The general consensus amongst professional sports bettors is that home-field advantage in the NFL is worth three points.
But there are a number of factors that go into that…
Those variables can change making the advantage more or less valuable.
Today I want to take a look at those factors that bettors should consider before wagering on NFL games and then examine the home-field advant... ››› more
Defence!… Defence!… Defence!
It's an iconic chant you hear roaring throughout any football stadium.
It's so important and such a big talking point that most post game shows only ever talk about a team's defensive stats.
That's why today, I want to wade through all the nonsense and give you the most important defensive stats!
Let's get started…
___________________________... ››› more
It's crucial for all sports bettors to evolve their NFL betting strategy.
That's if you want to be on the winning end of the bet!
And the best way is to look at net Yards per Play to find your next profitable opportunity.
It's a simple calculation that exploits discrepancies in the football market.
And it's one I'm dying to share with you…
_______________________... ››› more
The NFL has become increasingly popular outside of the United States.
Just consider that over $145 million dollars was wagered on the 2019 super bowl!
It's a must when it comes to expanding your sports betting portfolio.
There is a wealth of FREE resources out there that makes betting on the NFL a hugely profitable sports betting opportunity.
And today I want to show you just how ea... ››› more
It's no secret that I'm a big fan of multiples.
I'm talking about placing ‘multiple bets' at one time.
You see they also multiply your winnings too!
If you're a member of The Winning Streak you know all too well, I use them in nearly every bet I send.
But there is an art to using this strategy, and its one that I've cultivated over the last four years.
And today I want to shar... ››› more
It's finals time!
The 2019 Rugby World Cup is almost at an end but there are still two opportunities for us to profit!
Third and fourth place will be decided on Friday between the defending champions and Wales.
While South Africa look to take on England on Saturday, in what will be considered the most important game of the tournament.
Will South Africa stun the world and li... ››› more
Last week Thursday, I gave you my predictions for the quarter final of the Rugby World Cup.
And lo and behold…
I got 7 out of the 8 correct, that's an 87.5% win rate!
My emails have been flooding with request after request after request… for my Semi Final predictions.
So without further ado, let's get stared….
Why ... ››› more
From the 20 teams that started in the rugby world cup, only eight remain.
We've seen some great upsets, from the likes of Japan and Uruguay and some poor performances from Russia and the USA.
However, all the remaining sides cannot be ignored as we go in to the quarter finals.
That's why today I want to give you my predictions for the upcoming knockout encounters this weekend!
Let... ››› more
Whether you're in finance, banking or the sports betting market, being able to calculate expected value on a trade or a bet is fundamental to your long term success.
In fact, one mathematician used expected value to win the lottery!
And despite its accuracy, most sports bettors are not familiar with this technique.
That's why today, I want to show you how to use expected value and why ... ››› more
A couple of people have been emailing and texting me non-stop about the odds during the rugby world cup.
Here's one saying:
“They're terrible! - how do you expect to make any money from these odds?”
And he has a good point.
Just look at these two games:
France vs USA and New Zealand vs Canada
From the odds you can see that a bet on France to beat the U... ››› more
Last week Thursday I gave you guys my round 1 picks for the Rugby World Cup.
• Japan to win
• Australia to win
• France to win
• New Zealand to win
• Italy to win
• Ireland to win
• England to win
• Wales to win
And if you'd taken each one of my predictions, you would have walked away with an 8 out of 8 winning streak.
I have been receiving a number of emails fr... ››› more
One of the most important decisions you'll make when sports betting has nothing to do with picking the right side or the correct score of a game.
This crucial decision is picking your online bookmaker.
There are dozens of companies offering sports betting over the internet, and many of them seem to offer the same service…
So how do you decide which one is best for you?
Well I hav... ››› more
When was the last time you decided to bet on a team, but discovered new information and changed your bet to back the opponent?
If you don't do this very often, it could be because you've become victim of “Confirmation Bias”!
It's a little known phenomenon that can end up destroying your bankroll and put you out for good.
But don't worry, because while this may be something harmful ... ››› more
“What do I look at FIRST when analysing a soccer match?”
This is a common question I get, and I always give the same answer…
You need to look at the variables!
Once you know these variables, you'll have an indestructible game plan you can follow to make accurate predictions when you take a bet.
Let's get into them…
... ››› more
The sports betting world is filled with different types of bettors.
They range from being your ‘average Joe' or recreational sports bettors to the more experienced ‘wise guys'.
But no matter who you think you are, you'll likely fall in to one of two categories:
1. ‘Sharp Sports Bettor'
2. ‘Square Sports Bettor'
So, Which one are you?
_________________... ››› more
If you did maths and more specifically geometry you will no doubt remember this…
In a right-angled triangle, the square of the hypotenuse equals
the sum of the squares of the other two sides
That is what Pythagoras is most famous for - The Pythagoras theorem…
But he was profoundly influential in the writings and thinking of future philosophers such as Aristotle and Plato and in ... ››› more
Ever heard of the Martingale Staking System'?
It is a simple betting system that originated in 18th century France.
It required the gambler to double their bet after every loss so the first win would recover all previous losses and end up with a profit equal to the original stake.
The theory suggests that if you had infinite time and wealth, the probability of eventually winning become... ››› more
Over the last two weeks, I've successfully bet and won on 3 MMA fights by betting on the underdog.
Together this has made me over R5,000 in profit.
To put that into perspective I staked R1,000 per point on each underdog and won a total of R5,110!
Looking at the statistics it's estimated that underdogs in the UFC win about 34% of the time, 39% in Bellator and only 20% in World Series of... ››› more
Ever heard of the term “Wisdom of the Crowd”?
It's a simple idea, first proposed by Aristotle in his work titled Politics.
It states the collective opinion of a group of individuals is superior to that of a single expert.
To illustrate this imagine you're at a carnival.
A well-known game is to guess the number of sweets in a large jar.
The most effective way to correctly gu... ››› more
Monitoring line movement can provide you with a simple evaluation of the market.
While understanding why the bookmakers make these small adjustments can be beneficial to sports bettors.
However, a common mistake is to base betting decisions on line movements alone.
This leads you to misinformation and can distort your final betting decision.
In today's article I want to explain the... ››› more
Disclaimer Note that FSP Invest, a division of Fleet Street Publications (Pty) Ltd, is a research house and not a registered broker, financial advisor or financial service provider. Our editors and customer services teams also do not give personal investment advice. The advice in this website is general advice only and may not be appropriate to your particular investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, so before investing or if in any doubt about your personal situation, you should seek professional advice from a stockbroker or independent financial adviser authorised by the Financial Services Board.
We research our recommendations and articles thoroughly, but disclaim all liability for any inaccuracies or omissions found in this publication.
Remember: Never invest more than you can afford to spare and that the value of any investment, and the income derived from it, can go down as well as up. The past is not necessarily a guide to future performance.
Editors or contributors may have an interest in investments commented on in this newsletter. However they have signed restraints to prevent the abuse of their position as contributors to this publication.