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Bear Market

  • Is the bear market nearing its end?
  • The JSE crashed 14.45% between 2 March 2022 and 9 May 2022. Similarly, the Dow Jones index in the USA is down 10.74% year to date of which half of this drop has been in the past month. And the S&P 500 index is down 14.75% year to date. We hear about inflation, war, lockdowns, supply chain issues all as contributing to this bear market… So, what is fuelling the market's drop - and are we... ››› more
  • [19 May 2022]
  • Why I expect a 25% drop in the Euro!
  • The next time you travel to Europe, it might be very affordable. You may actually be able to travel to the hotel of your choice, eat at any restaurant and enjoy the tourist attractions without hurting your pocket. I'm in Greece right now for a few months and I've got myself a little place in the heart of Athens and I must say, all furniture, appliances, TV and other accessories are super che... ››› more
  • [30 March 2022]
  • Facebook's share price is still falling… Should you buy the dip?
  • It's been a tough start for equity markets this year. Last night the Dow fell more than 600 points, which is the worst decline yet in 2022. And that's saying something. As I warned in November last year (near record highs for the tech-heavy Nasdaq) higher inflation numbers will put pressure on growth stocks. The Nasdaq composite fell another -2.9% last night. That means the index is now down -1... ››› more
  • [22 February 2022]
  • Bitcoin hit my $40,000 price target - Here's why I'm not happy yet!
  • I have an important notice for you. First, I am not a BIG bear when it comes to Bitcoin. I know in the medium to long run, it's going to continue to make all time highs. However, since November 2021 I have been shorting (selling) Bitcoin and have been making decent profits. In fact, I sent out an analysis on how I expected the price to drop from $50,000 to $40,000. And it did exactly... ››› more
  • [26 January 2022]
  • Why now is NOT the time to bail from crypto!
  • If you're a crypto investor, you're sitting through a major pullback right now. And you're probably looking at a painful decline in your crypto portfolio value maybe 20%, even 50%. So is this current weakness just standard volatility, like we've seen for years, or is this time different - a sustained bear market? Well it may be a tough moment for crypto investors, but it's not time to ... ››› more
  • [20 July 2021]
  • Five bear market survival strategies for investors
  • A bear market refers to a widespread decline in asset prices of at least 20%. We've seen stock markets fall 20% and more in recent months. The oil price fell through the floor, and unemployment is soaring. This is not a fun time to be in, and you might be confused, panicked or just blown away. The good news is, this is only a phase - and it will also pass. Things will turn around and l... ››› more
  • [13 May 2020]
  • 3 Checks to Protect Your Portfolio as Airlines Crash and Burn…
  • It was quite a week for airline stocks. It started with the announcement from Warren Buffett that Berkshire Hathaway had sold stakes in four major US airlines: United, Delta, Southwest and American Airlines. This is an exceptionally uncharacteristic move from the legendary value investor. Firstly, Buffett is all about “buy and hold”. He rarely sells investments unless, the prospect... ››› more
  • [07 May 2020]
  • COVID-19 + Junk Status + Recession fears = another 25% crash on the JSE
  • March 2020, will be known as one of the most brutal months that the JSE and the equity markets have ever seen. On 12 March, the index fell 9.51% and a further 11.98% on 16 March - two of the biggest daily drops since the 2008 Financial Crash. CEO - JSE, Leila Fourie, said in an interview about the value drop and trade volumes: “Over the past few weeks on average we've been processing... ››› more
  • [06 April 2020]
  • Today's prediction is going to astound you
  • Unless you live under a rock, you'll know global markets have fallen dramatically over the last few days. Many major indices are now in bear market territory, having fallen more than 20% from highs. Some sectors, like energy, have fallen even further. It's total carnage out there! But, if you're a regular reader, you can't say we didn't warn you about this… Firstly, as many of my reade... ››› more
  • [12 March 2020]
  • Breaking: Is this the next oil crisis?
