Recent poll numbers show that President Trump has lost some serious favour with his core constituency.
I can't say I'm surprised.
The trade war has hit American farmers hard. With the Chinese increasing tariffs on US agricultural goods, Chinese customers are no longer buying them.
And that means that Trump needs to act - and fast - if he wants any chances at securing a second term in the 2020 Presidential elections.
And that's exactly why there are rumblings of a temporary deal in the news. Trump needs to lighten the load on American farmers if he is going to gain back their support.
Now Trumps' deal move should lift markets over the near-term and be good for your equity portfolio.
But it won't last.
Many economists expect the US economy to go into a recession by late 2020. In fact, Jeff Gundlach, the CEO of DoubleLine Capital, which manages $140 billion, has pegged the odds of a recession occurring before the elections at 75%.
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So, what should you do?
If the American and Chinese make a deal, you’ll want to be in the markets. Just make sure you cover your behind for the recession.
Any, well-diversified, equity portfolio should see good gains in a risk-on atmosphere. As long as your portfolio is well-balanced, you can mitigate a lot of the pain when the market crashes.
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Until then, enjoy running with the bulls. Just make sure you have a bed to sleep in when it’s time to hibernate with the bears.
Rand Swiss, Wealth Manager