investors are not amused by the uncertainty the ruling party are creating, which is a recipe for further downgrades. And as mentioned in prior weeks, if our local currency and debt are downgraded we could see sustained Rand weakness. Bond yields would also spike as in... ››› more
The JSE's Top40 index closed the first half of the year slightly positive at 0.8%. The Industrials were the leaders of the pack as the only major sector to rack up a positive return of 6.4% while resources were underwater by 9.6%.
The entire market has been propped up by a handful of top performing shares like Naspers, Richmont, BATS, BidCorp, Mondi and Capitec. The interesting thing to note i... ››› more
News flow seems to have subsided for now, markets continue to grind gradually higher. The JSE added 1% last week on the back of stronger commodity prices; Brent recovered 3,4% after trading softer for several weeks.
Internationally, markets continue in a holding pattern; testing new highs. Commodities are responding to a weaker dollar and US Markets stumbled for the second time on new challen... ››› more
US markets closed at record highs on Friday, helped by technology stocks like Apple, Facebook and Google. The strength of the US markets is filtering through to other developed markets and the victory by Emmanuel Macron in the French elections eliminates one more hurdle. Improving global sentiment bodes well for the weeks ahead.
The rise in technology stocks is playing out nicely for our inve... ››› more
We've all heard the expression to make money in the market you need to, “Buy low and sell high.”
Well today, I'm going to shatter that conventional wisdom and introduce you to one investor who managed to master the art of “buy high and sell higher”. And in doing so, become one of the world's greatest investors.
It was so effective, that his stock recommendation publication returned... ››› more
Global markets are watching developments around the French elections for direction. Once again, a far-right candidate, with radical views is the underdog and has the potential to create a shock to the status quo.
Emmanuel Marcon is leading Marine Le Pen after the first round, both candidates have offered to hold referendums on remaining part of the European Union.
The US earnings season k... ››› more
A week of heightened protests has ended and the ANC Cadre are holding the fort, for now. Their confidence masks the growing dissension from all sides, including members of its own party, eventually pressure will come to bear.
Fitch followed S&P in downgrading SA, but again the reaction was relatively muted. Clearly the market had been preparing for this eventuality. Of more concern is that som... ››› more
Admittedly, I expected more movement in the Rand once the cabinet reshuffle was announced. We have a saying that “the Market always knows” which seems to apply in this case.
When Mr. Nene was removed, the Rand fell 8,5% within the first few days and then extended those losses by another 10% a few weeks later. By comparison the Rand has loss only 7% so far, perhaps the Market knew that SA I... ››› more
The news yesterday that several ministers have been recalled to SA has created some consternation; the Rand jolted back 3%. There is speculation of a cabinet reshuffle and/or further legal developments relating to the impasse between Treasury, Banks, and the Gupta's…...
The new Mining Charter is expected to be released this week. And the market is bracing itself for new challenges. This just... ››› more
Buying a house, renovating and then selling it (called "buy to flip") can be one of the most rewarding investments for property investors…
You buy an old home for say R1 million, spend R250,000 on renovations and then sell it for R1.6 million or more.
Most investors believe the biggest secret behind a buy to flip is getting the best deal on materials for your renovation.
That's the b... ››› more
“Triple Witching” refers to the combined expiration of the Index futures, Index options and stock options. In the UK and US this happens on Friday's, but in SA it happens a day earlier on Thursday. The event typically creates increased market activity and in some cases volatility.
Global markets were relatively subdued for last week's expiry, the US, UK and European majors were firmer by b... ››› more
Since my last article on the subject of structured products I have received a number of enquiries from readers asking for more information. Due to the overwhelming response I decided to do this follow-up article and go over the most frequently asked questions.
First, for those who may not have read the original, here is a brief recap. I discussed a currently available structured product with ... ››› more
Commodities take a step lower
Brent oil led the commodity basket lower last week, losing 8,1%; Platinum and Gold were down 5,7% and 2,4% respectively.
Although the Rand softened, the pressure was too much for the JSE All Share Index which fell 0,8%. Resources fell 5,5%, but the rest of the sectors held up well.
International indices were slightly softer across most time zone... ››› more
US interest rates on the rise.
Fed Chair Janet Yellen provided testimony last week indicating a high likelihood of another US interest rate hike in March. The markets are now pricing in a 0,25% hike. The US dollar is strengthening again.
Local markets were flat over the week. The All Share squeezed out a gain of 0,1%, Resources were similar and Industrials down marginally (0,5%), Fin... ››› more
The Budget was delivered without too much fuss. Everyone knew there would be a “Gap” and the balancing act was to find a suitable filler. The new tax bracket was a bit of a surprise, but the hiking of the marginal tax rate was expected. Never the less bracket creep was significant so everybody shoulders the burden.
In SA, the market fell 1%; Gold shares were under pressure as the Rand held ... ››› more
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