The global stock market indices continue to rally, with a handful of companies contributing to the positive performance since the march lows.
And while the anecdote says, “a rising tide lifts all boats”, this isn't the case. Many sectors in the market are just bobbing up and down and not moving decidedly higher. These overlooked companies offer value, still 20% or more below their pre Covi... ››› more
This week we follow on with two more investment themes set to perform in the new economic reality, which will evolve post Covid 19 lockdowns.
• Alcohol & Tobacco
These are seen as defensive sectors and have been known to perform better than food in times of recession. The relaxation of alcohol sales by some countries in the SADC region from the beginning of June should see s... ››› more
2020 has barely begun yet we're already set to be flooded by hundreds of companies set to report financial results between February and March.
Results releases are even more important for small-cap and penny stocks.
That's because these companies don't have as much interest from institutional analysts - so results announcements are the main way for news about these companies' potential to ... ››› more
Happy New Year and welcome to 2020.
The last time we entered a new decade, the world was recovering from the 08/09 Financial Crisis.
Since then, the US stock market has repeatedly hit new all-time highs (despite some bumps in the road).
And while we know the turning point in the cycle could be around the corner… we have to remember…
... ››› more
JSE listed stocks are selling at their cheapest levels in a decade.
And that's created an opportunity for internationally listed, and private equity companies to make a mint.
You see, these companies borrow money internationally at 3%, 4% or 5% interest. They then buy these South African companies that are selling cheaply and the dividends they receive from them are enough to repay their b... ››› more
While you're enjoying the summer sun and clear skies back in SA paradise…
I'm afraid I'm not.
I'm trying to keep warm sitting inside a local restaurant in Greece with a cup of hot chocolate while I search for my next trade.
And surprise, surprise, cocoa popped up on my radar…
Here are three reasons why I'm buying cocoa and where I expect it to head next.
_____________________... ››› more
Naspers result are due on Thursday and we should see buyers push the share price higher into year end.
Yesterday's trading update provided some insight into what to expect as it highlighted core earnings from continuing operations will increase between 7% and 10%.
Last week Tencent released results, and while it didn't excite traders and investors, it highlighted that a maturing business c... ››› more
The platinum price has been depressed for a couple of years because of high surpluses on the back of mining and recycling of the metal putting more of it in the system than is being bought up by investors and producers.
But 2019 saw this take a turn.
Platinum demand for 2019 is already up significantly. Full year forecasts puts the metal's demand at 8,045 koz, compared to the 2018 figure o... ››› more
Q. “Hi Timon, I've been using MetaTrader 4 for the last month, and I still have no idea how to place an entry. Before I would just type the price I wanted into my other platform and now with MT4 I have to choose between 4 different entry orders. Could you please explain when to use each one so I know for the future?”
A. This was a question I had when I changed platforms as well… And I be... ››› more
In what was one of the largest 24-hour market sell-offs this year, over $30 billion was dumped from crypto assets.
At one stage, the largest crypto, bitcoin, was down around 20% as its price crashed to a three-month low of just over $7,800.
While, many predicted a huge drop to around $8,000, it was still quite a shock to see it happen.
So what caused the crash and what should crypto in... ››› more
Globally, investor sentiment is at a low, investors on the JSE are no different. They are faced with the same issues and risks as global investors but with the added risks locally.
It's not easy being optimistic enough to deploy additional capital but you can stack the odds in your favour by slowly deploying capital into the many JSE “bargains” that periods of sustained pessimism bring. Ba... ››› more
The hunt for yield and aversion to risk is causing something we have never seen before.
Interest rates and bond yields are falling globally and have turned negative. You can get a home loan in Denmark at an interest rate of -0.50% per year fixed for 10 years. While we are still far away from that with real rates in positive territory, investors must be tactical in deploying capital.
... ››› more
The most lucrative opportunities are found in times of maximum pessimism. Investors just need to filter through the noise for the right shares to invest in, that have potential tail winds in the months and years ahead.
Small caps have lost favour with investors. Many are trading at all-time lows while growing profits steadily in these tough economic times.
One such share is a little-known ... ››› more
If you haven't already read about it, Naspers (NPN) plans to list its international internet assets, in a company called Prosus, on the Euronext Amsterdam exchange and the JSE on September 11.
So, you need to own Naspers on 12 September (Ex-div date) to qualify for Prosus shares or additional Naspers shares.
For a lot of investors, the biggest consideration affecting their d... ››› more
Q. "Hi Timon thanks for the Cannabis article! It really seems like this is the new mainstream way of investing in the near future thanks to legislative changes in the US, Canada and now South Africa. Would you perhaps know the most popular and most traded cannabis stocks to trade offshore? With the rate that the JSE has been crashing, it might be a good hedge investment opportunity."
A. It ca... ››› more
In June 2019 I told readers that gold is headed higher… Back then I had a longer term target of $1,900 in mind.
Today, the gold price is already $100 higher than it was back then.
The rand is also weaker - leading to a rand gold price of more than R750,000/kg. That is R110,000 per kilo more than it was in June...
Gold has suddenly become so bullish that Goldman Sachs just upgraded it... ››› more
The quote above is what Jehan Chu, managing partner at blockchain investment and advisory firm Kenetic Capital in Hong Kong, recently said about Bitcoin.
What made him say this?
Well, last week Donald Trump continued his ‘tariff tantrum' by adding 10% tariffs on another $300 billion in Chinese imports, starting 1 September.
China retaliated by asking state buyers to halt American ag... ››› more
As Winston Churchill once said “Never let a good crisis go to waste”, we believe investors should be ensuring they have enough exposure to offshore assets that will be a hedge against a “deeper crisis” and should be slowly buying depressed local assets if they have cash on hand. Most investors have been sitting on the sidelines not fully exposed to equities
You can't blame local invest... ››› more
At the end of February 2019, I sent out a prediction article on silver.
In it, I mentioned that silver's price broke above a ceiling level (blue line in the graph below) at $15.80.
Since then, the silver market’s price buying momentum picked up and has been in a strong upward trajectory.
In fact, right now the silver price is trading at around $16.52, ... ››› more
I'm sure you have seen the headlines signaling the Rand is on a downward spiral. We highlighted the Rand being at risk of weakness when it was below R13.90 to the USD two weeks ago. It's lost almost 3% but recovering steadily.
This bout of weakness is on the back of Eskom's new lifeline of R59 billion, over the next two years. After government committed R69 billion over three years earlier thi... ››› more
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