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  • Which will be the top retail pick in 2017?
  • Happy new year everyone, I hope you all had a good break and did tons of holiday shopping for your friends and family! Why? Because yesterday marked the beginning of the retail reporting season. And, in the next couple of weeks we're going to see just how much South African's spent at the shops in December. There is no doubt the market is expecting a super tough Xmas period for the beleag... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • The one industry I'm most excited about for 2017…
  • As I predicted last year, 2016 was a year of consolidation. Our market went nowhere. But shares are much cheaper today than they were a year ago. And that makes me optimistic about 2017. But there's one industry in particular that I've got my eyes on. It was arguably the worst sector for 2016. Agriculture. One of the worst droughts in decades hit South Africa. Farmers lost crop... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • The company watch list: AVI Limited - A combination of value and growth
  • AVI is a South African based company, listed on the JSE in the Food Products sector, and is centered on the FMCG market. AVI's extensive brand portfolio includes more than 50 brands. The Group comprises of trading subsidiaries that manufacture, process, market & distribute branded consumer products. AVI brands span across a range of categories including: hot beverages, sweet and savory bis... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • The state of our nation + 3 to buy and 2 to sell
  • The JSE Top 40 closed the week down 1,5%. Higher commodity prices; Gold, Silver and Brent Oil were up more than 2%, while Platinum managed 1,6%. These were not enough to save the Resources Index (down 3%) from a stronger Rand. Industrials and Financials were also softer. Anglogold up 9,3% and Harmony 9,5% responding to a firmer Gold Price (up 2,5%). PSG rallied 6%, see comment below. ... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • Getting it right… 2 to buy and 2 to sell
  • Where is, the Rand going? The biggest surprise last week came from the Rand which strengthened another 2,3% against the US Dollar and 3% to the Pound. This put Rand hedge stocks under pressure and the Resources Index fell 2,7%. The JSE Top 40 index was down 1,5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1,8% and the S&P500 1,5%, touching new highs. European markets were firmer but m... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • Why I'm calling a buy on the JSE, even though many call it expensive
  • “The JSE is too expensive, rather buy these offshore stocks”, if read this headline, and variations of it many times in the past year. Yet, my Red Hot Penny Shares readers would've banked an average gain on shares we sold of 22.21% in 2016. Whilst there are still calls to drop the JSE and put your money elsewhere I am optimistic. I believe 2017 can be just as good, or better, than ... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • Commodities take a step lower - Three to buy and one to sell
  • Commodities take a step lower Brent oil led the commodity basket lower last week, losing 8,1%; Platinum and Gold were down 5,7% and 2,4% respectively. Although the Rand softened, the pressure was too much for the JSE All Share Index which fell 0,8%. Resources fell 5,5%, but the rest of the sectors held up well. International indices were slightly softer across most time zone... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • "Triple Witching" stirs local market rally- Two to buy and two to sell
  • “Triple Witching” refers to the combined expiration of the Index futures, Index options and stock options. In the UK and US this happens on Friday's, but in SA it happens a day earlier on Thursday. The event typically creates increased market activity and in some cases volatility. Global markets were relatively subdued for last week's expiry, the US, UK and European majors were firmer by b... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • The one thing that will lose you money when you ‘buy to flip'
  • Buying a house, renovating and then selling it (called "buy to flip") can be one of the most rewarding investments for property investors… You buy an old home for say R1 million, spend R250,000 on renovations and then sell it for R1.6 million or more. Most investors believe the biggest secret behind a buy to flip is getting the best deal on materials for your renovation. That's the b... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • Choppy waters ahead? - Two to buy and one to sell
  • The news yesterday that several ministers have been recalled to SA has created some consternation; the Rand jolted back 3%. There is speculation of a cabinet reshuffle and/or further legal developments relating to the impasse between Treasury, Banks, and the Gupta's…... The new Mining Charter is expected to be released this week. And the market is bracing itself for new challenges. This just... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • Cabinet reshuffle announced - Two to buy and one to sell
  • Admittedly, I expected more movement in the Rand once the cabinet reshuffle was announced. We have a saying that “the Market always knows” which seems to apply in this case. When Mr. Nene was removed, the Rand fell 8,5% within the first few days and then extended those losses by another 10% a few weeks later. By comparison the Rand has loss only 7% so far, perhaps the Market knew that SA I... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • Moving swiftly along - Three to buy
  • A week of heightened protests has ended and the ANC Cadre are holding the fort, for now. Their confidence masks the growing dissension from all sides, including members of its own party, eventually pressure will come to bear. Fitch followed S&P in downgrading SA, but again the reaction was relatively muted. Clearly the market had been preparing for this eventuality. Of more concern is that som... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • If you bought Lifecare Health two weeks ago, you'd be up 27% - Two to buy and one to sell
  • Global markets are watching developments around the French elections for direction. Once again, a far-right candidate, with radical views is the underdog and has the potential to create a shock to the status quo. Emmanuel Marcon is leading Marine Le Pen after the first round, both candidates have offered to hold referendums on remaining part of the European Union. The US earnings season k... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • Last year this stock rallied over 60% in less than 7 months and now it could do it again
  • **Trade Alert: What to Invest in NOW** After an almost meteoric rise in share price, this small cap's share price has come back to earth. And it's time to buy again. You see this share has fallen from an all-time high of R16.99 on 31 October 2016 to R10.60 where it is today. That's a similar price to a year ago, where it rallied over 65% in less than 7 months. And it did a similar thing... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • The proven secrets to master the “buy high and sell higher” strategy
  • We've all heard the expression to make money in the market you need to, “Buy low and sell high.” Well today, I'm going to shatter that conventional wisdom and introduce you to one investor who managed to master the art of “buy high and sell higher”. And in doing so, become one of the world's greatest investors. It was so effective, that his stock recommendation publication returned... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • Macron wins French election, settles markets - Two to buy and one to sell
  • US markets closed at record highs on Friday, helped by technology stocks like Apple, Facebook and Google. The strength of the US markets is filtering through to other developed markets and the victory by Emmanuel Macron in the French elections eliminates one more hurdle. Improving global sentiment bodes well for the weeks ahead. The rise in technology stocks is playing out nicely for our inve... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • A Tale of Two Halves - Three to buy with updates
  • The JSE's Top40 index closed the first half of the year slightly positive at 0.8%. The Industrials were the leaders of the pack as the only major sector to rack up a positive return of 6.4% while resources were underwater by 9.6%. The entire market has been propped up by a handful of top performing shares like Naspers, Richmont, BATS, BidCorp, Mondi and Capitec. The interesting thing to note i... ››› more
  • [21 September 2017]
  • Politicians Playing Chicken with Ratings Agencies - Two to buy and One to Sell
  • The Rand continued its slide last week as news emerged that Nationalising the Reserve Bank was discussed at the ANC conference. Investors are not amused by the uncertainty the ruling party are creating, which is a recipe for further downgrades. And as mentioned in prior weeks, if our local currency and debt are downgraded we could see sustained Rand weakness. Bond yields would also spike as in... ››› more
  • [21 September 2017]
  • The JSE targets record highs as interest rates are cut - Two to buy and two to Sell
  • Last week's interest rate cut of 25 basis points (0.25%) has boosted retailers and shares with high debt levels. Improving sentiment and the prospect of a boost to economic growth provided support for the Rand. Earning season is in full swing, as of Friday, 19% of the companies in the S&P 500 had reported results for Q2 2017 and 73% had beaten earnings and sales expectations. In the we... ››› more
  • [21 September 2017]
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