In the last few weeks, we've finally seen good news come out for South Africa.
I don't want to go into too much detail, but I'll highlight a few of the main points including:
• More businesses and economic activity has started to resume since moving from Level-5 of the lockdown down to Level-4.
• The government has told South Africa that there will be no more load-shedding from Es... ››› more
There is a continuous debate that goes around both local and global markets during the ninth month.
It's called the ‘September Effect'.
This is a well-known theory where stock prices perform worse, on average, compared to how they perform during the rest of the year.
However! No one has come up with a plausible reason for why that is.
Today, I'll go through the facts and stats to... ››› more
Our market scanner has highlighted several shares in overbought and oversold territory.
Below is extracted from our weekly data table. Our model scans most of the shares in the JSE All Share Index and measures their standard deviation using our proprietary methodology. We supplement the standard deviation with fundamental and technical analysis to come up with our investment ideas.
Someti... ››› more
Most investors are losing patience with the JSE as returns have been non-existent.
The JSE All-Share index is back in it's previous trading range - which is pretty much 2014 levels.
The problem with investors losing patience and selling, is they do it at precisely the wrong time.
The Magellan fund managed by Peter Lynch achieved a remarkable 29% annualised return between 1977 to 1990 b... ››› more
Three years ago, I walked into the FSPInvest boardroom. Seated at the freshly polished mahogany table in front of me were six specially selected investment interns. These were some of the brightest investment minds the management team at FSPInvest could find in South Africa.
They just passed a rigorous interview process that earned them the right to be an intern at the FSP Invest office. All o... ››› more
Last week I was fooled. The JSE told me that upside was in order, and I thought it was about time. But once again, it just roped me in before it took a tumble.
When I went to my charts to analyze the JSE, I saw a frightening pattern.
The black diamond!
Sometimes a technical diamond is the perfect sign for a market recovery.
And sometimes, the diamond is as black as soot, and predicts ... ››› more
March is over and the first quarter is done and dusted. The JSE didn't end the month off on a good note: All Share Index declined 1.28%, while the Top40 lost 2.04%.
The resource sector gave a particularly poor performance with heavy falls from commodities, including platinum dropping 15.3%, gold 8.18% and oil falling almost 10%. The contributing factors to the fall back of the local market we... ››› more
We all know that the stock market has been falling lately!
In fact, the JSE has sold off 16.41% from its all-time high at 52,323, all the way down to 44,945.
But in the last two weeks, it's bounced up 4%, which tells us storm is over right?
“I don't think so!”
In fact, I think the JSE is ready to strike down again all the way to 46,000, in the next few weeks.
But fear not my d... ››› more
Last month, the JSE All Share Index 40 (ALSI 40) fell by 3.2% and broke a crucial level that I've been watching.
By breaking this level, the JSE has entered into the “Deathly Crocodile's Mouth.
And that means, I expect the stock market to fall down another 7.75%.
But why wait for the fall when you can bank an easy 111.29% trading gain?
The Deathly Crocodile’s Mo... ››› more
Last week Wednesday, as I was researching braai tips on Braai Day, I came across a world class braai'er!
You'll never believe this!
Braai Boy (Gareth Daniell) broke the Guinness Book of World Records for the longest continuous braai.
He braai'ed for a staggering 62 hours NON STOP!
As I was reading about his techniques and tricks, I couldn't help but think how similar it is to the way... ››› more
“Francois, I'm no investment expert, but I immerse myself in economic and household data everyday. And I just can't see what it is that's pushing growth for companies any further. Where is the stock market going to from here?”
That's the gist of a discussion I had with a Coca-Cola executive at a wine tasting last night. He's in charge of South Africa's strategy and planning - And he's really... ››› more
For the last five years, we've had a raging bull market.
The JSE All Share Index rose by more than 116%. And many shares on the market have doubled and even tripled in price.
But a lot of traders are battling to make money in this market.
So today, I want to share with you what's probably the simplest strategy you'll ever find to make money trading…
How to get started using th... ››› more
When it comes to investing, whatever market it is, there are risks. But you can't let those risks get in the way of you making money in the market. You don't need to worry about what's coming next. What's important is to have a good risk management strategy in place. So what's the best way to do that? Read on to find out…
The performance of the market over the last few years
It’s a good id... ››› more
Just before noon, for the first time in its history, the Johannesburg Stock Exchange's All Share Index traded above 50,000. For the moment, investors are still pushing the market higher. Let's take a closer look at what led to the All Share hitting 50,000…
The All Share Index sailed through 50,000 before retreating
The JSE’s “benchmark stocks index rose above 50,000 for the first time... ››› more
The "Sell in May and go away, then come back again on St Leger day" adage resonates with many investors around the world.
But just because many people believe it, doesn't mean it's true!
I'm going to show you why the old saying is utter-garbage and instead, will show you why I'm buying in May and why you should too!
Let me explain.
Selling in May actually loses you money!
The old a... ››› more
The Johannesburg Stock Exchange closed higher today with good news fuelling shares. The local market took positive cues from the chairwoman of the US Federal Reserve's positive indications last night. And better manufacturing data out of China added more confidence. Let's take a closer look at the day on the JSE…
Chinese manufacturing data comes out positive
China’s data for manufacturing... ››› more
As we head towards the end of the year, we're seeing more and more positive data come out of the US.
Now as a trader, you might think this is good for your share holdings.
But the truth is, the more good news that comes out, the more likely it is the markets will head South.
Don’t worry. You’re not the only one.
You see, right now we’re entering a very unusual trading... ››› more
For as long as the stock market and charts have been around, using just one line, you would've been able to see where the market was going.
With this line, you could have prevented yourself from being caught up in the dot com bubble, and in the financial crisis.
You'll also be able to protect yourself from any other financial crashes which are bound to hit the market in the near future.
... ››› more
What I'm about to reveal to you, could have a negative impact on your portfolio in the short to medium term.
If you're a trader and you enjoying buying into the market like I do, then reading this could potentially save you from taking unnecessary losses.
On a daily basis, I go over a specific list of charts including our main market, the All Share Index (ALSH).
Today when I opened up the AL... ››› more
The JSE closed firmly down today. The local bourse is feeling the pressure of the strike in the gold sector. And tensions are rising over Syria as the West takes a step closer to military action. Let's take a closer look at what went on today…
The JSE closed well into the red today.
There are “renewed fears over military intervention” by the West, reports I-Net Bridge. And “widespread... ››› more
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