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  • Why SA's 51% GDP drop is already irrelevant news
  • Why SA's 51% GDP drop is already irrelevant news
    On 8 September South Africa's GDP figures for the second quarter of 2020 was released. Our economy shrank by 51% annualised in the three months between April and June 2020. This has put us into the longest recession in the past 28 years. Sectors like mining fell 73.1%, manufacturing fell 74.9% and construction shrank by 76.6%. This is bad. But even though it was just released, i... ››› more
  • [10 September 2020]
  • Why the rand will hit R22.44 thanks to this double-whammy
  • Why the rand will hit R22.44 thanks to this double-whammy
    On 24 February 2020, I sent out an article: Coronavirus + Eskom + Moody's + Chart = Rand disaster At the time the South African rand was trading at R14.20. I predicted that the USD/ZAR would move to the first target at R16.00 within a couple of weeks… This was due to the following factors at the time… • The Coronavirus was declared by the WHO as a global health emergency. ... ››› more
  • [21 April 2020]
  • Why the rand will hit R22.44 thanks to this double-whammy
  • Why the rand will hit R22.44 thanks to this double-whammy
    March will be known as the worst month of all-time for the South African rand. With the ongoing lockdown, the increasing rate of COVID-19 cases, the crumbling economy, and the downgrading from Moody's - It's just been bad news after bad news for SA. And what happened last week? Well we saw the South African rand hit record lows passing through the R19.00 mark against the US dollar. ... ››› more
  • [14 April 2020]
  • What to do ahead of 2020's looming recession
  • What to do ahead of 2020's looming recession
    Recent poll numbers show that President Trump has lost some serious favour with his core constituency. I can't say I'm surprised. The trade war has hit American farmers hard. With the Chinese increasing tariffs on US agricultural goods, Chinese customers are no longer buying them. And that means that Trump needs to act - and fast - if he wants any chances at securing a second term in t... ››› more
  • [19 September 2019]
  • This week's WEF opens up a short-term opportunity to profit
  • This week's WEF opens up a short-term opportunity to profit
    The World Economic Forum (WEF) on Africa 2019 is currently taking place in Cape Town. During this three-day event, our most senior politicians will be out in full force to convince the international community South Africa remains investable. They'll discuss lofty matters such as the 4th Industrial Revolution (4IR), sustainability, digitalisation and stability. And, if history is any indication... ››› more
  • [05 September 2019]
  • The one industry I'm most excited about for 2017…
  • The one industry I'm most excited about for 2017…
    As I predicted last year, 2016 was a year of consolidation. Our market went nowhere. But shares are much cheaper today than they were a year ago. And that makes me optimistic about 2017. But there's one industry in particular that I've got my eyes on. It was arguably the worst sector for 2016. Agriculture. One of the worst droughts in decades hit South Africa. Farmers lost crop... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • Pravin Gordhan believes South Africa will dodge another recession
  • Pravin Gordhan believes South Africa will dodge another recession
    So far this year, you've heard the word recession a lot. It's a real threat to the economy right now. The third quarter of 2015 saw 0.7% gross domestic product (GDP) growth - the fourth quarter saw 0.6% GDP growth. Results of the first quarter of 2016 shows the economy contracted 1.2%. Economists expected the economy to contract only 0.1%, which leads me to believe that nobody really knows... ››› more
  • [28 July 2016]
  • Can the SA economy or your pocket handle another increase in maize prices?
  • Can the SA economy or your pocket handle another increase in maize prices?
    The drought that's battering Southern Africa right now is going to wreak havoc on your pockets in the near future. South African corn farmers are expected to produce the lowest maize produce in 8 years. The last time production numbers were this low was in 2008. The numbers are concerning and it seems that South Africa will have to drastically increase the amount of maize it imports to 3.8... ››› more
  • [13 July 2016]
  • Get your budget ready for another Eskom price hike
  • Get your budget ready for another Eskom price hike
    If you're celebrating that we're almost through winter and had no load-shedding, I have some bad news for you. You and I might have had an “uninterrupted” power supply this winter but it's going to cost our pockets, big time! According to an article in the City Press newspaper this weekend, “The economy is set for a shock from the combined blows of Eskom's move to hike the cost of tw... ››› more
  • [12 July 2016]
  • Zimbabwe shuts South Africa's gateway into Africa
  • Zimbabwe shuts South Africa's gateway into Africa
    Last week, the Zimbabwean Government implemented a law causing major unrest in the border towns of Zimbabwe and South Africa. The introduction of Statutory Instrument 64 of 2016 (SI64) restricts the import of certain goods from South Africa into Zimbabwe. This includes items like plastic pipes, doors, bottled water, window frames, baked beans, potato chips... Even peanut butter got the cut. ... ››› more
  • [07 July 2016]
  • Dealing with the Brexit aftermath... Stop panicking
  • Dealing with the Brexit aftermath... Stop panicking
    When I heard the results of the Brexit vote last Friday, I was watching TV, clutching a cup of coffee and snuggling under a blanket with my sons in the diamond city, Kimberley. As soon as the news bulletin ended, my phone started to buzz uncontrollably. First, a message from my brother asking, “Did you see the Brexit result?” I ignored it. Then, a message from a colleague, “How could... ››› more
  • [27 June 2016]
  • What will happen to stocks if Britain dumps the European Union?
  • What will happen to stocks if Britain dumps the European Union?
    If you thought politics and economics in South Africa is exciting, then you've been missing out on what happening in Europe right now. The United Kingdom is about to make a drastic decision that could have an impact on the global economic system. On Thursday, the UK will have a referendum on the 'Brexit' - to decide if the UK stays or leaves the European Union. Last week, a poll for the E... ››› more
  • [22 June 2016]
  • Did South Africa slip into a recession while nobody noticed?
  • Did South Africa slip into a recession while nobody noticed?
    Regular contributor to FSP Invest's South African Investor publication, Dawie Roodt, recently reported that he believes South Africa is already in recession. As we know, Roodt doesn't make any statement lightly. He is usually armed with facts and figures before he makes a statement like this. This begs the question, did South Africa slip into a recession and nobody noticed? Let's take ... ››› more
  • [10 June 2016]


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