“I am trying to wrap my mind around the spot and the futures market. Could you please clarify between the two and what the differences are between them?”
~ Graham
A. There are two different types of markets when it comes to trading – the spot and futures market.
The spot market or cash market is a public financial market in which the actual financial instrument is... ››› more
On Monday, while I was doing my weekly market analysis, I saw something I've never seen before.
For the first time in history, the US WTI (West Texas Intermediate) oil prices crashed below zero.
At first, I thought this was just a glitch on my trading platform. But then, just minutes later, it was the breaking news event of the day.
When I did the research, I realised that the demand f... ››› more
Headlines this morning will be dominated by the fact that WTI traded at -$40.32 a barrel before settling at just over $1.
Most retail investors will be thinking they have missed out on the trade of a lifetime when Oil trades above $20 today (when the June contract starts trading).
But the only people who could have made big money buying oil at near zero or negative are those who can take p... ››› more
All I can say is…
“That escalated quickly.”
On the 10th of February I sent out the article “BREAKING: Is this the next Oil Crisis?”
And last week in a matter of seconds, the oil price fell over 30%, striking right through my first target price.
This was Brent Crude's biggest one-day percentage drop since the start of the Gulf War in 1991.
And I haven't even mentio... ››› more
On 10 February 2020, Timon Rossolimos, sent out an article:
Breaking: Is this the next oil crisis?
At the time the oil price was trading at $54.49 per barrel…
Timon predicted that Brent Crude would fall to $42.48 in a couple of weeks…
This was due to the following factors…
• Major travel restrictions due to the Coronavirus meant less ... ››› more
Brent crude has had an abysmal start of the year.
As things stand, the price is hovering around $50 per barrel which is the lowest it's been in over 12 months.
A major, if not ONLY factor, that's resulted in the drop in brent crude is the Coronavirus.
As I write this, the virus has already infected more than 17,000 Chinese people and more than 350 have died. The numbers are rising on... ››› more
In this week's episode of the Trump versus the world, Turkey seems to be in the spot light.
Last week Monday, President Trump said that he was going to apply heavy duties, boost tariffs on the country's steel to 50% from 25%, authorise sanctions on Turkey and cut off a $100 billion trade deal following Ankara's invasion of north-east Syria.
This is a major concern for analysts worldwide a... ››› more
Early in February this year, I sent out a prediction on the Brent crude oil price and why I expected it to hit $76.60.
Right now, the oil price is on par with the prediction as, last week, it rose above the $70 mark.
But something has changed…
In fact, I expect the Brent Crude price to rise even higher than I ever imagined. This is all thanks to Opec, five countries and a promising c... ››› more
How to get your trading questions answered by Timon himself
Q. “Timon, I'm sorry to ask you on Twitter but I need to know. Where can I ask my trading and investing questions to get answers direct from FSP Invest analysts”
A. You may ask all your questions in the comments in the Q&A section of our Facebook page by clicking here.
If you don't have Face... ››› more
2018 was a wild year for investors as almost everything except cash produced negative returns. Brent crude was down 19.5% for the year, sending Sasol back to where it started the year after staging a spectacular rally above R580.
The R400 support level has proven to be a strong support level, which buyers have defended.
Take a look at the chart below.
The Oil pr... ››› more
How's this…
In just one month, Brent Crude has dropped from $85 down to $65 per barrel and the media is going crazy.
Last week mainstream media headlines read:
“Brent enters bear market”
“How Brent Crude has just crashed in just six weeks”
“Will we see $40 per barrel again”
So why am I predicting Brent Crude will rise to $90... ››› more
Last month, I made a prediction that Brent Crude was heading to $80. At the time it was trading at just $73…
Two weeks later, it hit the target.
While other analysts were making gloom and doom predictions, we took advantage of the rise and made 17%.
And now for the first time since 2014, the Brent Crude price has hit a new high price at $81, and I'm afraid the rise has only just begu... ››› more
On 27 June I told Money Morning readers I expected the oil price to drop.
That week saw the oil price start a slide which has been its longest downturn in three years!
As you can see, the oil price has had seven weeks of downturns following end of June. This past week has seen it halt the decline, but I don't foresee this as a sustained upturn.
Simply put - oil shouldn't trade above $70 a... ››› more
Brent Crude has been in the spotlight this month.
There's conflict between the analysts and the big banks, on where they expect the price to go.
On the one side, many analysts expect the price of oil to hit new highs at $80.68 per barrel. They believe there may be a strain on supply in the next couple of months, due to the US trade sanctions on Iran and the Venezualan crisis.
On t... ››› more
Fun times we're living in.
We have two scenarios with oil in South Africa.
Oil goes up in price and the petrol price goes up.
Oil goes down in price and the petrol price STILL goes up.
So clearly, no matter which way the oil price goes, we are still going to pay higher petrol prices.
But there are ways to profit from the oil price, by just using one simple line.
Today I'm going to... ››› more
JSE All Share marginally positive, up 0,7%
After several volatile weeks, due to policy uncertainty, some calm appears to have returned to the markets. The JSE All Share Index was up 0,7% last week. Resources were down 3%, while Industrial's up 1,8% and Financials' up 2,5% lifted the markets overall.
Brent Crude up 5%
Russia indicated it would support a cut in output if adopted by Opec. Ma... ››› more
Over the past few weeks, the oil price has rallied.
This is mostly thanks to a weaker dollar and the chance that supply of US shale oil is slowing.
So will oil keep climbing?
Let's take a closer look…
How the oil industry has changed
The big change in the whole oil industry has been the success of US shale oil. More efficient fracking led to oil reserves that were once inacces... ››› more
Two steps forward one step back. This is the story about the petrol price in South Africa. In the beginning of March, the petrol price rose 96c a litre. And on the 1st April, you can add an extra R1.62 to the fuel prices.
Unfortunately, this won't be an April Fools Day prank at all! There's something bigger brewing. And it all starts with the ongoing violence between Saudi Arabia and Yemen.
... ››› more
After shedding over 50% of its price in just over six months, the price of Brent crude is starting to climb again.
So what's behind this climb in the oil price? And what does this mean for oil companies?
Let's take a closer look…
The oil price has risen over 20% in the past week
Since the middle of January, the oil price has been starting to climb again. Is this the return of a bu... ››› more
One of the main talking points of the year so far has been the unprecedented drop in the price of oil.
Despite nearly halving in value during the last six-months of 2014, the commodity has continued to fall sharply this week.
So what's going on with the oil price? And when it is likely to stop falling?
Let's take a closer look…
The oil price falls to $49.92
For the first time i... ››› more
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