  • Brent crude has had an abysmal start of the year. As things stand, the price is hovering around $50 per barrel which is the lowest it's been in over 12 months. A major, if not ONLY factor, that's resulted in the drop in brent crude is the Coronavirus. As I write this, the virus has already infected more than 17,000 Chinese people and more than 350 have died. The numbers are rising on... ››› more
  • [10 February 2020]
  • Investing during Pullbacks, Corrections and Bear markets
  • Yesterday saw global stock markets retreat, sending the JSE and other emerging markets into a tailspin. This is on the back of the Coronavirus and a missile attack on the US embassy in Bagdad. But if it wasn't for this, it would have been something else… Investor sentiment has been high, pushing major US indices to all-time highs and others including the JSE to recent highs.     ... ››› more
  • [28 January 2020]
  • Two of my favourite contrarian investment ideas that can make you money in 2020
  • Sometimes taking a contrarian view of a market or investment, can pay off big time… One of my all-time favourite investors, Benjamin Graham, proved this nearly 100 years - during the Great Depression. When stocks crashed nearly 70%, Benjamin Graham didn't give up and avoid the stock market. In fact, he saw this as a perfect opportunity to make money by pinpointing bargain stocks from... ››› more
  • [06 January 2020]
  • Why you must rebalance your crypto portfolio!
  • I'm sure you've heard of portfolio rebalancing. Almost every investor does it. It's a simple, but extremely important ‘tool' where an investor periodically buys or sells different assets (stocks, bonds, etc) within a portfolio. Rebalancing helps reduce the risk an investor suffers from the changes in returns of various investments. And it also helps ‘restore' their desired asset allocatio... ››› more
  • [09 September 2019]
  • The ‘Bitcoin-Gold' connection
  • Right now, many investors are scrambling to find assets that don't follow the swings of the stock market. Their first choice is gold. You see, gold has constantly proved itself as a supreme store of value. If investors get scared by financial or political news, gold makes a great insurance policy. It is almost certain to hold its value over time. And obviously in times of turmoil, ... ››› more
  • [01 July 2019]
  • These two charts show the crypto boom is just getting started
  • 2019 is shaping up to be a stellar year for crypto investors. If you bought the two biggest cryptos - bitcoin and ethereum - at the beginning of 2019, you'd be sitting on gains of 63% and 29% respectively. That's more than double the returns of the S&P500 and the JSE All Share. But, cryptos are more than just about prices and gains. There are bigger things happening behind the ... ››› more
  • [14 May 2019]
  • Why Brent Crude is going to $90 a barrel and how you can profit
  • How's this… In just one month, Brent Crude has dropped from $85 down to $65 per barrel and the media is going crazy. Last week mainstream media headlines read:      “Brent enters bear market”   “How Brent Crude has just crashed in just six weeks”   “Will we see $40 per barrel again”   So why am I predicting Brent Crude will rise to $90... ››› more
  • [20 November 2018]
  • Let the JSE bear be your investment opportunity
  • When the market opens today it will officially be in a bear market as the JSE extends the recent sell-off on overnight weakness offshore. Most of this sell-off has been driven by global politics and rising interest rates in the US, with other developed markets to follow suit. Retail investors are yet to “Panic” about the value of their portfolios. ... ››› more
  • [25 October 2018]
  • Shoprite's mayhem! - Why I expect the share price to drop another 37%
  • For the first time in 19 years, Africa's biggest grocer (Shoprite) reported its first annual earnings decline. With the Listeria outbreak, the higher fuel prices, the increased VAT, the ongoing strikes, 489 armed robberies and the ever-weakening rand this decline was inevitable. Even Chief Executive Pieter Engelbrecht mentioned “the toughest (year) that I can recall”.   In term... ››› more
  • [03 September 2018]
  • How to profit from Facebook's $50 billion downfall
  • If you're not aware yet, Facebook is in hot water. A US Resident has sued Facebook and a British based political consultancy for taking data from millions of Facebook users without their permission. This information was linked to the exploitation of the information by the Cambridge Analytica consultancy to help President Donald Trump's election campaign. Long story short, this ordeal has ... ››› more
  • [24 April 2018]
  • An investor's greatest asset…
  • What do you believe an investor's greatest asset is? A high IQ? No. A stack of degrees behind their name? Definitely not! A workable investment strategy? Not at all. In fact, the answer has nothing to do with money or personal success. But it's something every potential investor can achieve. Let me explain… The world’s most famous investor confirms this... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
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