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Christopher Ammon

  • Five ways to identify the underdog in MMA
  • Over the last two weeks, I've successfully bet and won on 3 MMA fights by betting on the underdog. Together this has made me over R5,000 in profit. To put that into perspective I staked R1,000 per point on each underdog and won a total of R5,110! Looking at the statistics it's estimated that underdogs in the UFC win about 34% of the time, 39% in Bellator and only 20% in World Series of... ››› more
  • [18 July 2019]
  • Profit from “Wisdom of the Crowd”
  • Ever heard of the term “Wisdom of the Crowd”? It's a simple idea, first proposed by Aristotle in his work titled Politics. It states the collective opinion of a group of individuals is superior to that of a single expert. To illustrate this imagine you're at a carnival. A well-known game is to guess the number of sweets in a large jar. The most effective way to correctly gu... ››› more
  • [11 July 2019]
  • What is expected value and why is it important for sports bettors?
  • Expected value is a great way to measure whether a bet is potentially profitable. It does this by using a simple decision matrix that weighs up the upside and downside of two options. In fact it was so useful, one mathematician used Expected Value (EV) to guarantee multiple lottery jackpot wins. However, despite its usefulness many sports bettors are unaware of this formula. So tod... ››› more
  • [04 July 2019]
  • Why you should avoid using this sports betting strategy
  • Monitoring line movement can provide you with a simple evaluation of the market. While understanding why the bookmakers make these small adjustments can be beneficial to sports bettors. However, a common mistake is to base betting decisions on line movements alone. This leads you to misinformation and can distort your final betting decision. In today's article I want to explain the... ››› more
  • [27 June 2019]
  • Why averages can distort your final betting prediction
  • Did you know that one of the most popular ways to assess information or data could be distorting your final betting prediction? I'm talking about Averages. Yes, the humble average can lead to failed outcomes. And today I want to show you why the average should be taken with a pinch of salt. Let's get to it… ________________________________________   I‘ve been waitin... ››› more
  • [20 June 2019]
  • What is the Halo Effect and how does it affect your judgment
  • When we bet, we usually bet intuitively. Meaning we rely on what we know and feel about a particular team or player and make an on-the-spot judgment of the chances of success. While Intuition is great at instantly assessing if someone is upset or angry at you, it's not great when assessing whether a team or player will successfully win their respective matches. The Halo Effect is a big... ››› more
  • [06 June 2019]
  • Who will raise the trophy at this weekend's Champions League Final?
  • This weekend we will see Tottenham & Liverpool meet in an all English Champions League Final. After two of the most dramatic European comebacks of all time, Liverpool will look to lift the trophy after knocking out Barcelona in one of the greatest comeback stories in the leagues history. Tottenham also had a great two-legged victory over Ajax, who are rising stars as a young team. Tottenha... ››› more
  • [30 May 2019]
  • Breaking down 2019's biggest sporting events - Part 1 - The ICC Cricket World Cup
  • 2019 has arrived and we are already five months into the year! We need to start preparing for this year's two biggest sporting events. The Cricket World Cup & the Rugby World Cup. In order for us to get a head start on the competition, I'll be breaking down the first of these major sporting events starting on the 30th of May. The Cricket World Cup! So let's get started.   ... ››› more
  • [23 May 2019]
  • The Monty Hall fallacy
  • Imagine this… You're on a game show, and there are three doors. Behind one of those doors, is the car of your dreams! Behind the others are just two plain old goats… So, you choose door number one. The game show host goes to door number two, opens it, and reveals it's a goat. He gives you the opportunity to change your choice and choose door number three. Do you sta... ››› more
  • [09 May 2019]
  • What does an 18th century English minister and sports betting have in common?
  • It took over 200 years for Thomas Bayes' work to be recognised. With the invention of the personal computer Thomas Bayes' Bayesian analysis has gained wide spread acceptance in many different spheres. Such as predictive models and artificial intelligence to name a few. In its simple form the Bayesian analysis uses probability and reasoning to make a decision in the face of uncertainty,... ››› more
  • [25 April 2019]
  • Maximise your profits with over under betting
  • As a sports bettor, I am constantly looking at ways to maximise my bottom line. I've tried and tested nearly every market the bookie has to offer. And one increasingly popular type of market has caught my attention. It's called the over under market, and nearly every sport has it on offer. Today I want to show you how it works and what you can do to maximise its potential. Let'... ››› more
  • [18 April 2019]
  • Are you a Lion or a Rhino sports bettor?
  • I doubt you've ever considered whether you're more of a Lion or a Rhino.   However, these two animals are not only part of our beautiful big five, but illustrate important traits about the way we think and impact our ability to make successful betting predictions. “Lions know many things, while Rhino’s know one big thing!”   Find out which one you are below?   _____... ››› more
  • [11 April 2019]
  • Why risk to reward is crucial for your Sports Betting success
  • Have you ever heard the following cliché's?   “No pain, no gain.”   Or how about…   “You’ve got to risk it, to get the biscuit”   Whether you’re a sports bettor, trader or an investor, to make GAINS you’ll need to be able to handle and take RISKS at times.    Today I want to show you why the risk to reward ratio is CRUCIAL to your sport... ››› more
  • [28 March 2019]
  • How you can profit from perception
  • Have you ever looked at two teams and instantly known which one will win? And then, you look at the odds and they tell you the exact same thing… - the bookie also thinks they will win so you're offered lousy odds. This perception of which team is likely to win arises because of influences such as: • Historical dominance • Home field advantage • Player injuries and availabili... ››› more
  • [21 March 2019]
  • The Super Rugby kicks off in 24 hours - Here's what you need to know to profit
  • With the Rugby World Cup happening later this year, the Super Rugby tournament is a gold mine of information. Not only will we be able to profit each week from the games but it will also give us key insight into which teams from which countries have the strongest players. But first, we need to analyse the game format and the 1st round of fixtures. Let's get started…   Recom... ››› more
  • [14 February 2019]
  • How to analyse a boxers' fighting style to make expert boxing predictions
  • Being able to analyse a boxer's fighting style is a difficult skill to master. However when done correctly, it can result in long-term profit. That's why today I want to show you how to analyse a boxer's fighting style, how to analyse pre-fight trends and how a proper strategy can help you find value when making your next boxing prediction. Let's get started…   ____________... ››› more
  • [07 February 2019]
  • Use this simple strategy to make accurate Soccer predictions
  • The aim of any sports bettor is to make accurate predictions of what is likely to happen during an event. A common mistake most sports bettors make when trying to predict a game of soccer, is trying to predict everything. From the result of the match, number of corners, will both teams score, under/over; the list just goes on and on… Instead of trying to predict everything, focusing on o... ››› more
  • [24 January 2019]
  • Can't place your first bet? - Here's something that will get you over this hurdle
  • I recently received a question from one of our readers, Ryan:   “Hi Chris, I’ve been reading your articles about sports betting, but I have yet to place my first bet. I can’t seem to push myself over that first hump, I don’t think I’m ready just yet.   Is there something I could be doing to get over this hurdle?” - Ryan   And to answer Ryan’s question. ... ››› more
  • [24 January 2019]
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