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Christopher Ammon

  • My 2019 Rugby World Cup Prediction!
  • Now is the time to get excited about the Rugby World Cup in Japan. It's been four years since the world last clashed on the rugby field and with the introduction of new countries taking part, this year's Rugby World Cup could be a nail-biter. That's why today I want to break down each team to its very core, identify their squads while answering one important question… Who will win ro... ››› more
  • [19 September 2019]
  • How to choose the right bookmaker
  • One of the most important decisions you'll make when sports betting has nothing to do with picking the right side or the correct score of a game. This crucial decision is picking your online bookmaker. There are dozens of companies offering sports betting over the internet, and many of them seem to offer the same service… So how do you decide which one is best for you? Well I hav... ››› more
  • [12 September 2019]
  • Don't let your brain trick you into making the wrong bet!
  • When was the last time you decided to bet on a team, but discovered new information and changed your bet to back the opponent? If you don't do this very often, it could be because you've become victim of “Confirmation Bias”! It's a little known phenomenon that can end up destroying your bankroll and put you out for good. But don't worry, because while this may be something harmful ... ››› more
  • [05 September 2019]
  • Pay attention to the variables, and start making winning soccer predictions!
  • “What do I look at FIRST when analysing a soccer match?” This is a common question I get, and I always give the same answer… You need to look at the variables! Once you know these variables, you'll have an indestructible game plan you can follow to make accurate predictions when you take a bet. Let's get into them…   ________________________________________   ... ››› more
  • [29 August 2019]
  • Are you a ‘Square' or ‘Sharp' sports bettor?
  • The sports betting world is filled with different types of bettors. They range from being your ‘average Joe' or recreational sports bettors to the more experienced ‘wise guys'. But no matter who you think you are, you'll likely fall in to one of two categories: 1. ‘Sharp Sports Bettor' Or 2. ‘Square Sports Bettor' So, Which one are you?   _________________... ››› more
  • [22 August 2019]
  • What is Pythagorean Expectation and how can it help with your next soccer bet
  • If you did maths and more specifically geometry you will no doubt remember this… In a right-angled triangle, the square of the hypotenuse equals the sum of the squares of the other two sides That is what Pythagoras is most famous for - The Pythagoras theorem… But he was profoundly influential in the writings and thinking of future philosophers such as Aristotle and Plato and in ... ››› more
  • [15 August 2019]
  • Kick-off is this Friday and here are your English Premier League Predictions!
  • Can anyone stop Pep Guardiola and Manchester City? Will this finally be the year for Liverpool to be crowned champions? Will Tottenham's new stadium be the answer they need? It's that time of the year again… My crystal ball is polished and ready to make some bold predictions for this Friday's English Premier League kick off. In today's article we will look at this weekend's fi... ››› more
  • [08 August 2019]
  • So if you just lost your bet, why on earth would you double up?
  • Ever heard of the Martingale Staking System'? It is a simple betting system that originated in 18th century France. It required the gambler to double their bet after every loss so the first win would recover all previous losses and end up with a profit equal to the original stake. The theory suggests that if you had infinite time and wealth, the probability of eventually winning become... ››› more
  • [25 July 2019]
  • Five ways to identify the underdog in MMA
  • Over the last two weeks, I've successfully bet and won on 3 MMA fights by betting on the underdog. Together this has made me over R5,000 in profit. To put that into perspective I staked R1,000 per point on each underdog and won a total of R5,110! Looking at the statistics it's estimated that underdogs in the UFC win about 34% of the time, 39% in Bellator and only 20% in World Series of... ››› more
  • [18 July 2019]
  • Profit from “Wisdom of the Crowd”
  • Ever heard of the term “Wisdom of the Crowd”? It's a simple idea, first proposed by Aristotle in his work titled Politics. It states the collective opinion of a group of individuals is superior to that of a single expert. To illustrate this imagine you're at a carnival. A well-known game is to guess the number of sweets in a large jar. The most effective way to correctly gu... ››› more
  • [11 July 2019]
  • What is expected value and why is it important for sports bettors?
  • Expected value is a great way to measure whether a bet is potentially profitable. It does this by using a simple decision matrix that weighs up the upside and downside of two options. In fact it was so useful, one mathematician used Expected Value (EV) to guarantee multiple lottery jackpot wins. However, despite its usefulness many sports bettors are unaware of this formula. So tod... ››› more
  • [04 July 2019]
  • Why you should avoid using this sports betting strategy
  • Monitoring line movement can provide you with a simple evaluation of the market. While understanding why the bookmakers make these small adjustments can be beneficial to sports bettors. However, a common mistake is to base betting decisions on line movements alone. This leads you to misinformation and can distort your final betting decision. In today's article I want to explain the... ››› more
  • [27 June 2019]
  • Why averages can distort your final betting prediction
  • Did you know that one of the most popular ways to assess information or data could be distorting your final betting prediction? I'm talking about Averages. Yes, the humble average can lead to failed outcomes. And today I want to show you why the average should be taken with a pinch of salt. Let's get to it… ________________________________________   I‘ve been waitin... ››› more
  • [20 June 2019]
  • What is the Halo Effect and how does it affect your judgment
  • When we bet, we usually bet intuitively. Meaning we rely on what we know and feel about a particular team or player and make an on-the-spot judgment of the chances of success. While Intuition is great at instantly assessing if someone is upset or angry at you, it's not great when assessing whether a team or player will successfully win their respective matches. The Halo Effect is a big... ››› more
  • [06 June 2019]
  • Who will raise the trophy at this weekend's Champions League Final?
  • This weekend we will see Tottenham & Liverpool meet in an all English Champions League Final. After two of the most dramatic European comebacks of all time, Liverpool will look to lift the trophy after knocking out Barcelona in one of the greatest comeback stories in the leagues history. Tottenham also had a great two-legged victory over Ajax, who are rising stars as a young team. Tottenha... ››› more
  • [30 May 2019]
  • Breaking down 2019's biggest sporting events - Part 1 - The ICC Cricket World Cup
  • 2019 has arrived and we are already five months into the year! We need to start preparing for this year's two biggest sporting events. The Cricket World Cup & the Rugby World Cup. In order for us to get a head start on the competition, I'll be breaking down the first of these major sporting events starting on the 30th of May. The Cricket World Cup! So let's get started.   ... ››› more
  • [23 May 2019]
  • The Monty Hall fallacy
  • Imagine this… You're on a game show, and there are three doors. Behind one of those doors, is the car of your dreams! Behind the others are just two plain old goats… So, you choose door number one. The game show host goes to door number two, opens it, and reveals it's a goat. He gives you the opportunity to change your choice and choose door number three. Do you sta... ››› more
  • [09 May 2019]
  • What does an 18th century English minister and sports betting have in common?
  • It took over 200 years for Thomas Bayes' work to be recognised. With the invention of the personal computer Thomas Bayes' Bayesian analysis has gained wide spread acceptance in many different spheres. Such as predictive models and artificial intelligence to name a few. In its simple form the Bayesian analysis uses probability and reasoning to make a decision in the face of uncertainty,... ››› more
  • [25 April 2019]
  • Maximise your profits with over under betting
  • As a sports bettor, I am constantly looking at ways to maximise my bottom line. I've tried and tested nearly every market the bookie has to offer. And one increasingly popular type of market has caught my attention. It's called the over under market, and nearly every sport has it on offer. Today I want to show you how it works and what you can do to maximise its potential. Let'... ››› more
  • [18 April 2019]
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