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  • Why I'm not hot on the South African retail sector
  • The Foschini Group is down 10.54% in the last month, Mr Price 10.40%, Truworths 6.33%. And Lewis crashed a whopping 16.70%. If you're invested in retail, it's been a bad month for you. But before you start buying into the sector because it ‘shows value' I want to warn you…   South African retail sales are dropping and you need to watch out for the fallout   In its m... ››› more
  • [26 April 2017]
  • If you bought Lifecare Health two weeks ago, you'd be up 27% - Two to buy and one to sell
  • Global markets are watching developments around the French elections for direction. Once again, a far-right candidate, with radical views is the underdog and has the potential to create a shock to the status quo. Emmanuel Marcon is leading Marine Le Pen after the first round, both candidates have offered to hold referendums on remaining part of the European Union. The US earnings season k... ››› more
  • [25 April 2017]
  • “Why the best laid investment plans usually go wrong”
  • More than three decades ago, best-selling author Harry Browne, argued that the odds are stacked against the typical investor who's overwhelmed by technical jargon, market volatility and the business of money management. That's why in his book, Why the Best Laid Investment Plans Usually Go Wrong, Browne explained that it's impossible to rely on advisors, brokers or systems to make money in the ... ››› more
  • [20 April 2017]
  • Use the Rule of Four to keep your portfolio in the green in ANY market
  • How you can diversify yourself to safety with the ‘Rule of Four' What do you do with your money in a crisis? Do you sell your share portfolio? Do you stick everything in a bank account, in property or in gold? That's the question that popped up around a campfire I had going with friends over the weekend. Considering South Africa's junk status, state capture and political unrest that'... ››› more
  • [19 April 2017]
  • Moving swiftly along - Three to buy
  • A week of heightened protests has ended and the ANC Cadre are holding the fort, for now. Their confidence masks the growing dissension from all sides, including members of its own party, eventually pressure will come to bear. Fitch followed S&P in downgrading SA, but again the reaction was relatively muted. Clearly the market had been preparing for this eventuality. Of more concern is that som... ››› more
  • [11 April 2017]
  • The one number that matters when it comes to share price direction
  • Today I'm going to explain why you don't ALWAYS need to follow… Market forecasts Hot tips in the media “Sure-fire” speculations… to know where share prices will go. In fact, you only need to know one number to see if a company's shares will go up or down. And the best part, every investor can use it! Although successful investors like Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch and John Temp... ››› more
  • [10 April 2017]
  • Cabinet reshuffle announced - Two to buy and one to sell
  • Admittedly, I expected more movement in the Rand once the cabinet reshuffle was announced. We have a saying that “the Market always knows” which seems to apply in this case. When Mr. Nene was removed, the Rand fell 8,5% within the first few days and then extended those losses by another 10% a few weeks later. By comparison the Rand has loss only 7% so far, perhaps the Market knew that SA I... ››› more
  • [06 April 2017]
  • Choppy waters ahead? - Two to buy and one to sell
  • The news yesterday that several ministers have been recalled to SA has created some consternation; the Rand jolted back 3%. There is speculation of a cabinet reshuffle and/or further legal developments relating to the impasse between Treasury, Banks, and the Gupta's…... The new Mining Charter is expected to be released this week. And the market is bracing itself for new challenges. This just... ››› more
  • [28 March 2017]
  • The latest Interest Rate cycle that could end in financial disaster
  • Have you ever heard of the saying, “Those who do not remember the past, are condemned to repeat it?” Well, humans can learn valuable lessons by looking back at historical events, but choose not to. And in many cases, we tend to repeat history and make the same mistakes. Think about how many financial decisions we've made that ended up in economic disaster. For example, the deci... ››› more
  • [27 March 2017]
  • "Triple Witching" stirs local market rally- Two to buy and two to sell
  • “Triple Witching” refers to the combined expiration of the Index futures, Index options and stock options. In the UK and US this happens on Friday's, but in SA it happens a day earlier on Thursday. The event typically creates increased market activity and in some cases volatility. Global markets were relatively subdued for last week's expiry, the US, UK and European majors were firmer by b... ››› more
