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Betting

  • How to choose the right bookmaker
  • One of the most important decisions you'll make when sports betting has nothing to do with picking the right side or the correct score of a game. This crucial decision is picking your online bookmaker. There are dozens of companies offering sports betting over the internet, and many of them seem to offer the same service… So how do you decide which one is best for you? Well I hav... ››› more
  • [12 September 2019]
  • Don't let your brain trick you into making the wrong bet!
  • When was the last time you decided to bet on a team, but discovered new information and changed your bet to back the opponent? If you don't do this very often, it could be because you've become victim of “Confirmation Bias”! It's a little known phenomenon that can end up destroying your bankroll and put you out for good. But don't worry, because while this may be something harmful ... ››› more
  • [05 September 2019]
  • Pay attention to the variables, and start making winning soccer predictions!
  • “What do I look at FIRST when analysing a soccer match?” This is a common question I get, and I always give the same answer… You need to look at the variables! Once you know these variables, you'll have an indestructible game plan you can follow to make accurate predictions when you take a bet. Let's get into them…   ________________________________________   ... ››› more
  • [29 August 2019]
  • Are you a ‘Square' or ‘Sharp' sports bettor?
  • The sports betting world is filled with different types of bettors. They range from being your ‘average Joe' or recreational sports bettors to the more experienced ‘wise guys'. But no matter who you think you are, you'll likely fall in to one of two categories: 1. ‘Sharp Sports Bettor' Or 2. ‘Square Sports Bettor' So, Which one are you?   _________________... ››› more
  • [22 August 2019]
  • What is Pythagorean Expectation and how can it help with your next soccer bet
  • If you did maths and more specifically geometry you will no doubt remember this… In a right-angled triangle, the square of the hypotenuse equals the sum of the squares of the other two sides That is what Pythagoras is most famous for - The Pythagoras theorem… But he was profoundly influential in the writings and thinking of future philosophers such as Aristotle and Plato and in ... ››› more
  • [15 August 2019]
  • So if you just lost your bet, why on earth would you double up?
  • Ever heard of the Martingale Staking System'? It is a simple betting system that originated in 18th century France. It required the gambler to double their bet after every loss so the first win would recover all previous losses and end up with a profit equal to the original stake. The theory suggests that if you had infinite time and wealth, the probability of eventually winning become... ››› more
  • [25 July 2019]
  • Five ways to identify the underdog in MMA
  • Over the last two weeks, I've successfully bet and won on 3 MMA fights by betting on the underdog. Together this has made me over R5,000 in profit. To put that into perspective I staked R1,000 per point on each underdog and won a total of R5,110! Looking at the statistics it's estimated that underdogs in the UFC win about 34% of the time, 39% in Bellator and only 20% in World Series of... ››› more
  • [18 July 2019]
  • Profit from “Wisdom of the Crowd”
  • Ever heard of the term “Wisdom of the Crowd”? It's a simple idea, first proposed by Aristotle in his work titled Politics. It states the collective opinion of a group of individuals is superior to that of a single expert. To illustrate this imagine you're at a carnival. A well-known game is to guess the number of sweets in a large jar. The most effective way to correctly gu... ››› more
  • [11 July 2019]
  • Why you should avoid using this sports betting strategy
  • Monitoring line movement can provide you with a simple evaluation of the market. While understanding why the bookmakers make these small adjustments can be beneficial to sports bettors. However, a common mistake is to base betting decisions on line movements alone. This leads you to misinformation and can distort your final betting decision. In today's article I want to explain the... ››› more
  • [27 June 2019]
  • What is the Halo Effect and how does it affect your judgment
  • When we bet, we usually bet intuitively. Meaning we rely on what we know and feel about a particular team or player and make an on-the-spot judgment of the chances of success. While Intuition is great at instantly assessing if someone is upset or angry at you, it's not great when assessing whether a team or player will successfully win their respective matches. The Halo Effect is a big... ››› more
  • [06 June 2019]
  • What does an 18th century English minister and sports betting have in common?
  • It took over 200 years for Thomas Bayes' work to be recognised. With the invention of the personal computer Thomas Bayes' Bayesian analysis has gained wide spread acceptance in many different spheres. Such as predictive models and artificial intelligence to name a few. In its simple form the Bayesian analysis uses probability and reasoning to make a decision in the face of uncertainty,... ››› more
  • [25 April 2019]
  • Maximise your profits with over under betting
  • As a sports bettor, I am constantly looking at ways to maximise my bottom line. I've tried and tested nearly every market the bookie has to offer. And one increasingly popular type of market has caught my attention. It's called the over under market, and nearly every sport has it on offer. Today I want to show you how it works and what you can do to maximise its potential. Let'... ››› more
  • [18 April 2019]
  • Are you a Lion or a Rhino sports bettor?
  • I doubt you've ever considered whether you're more of a Lion or a Rhino.   However, these two animals are not only part of our beautiful big five, but illustrate important traits about the way we think and impact our ability to make successful betting predictions. “Lions know many things, while Rhino’s know one big thing!”   Find out which one you are below?   _____... ››› more
  • [11 April 2019]
  • How you can profit from perception
  • Have you ever looked at two teams and instantly known which one will win? And then, you look at the odds and they tell you the exact same thing… - the bookie also thinks they will win so you're offered lousy odds. This perception of which team is likely to win arises because of influences such as: • Historical dominance • Home field advantage • Player injuries and availabili... ››› more
  • [21 March 2019]
  • How to analyse a boxers' fighting style to make expert boxing predictions
  • Being able to analyse a boxer's fighting style is a difficult skill to master. However when done correctly, it can result in long-term profit. That's why today I want to show you how to analyse a boxer's fighting style, how to analyse pre-fight trends and how a proper strategy can help you find value when making your next boxing prediction. Let's get started…   ____________... ››› more
  • [07 February 2019]
  • How to DOUBLE your money from betting on the draw!
  • Did you know that on average you could double your money betting on a draw than on just the old-fashioned winner? TWO TIME MORE! Just last weekend, Chelsea took on Manchester United. The odds for Chelsea to win were 1.77, this means you could turn R1,000 into R1,770. While the odds for Manchester United to win were 1.80, this would turn R1,000 into R1,800. But now take a look a... ››› more
  • [25 October 2018]
  • How I use “Poisson Distribution” to successfully predict winning soccer outcomes
  • Every weekend myself and a couple of mates from work head over to our local sports bar, where we catch the lunch time Barclays Premier League game that day. The afternoon always starts out the same, with great debate and the odd bet or two. The most common friendly bet we place is the goal outcome for that game. But, here's something they don't know I have. It's helped me with the goal ou... ››› more
  • [25 October 2018]
  • How fantasy soccer can improve your sports betting
  • Over the last couple of years, fantasy soccer has grown exponentially. With millions of people from around the world joining in to make the experience, just that more exciting. The similarities between fantasy Premier League and betting just can't be ignored. And savvy sports bettors like you need to know how to take advantage of this. In today's article, I want to show you how you... ››› more
  • [16 August 2018]
  • Seven golden rules to boost your sports betting bankroll
  • When I first started out as sports bettor, I had many questions. A lot of which, couldn't be answered by googling various vague terms like: “Professional sports betting tips”   Or   “How to become a professional sports bettor”   These vague and useless questions got me nowhere, slowly.   So, over the years while perfecting my betting strategy I... ››› more
  • [27 July 2018]
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