The state of our nation
A strong rally on Friday reversed losses on the JSE and helped the Top 40 close the week up 0,75%. Financials gained 2% while Industrials and Resources were marginally higher.
Markets continued to respond positively to the Trump administration's rhetoric, particularly regarding lower taxes. Data from China and Japan supported the market rally. The Nikkei rose 2,5% a... ››› more
The JSE Top 40 closed the week down 1,5%.
Higher commodity prices; Gold, Silver and Brent Oil were up more than 2%, while Platinum managed 1,6%. These were not enough to save the Resources Index (down 3%) from a stronger Rand. Industrials and Financials were also softer.
Anglogold up 9,3% and Harmony 9,5% responding to a firmer Gold Price (up 2,5%).
PSG rallied 6%, see comment below. ... ››› more
I call it platinum fatigue…
Eight years ago, platinum hit $2,200/ounce.
It subsequently crashed to $800, recovered to $1,500 and dropped back to $800 again in 2016.
Everyone's basically given up on platinum, there's just been too much drama for the metal…
Did you even notice that platinum is up $100 since December 2017?
On 26 December 2016, Platinum was at $894 per oun... ››› more
Last week's sentiment remained positive and markets continued their rally. President Trump's first days in office are being closely monitored and provide plenty for traders to digest.
The JSE Top 40 closed the week up 0,8%, but retreated slightly on Friday along with generally softer developed markets; for the year to date the JSE is up 7,7%.
Kumba rallied 27% after it provided a product... ››› more
Trump in the White House - America First!
As President Trump was being inaugurated the markets appeared to be waiting for direction. The JSE closed slightly lower, down 0,6% and the major developed markets were little changed if not slightly softer. Currency and Commodity also appear to be in a holding pattern.
Trump's speech was direct and unambiguous, watch-out as America puts its foot... ››› more
The JSE was up 3,6% last week, adding to gains from the week before. The All Share index is now up 5% in two weeks, Resources 8,2%, Industrials 4,6% and Financials up 1,3%.
January is known to be a month with larger moves than normal, double digit figures are quite common. Watch out for the reversal in February. 2016 was a case in point…
Commodity Prices were firm with good gains from Pla... ››› more
Happy new year everyone, I hope you all had a good break and did tons of holiday shopping for your friends and family!
Why? Because yesterday marked the beginning of the retail reporting season. And, in the next couple of weeks we're going to see just how much South African's spent at the shops in December.
There is no doubt the market is expecting a super tough Xmas period for the beleag... ››› more
2016 has been a year many will quickly forget, but for the shock results of the Brexit vote and the US elections; it was a year where many cans were kicked down the road.
Global growth remained benign and potential silver-linings have yet to gain material traction because of lingering uncertainties such as the future US foreign policy, the tensions in South East Asia, lingering debt problems i... ››› more
JSE up 3,3%
Last week the JSE recovered from an oversold position to close the week with a gain of 3,3%. Financials gained 4,8% and Industrials were up 3,7%. Resources managed a gain of 1,5%.
DAX up 6,6%, CAC up 5.2%.
European markets breathed a sigh of relief as the Italian referendum failed, the Dax gained 6,6% and the CAC 5,2%. Italy was up 7,3% and Spain put in 6,5%
US Markets... ››› more
What you're about to read will shock you…
1999 - The Euro came into existence in January which was the goal of the European Union and its predecessors since the 1960s.
Initially there was a negative reaction as the Euro fell below parity (1:1) with the US Dollar for the first time.
After, the dust settled and the EU was finding its feet with regulations, treaties and legislations, the E... ››› more
The producer price index, non-farm payrolls, new housing starts, gross domestic product….
The list of economic indicators released monthly is massive.
The South African Reserve Bank alone releases a four-page report with more than 110 different economic indicators each month. That's not even considering international indicators.
So, which of these indicators should you keep an eye on, a... ››› more
In the past 24 months the JSE All share index has been unable to lift itself out of its sideways channel.
In the last two years it only managed to deliver a 1% move for investors. The trading environment in the local market has been tough to say the least.
There has been a slew of socio-political upheavals, both internationally and locally, that have negatively affected the market.
With j... ››› more
Dear MoneyMorning reader,
US Stock up 3%, Emerging Markets down 4,5%
US Stocks recovered from sharply lower levels after a reconciliatory speech from President elect Donald Trump which eased market fears; Energy and Industrials were the leaders based on his plans for infrastructural development.
Emerging Markets have been left out in the cold as investors evaluate the impact of a Trump p... ››› more
Industrials down 3%
Industrials took the brunt of weaker markets last week as concerns regarding the economic outlook post US elections weighed on sentiment. Woolies was down 6,3% and several other industrial shares fell by approximately 4%.
Naspers down 7,9%
Rand strength and weakness in social media stocks put pressure on Naspers. Facebook was down 8,6% while Groupon fell 19%. Some anal... ››› more
On most days, you read the financial news and more than likely, you'll read negative headlines.
Maybe it's a new crisis in the Eurozone; an “imminent bond crash”; or maybe it's the Rand crashing again.
Whatever it may be, it's no surprise to hear many investors keeping their cash away from the markets right now.
But as the saying goes, “out of crisis comes opportunity”. And today ... ››› more
It's been an interesting year for gold bulls. The downtrend which brought the yellow metal down to its dismal dollar lows of $1050/oz in 2015 has reversed and gold is once again making an assault on the $1300/oz level.
In the meantime, thanks to the uncharacteristically strong rand, which is now 13% firmer since January, the rand price of gold has pulled back to R17,442/oz from highs of above R... ››› more
Big Movers of the week
GOLD Stocks down 8,3%
The rollercoaster ride in Gold stocks continued last week, after bouncing the week before the Index was down 8,3%. Sibanye faired worst falling 13,7% while all the other major gold stocks gave up their recent gains.
MTN up 5,7%
Rebounding from lows, MTN was up 5,7% last week after a year of problems. The company has announced several heavywe... ››› more
What you're about to read might be great for South Africans, but not so great for the UK.
Just a few months ago I was in London burning my fingers from every purchase. At the time the GBP/ZAR was trading at R23.00 to one pound.
So every item of clothing, gadget and snack I bought in Regent Street was around four times more expensive than here in SA.
MC Donalds alone on average was around ... ››› more
Right now, there are at least 26 suspended shares on the JSE.
If you own one of them, you'll know you can't sell your shares and there's no hope of growth coming from them.
If you're incredibly lucky you might receive cents on the rand for your investment.
But, if history is anything to go by, your cash will be tied up for years, and you might as well write off your entire investment!
... ››› more
Guy Algeo, Founder and Director at Prodigy Asset Management gives you an exclusive look into what he'd consider a buy this week and which shares you need to take out of your portfolio......
Stock market overview
Gold down 4,5%
Bullion’s strong performance for the year saw a shape correction last week it was down $60 or 4,5%.
The Rand held firm and so the softer gold price had... ››› more
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