  • [21 March 2017]
  • Why every investor needs this exit strategy
  • When you buy a stock and it doubles, what do you do? Many investors would sell, feeling like they've made a good profit. Then, they sit on the sidelines and watch as their stock goes higher and higher - cursing that they've sold too soon. Founder of Agora Publishing, Bill Bonner gives a great example of this: Financial writer Richard Russell of the Dow Theory Letters invested in Warren... ››› more
  • [20 March 2017]
  • The cure for investor insanity
  • The great Albert Einstein once defined insanity as “doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.” I'm sure on a personal level, you've experienced this insanity. The fact is, we continually make the same mistakes in all areas of life. And when it comes to investing, this is especially true. That's why today I'm going to explain the two most common inves... ››› more
  • [17 March 2017]
  • Commodities take a step lower - Three to buy and one to sell
  • Commodities take a step lower Brent oil led the commodity basket lower last week, losing 8,1%; Platinum and Gold were down 5,7% and 2,4% respectively. Although the Rand softened, the pressure was too much for the JSE All Share Index which fell 0,8%. Resources fell 5,5%, but the rest of the sectors held up well. International indices were slightly softer across most time zone... ››› more
  • [16 March 2017]
  • Four “must knows” before you invest in a single share
  • The biggest lie you'll ever hear in the stock market is that: “As a private investor you're not smart enough, and you lack the information to invest and make money on the stock market.” It's a lie presented by fund managers, personal financial advisers and media analysts alike. Obviously, they don't say it quite like this, but it's what they mean. The essence behind their big lie i... ››› more
  • [16 March 2017]
  • US interest rates, Three to buy and one to sell
  • US interest rates on the rise. Fed Chair Janet Yellen provided testimony last week indicating a high likelihood of another US interest rate hike in March. The markets are now pricing in a 0,25% hike. The US dollar is strengthening again. Local markets were flat over the week. The All Share squeezed out a gain of 0,1%, Resources were similar and Industrials down marginally (0,5%), Fin... ››› more
  • [16 March 2017]
  • Why I'm calling a buy on the JSE, even though many call it expensive
  • “The JSE is too expensive, rather buy these offshore stocks”, if read this headline, and variations of it many times in the past year. Yet, my Red Hot Penny Shares readers would've banked an average gain on shares we sold of 22.21% in 2016. Whilst there are still calls to drop the JSE and put your money elsewhere I am optimistic. I believe 2017 can be just as good, or better, than ... ››› more
  • [02 March 2017]
  • The first bunch of trading Q&A for 2017
  • Welcome to the first Q&A for 2017 dedicated trader. I see already, you're asking exciting trading questions/. What is fantastic is that, I can see you want to prepare yourself for good profits in 2017. I recommend all traders take a read at these questions and answers. Q. Forex, Penny shares, equity – Which are best for me? I'd like to start trading for wealth building. What d... ››› more
  • [01 March 2017]
  • Budgets, Two to buy and two to sell this week
  • The Budget was delivered without too much fuss. Everyone knew there would be a “Gap” and the balancing act was to find a suitable filler. The new tax bracket was a bit of a surprise, but the hiking of the marginal tax rate was expected. Never the less bracket creep was significant so everybody shoulders the burden. In SA, the market fell 1%; Gold shares were under pressure as the Rand held ... ››› more
  • [28 February 2017]
  • You have to “Go Small” to add big returns to your portfolio
  • As an advisor to the South African Investor board I deal with investors that are looking for long term returns that'll help them live, and retire securely. That means we typically look at companies like Vodacom, Naspers, Bidvest and the like. Large blue-chip shares that have been around for years, and will continue to be there for years to come. Recommending these large companies is th... ››› more
  • [22 February 2017]
  • Getting it right… 2 to buy and 2 to sell
  • Where is, the Rand going? The biggest surprise last week came from the Rand which strengthened another 2,3% against the US Dollar and 3% to the Pound. This put Rand hedge stocks under pressure and the Resources Index fell 2,7%. The JSE Top 40 index was down 1,5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1,8% and the S&P500 1,5%, touching new highs. European markets were firmer but m... ››› more
  • [22 February 2017]
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