These three secrets will improve your “investment-picking” ability

by , 05 November 2018
These three secrets will improve your “investment-picking” ability
If you're looking for the ultimate formula that consistently picks winning investments, I'm sorry to say, there isn't one.

If there was, we'd all be rich.

But there are ways to improve your chances of winning more often…

And that's by knowing these three secrets to picking the right investments

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#1: Context matters

Have you been in a situation where two friends are fighting and you’re the one that has to sort it out?

Usually the first thing you do is, get context. What happened? Why? Etc.

It’s the same when it comes to investing. Context matters.

Take the JSE for example…

There has been a huge amount of selling. The All Share index is down around 10% this year. And it could fall even further by the end of 2018.

Now is this because the majority of JSE listed companies aren’t making money or growing? And does this mean you should avoid investing in JSE listed companies?

Not at all.

You see, you need to put the state of SA’s economy into context - we’re talking about:
  • a zero-growth economy,
  • falling investor confidence,
  • a strong US dollar and,
  •  a sell-off in emerging markets
These are the real reasons for the 10% fall in SA stocks.

So in fact, there are quality companies listed on the JSE right now, that are selling well below their real value

#2: What you pay is important

You must know how to calculate value to know what's cheap or expensive… it.

One of the best ways to measure value in stock markets is to use the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings (or CAPE) ratio, which smooths out short-term price fluctuations.

Investing in markets that have a low CAPE ratio, on average, results in much better returns than buying markets with high CAPE ratios. Of course, this is the same for individual stocks...

Naturally, your odds of making money improve when you buy stocks that are selling well below their real value.
 
#3: Research!

You wouldn’t buy a house without researching the area, safety, accessibility etc. Likewise, you wouldn’t buy a car without researching how much fuel it consumes or how much it will cost monthly.

Well, the same goes for investing.

You can't fully understand the context (see point #1), determine if something is cheap or not (see point #2), if you don't do the research.

If you just don’t have the time to research, an alternative is to follow someone both knowledgeable and trustworthy to help you.

Experienced investors know what to look for...

They know what works and what doesn't.

Whether you read blogs, articles, newsletters…getting as much information as you can about a particular company or market is critical.

So, if you're new to
 penny stocks , it helps to follow someone who's been doing it for a long time.

Or if you're curious about
 cryptocurrencies you can follow the insight of someone with real-life experience in that world – and the know-how to separate the good from the bad.

To sum up…

Understand the context...buy at a discount... once you’ve done the required research – these are the three secrets to picking winning investments more of the time.

See you next week,


Joshua Benton,
Managing Editor, Real Wealth

PS: 
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