Economy

  • The one industry I'm most excited about for 2017…
  • The one industry I'm most excited about for 2017…
    As I predicted last year, 2016 was a year of consolidation. Our market went nowhere. But shares are much cheaper today than they were a year ago. And that makes me optimistic about 2017. But there's one industry in particular that I've got my eyes on. It was arguably the worst sector for 2016. Agriculture. One of the worst droughts in decades hit South Africa. Farmers lost crop... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • Pravin Gordhan believes South Africa will dodge another recession
  • Pravin Gordhan believes South Africa will dodge another recession
    So far this year, you've heard the word recession a lot. It's a real threat to the economy right now. The third quarter of 2015 saw 0.7% gross domestic product (GDP) growth - the fourth quarter saw 0.6% GDP growth. Results of the first quarter of 2016 shows the economy contracted 1.2%. Economists expected the economy to contract only 0.1%, which leads me to believe that nobody really knows... ››› more
  • [28 July 2016]
  • Can the SA economy or your pocket handle another increase in maize prices?
  • Can the SA economy or your pocket handle another increase in maize prices?
    The drought that's battering Southern Africa right now is going to wreak havoc on your pockets in the near future. South African corn farmers are expected to produce the lowest maize produce in 8 years. The last time production numbers were this low was in 2008. The numbers are concerning and it seems that South Africa will have to drastically increase the amount of maize it imports to 3.8... ››› more
  • [13 July 2016]
  • Get your budget ready for another Eskom price hike
  • Get your budget ready for another Eskom price hike
    If you're celebrating that we're almost through winter and had no load-shedding, I have some bad news for you. You and I might have had an “uninterrupted” power supply this winter but it's going to cost our pockets, big time! According to an article in the City Press newspaper this weekend, “The economy is set for a shock from the combined blows of Eskom's move to hike the cost of tw... ››› more
  • [12 July 2016]
  • Zimbabwe shuts South Africa's gateway into Africa
  • Zimbabwe shuts South Africa's gateway into Africa
    Last week, the Zimbabwean Government implemented a law causing major unrest in the border towns of Zimbabwe and South Africa. The introduction of Statutory Instrument 64 of 2016 (SI64) restricts the import of certain goods from South Africa into Zimbabwe. This includes items like plastic pipes, doors, bottled water, window frames, baked beans, potato chips... Even peanut butter got the cut. ... ››› more
  • [07 July 2016]
  • Dealing with the Brexit aftermath... Stop panicking
  • Dealing with the Brexit aftermath... Stop panicking
    When I heard the results of the Brexit vote last Friday, I was watching TV, clutching a cup of coffee and snuggling under a blanket with my sons in the diamond city, Kimberley. As soon as the news bulletin ended, my phone started to buzz uncontrollably. First, a message from my brother asking, “Did you see the Brexit result?” I ignored it. Then, a message from a colleague, “How could... ››› more
  • [27 June 2016]
  • What will happen to stocks if Britain dumps the European Union?
  • What will happen to stocks if Britain dumps the European Union?
    If you thought politics and economics in South Africa is exciting, then you've been missing out on what happening in Europe right now. The United Kingdom is about to make a drastic decision that could have an impact on the global economic system. On Thursday, the UK will have a referendum on the 'Brexit' - to decide if the UK stays or leaves the European Union. Last week, a poll for the E... ››› more
  • [22 June 2016]
  • Did South Africa slip into a recession while nobody noticed?
  • Did South Africa slip into a recession while nobody noticed?
    Regular contributor to FSP Invest's South African Investor publication, Dawie Roodt, recently reported that he believes South Africa is already in recession. As we know, Roodt doesn't make any statement lightly. He is usually armed with facts and figures before he makes a statement like this. This begs the question, did South Africa slip into a recession and nobody noticed? Let's take ... ››› more
  • [10 June 2016]
  • South Africa will know its ratings fate on Friday - Here's what it means for you
  • South Africa will know its ratings fate on Friday - Here's what it means for you
    Standard & Poor's and Fitch ratings agencies is expected to give their verdict on the country's rating by the end of this week. The financial analysts at FSPInvest believe that a downgrade to junk status is inevitable. Even if this doesn't happen this month, it will happen before the end of 2016. Here's what will happen to the economy and your investment portfolio if the downgrade does happ... ››› more
  • [01 June 2016]
  • The JSE fights hard against negative data
  • The JSE fights hard against negative data
    Friday morning proved to be a good day on the JSE as it recovered from Thursday's sell-off which was triggered by news that US interest rates will increase sooner than expected. Global markets like the US and Asia are still struggling but the European markets joined the JSE in its recovery. Considering that May is usually the worst month for the JSE, things are not looking as bad as investors... ››› more
  • [23 May 2016]
  • Finally, the rand finds a stable footing thanks to the South African Reserve Bank
  • Finally, the rand finds a stable footing thanks to the South African Reserve Bank
    The past few weeks have been harrowing for the rand. It's been taking a severe beating from the dollar in the past two weeks. Worst of all, rumours about the arrest of Pravin Gordhan has certainly not been helping matters at all. But, finally, it seems to have found a moment of stability. How long this will last, I don't know. But let's take a closer look... The rand is battered by t... ››› more
  • [20 May 2016]
  • As I predicted the rand hit yet another low against the dollar - Here's what you must do
  • As I predicted the rand hit yet another low against the dollar - Here's what you must do
    Yesterday I warned investors that the rand will lose strength against the dollar because of the rumours that the Hawks want to arrest Pravin Gordhan for his involvement in the establishment of the SARS rogue unit while he was the tax agency's commissioner. As I expected, that's exactly what happened. But now, where to from here? Is it time for South African investors to be really worried? And wha... ››› more
  • [17 May 2016]
  • The impact of irresponsible rumours on the South African economy
  • The impact of irresponsible rumours on the South African economy
    This morning, the rand is trading at R15.51 to the dollar. In 11 days it's lost 54 cents against the greenback. This is only the beginning of the rand's fall. If you think this is bad, keep an eye on the rand this week. I expect to see a significant weakening against the dollar thanks to new rumours in the media related to the arrest of our finance minister, Pravin Gordhan. “Pravin Gordhan fa... ››› more
  • [16 May 2016]


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