A year ago, banks were saying they don't want to finance coal mine development any longer.
European countries were closing down coal power plants.
It looked like there was little interest in the commodity going forward.
But now the price of coal is booming.
In October last year a ton of export coal sold for around $90.
Today it sells between $300 and $400!
That's a big change…
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“The South African economy is BOOMING.”
“The South African economy is BLEEDING.”
Both these statements are true at the same time.
South Africa's economy is back at the size it was before the coronavirus pandemic struck, after growing faster-than-expected in the first quarter.
Gross domestic product expanded 1.9% in the three months through March, compared with revised growth of... ››› more
On the 11th and 12th of April, parts of KwaZulu-Natal received between 200 and 400 mm of rainfall in a 24-hour period.
Scenes from the KZN floods were shocking. I'm sure you saw the scenes of container yards flooded, trucks upturned and infrastructure in the Durban area decimated.
The South African government declared a national state of disaster to respond to the flood hit areas.
Homes h... ››› more
The war in Ukraine threatens further disruptions to already stretched supply chains.
Whilst Ukraine and Russia are small compared to the likes of the US, China and Germany, they are essential suppliers of many raw materials crucial to supply chains down the line.
So exactly which of these commodities will be hardest hit? And does that pose opportunity? Three commodities hit by the Ukraine cr... ››› more
In our QA mailbox this past week...
Q. “Timon I read the Monday article about why you expect gold to rally with the whole Russia and Ukraine invasion going on. I found it fascinating and would love to know more. I'm not sure if this is the right platform, but I don't know where else to ask. I believe this is going to be ongoing and that you're going to write a lot more on the current situatio... ››› more
Since last year, emerging currencies have been falling.
Scrap that… CRASHING…
We aren't sure why exactly, but I think it's all down to what is happening with the US.
You see, the FED is expecting to raise their interest rates this year.
This will help dampen the inflation rate.
As this is good for the GDP and the economy, it will lead to US dollar strength and weakness among o... ››› more
In December 2021 inflation in the USA rose past 7% for the first time in nearly 40 years.
In the European Union, inflation hit 5% at the same time - by far the highest it has been in 25 years. To give you an idea, the highest inflation has gone in the EU since 2010 was around 2.5%.
And there were actually times inflation was NEGATIVE.
Here in SA, we even hit a four year high.
In a rece... ››› more
Following a shocking 2020, we had a strong economic recovery in 2021.
The US index, S&P 500 ended 2021 up 27%. Its best three year stretch since 1999. The Dow was up 19% on the year, while the Nasdaq gained 21%. Over the last three years, the S&P 500 is up 90%.
The JSE All Share index returned 24% for the year (29% including dividends), with the Top 40 shares on the JSE growing 19% (total re... ››› more
China's second largest real estate developer is going bust.
The company is $300 billion in debt. And it is struggling to pay interest when payments are becoming due.
It's easy to think that an ailing real estate developer in China is an isolated case and it won't affect you…
But the thing is, China's real estate market is worth $55 trillion. It is bigger than the US stock market, and... ››› more
The price of energy in Europe is soaring.
Everything from futures contracts on natural gas to carbon permits have jumped in price. And it's believed that this crisis is only going to get worse as Europe enters winter!
It doesn't matter if you look at coal, natural gas or even water stored to produce electricity from hydropower stations, the supply is out!
You can find the full Article ... ››› more
Last week, I wrote a prediction on how I expect resources to rally in the next few weeks.
This was mainly due to BHP Billiton, the largest diversified miner in the world, announcing a multi-billion deal to sell its liquid fossil business.
This told us, they are steering away from coal and petroleum and moving into cleaner and healthier energy alternatives.
I also mentioned that, this will... ››› more
Coal is the dirty stepchild in the mining sector. And boy is it unpopular at the moment.
Coal miners report that it's getting more and more difficult to get finance for new projects.
After hitting a low of $56 a tonne in April 2020, the coal price has soared. Coal now sells for double what it did in 2020 - with the latest Richards Bay Coal Terminal pricing coming in around $112.92 a ton wi... ››› more
I hope you are safe today. Amidst the unprecedented looting in KZN and Gauteng there are glimmers of hope as communities come together to fight the violence.
But once the fires stop, and the rubble is cleared, which businesses will be hardest hit - and which ones will need the longest time to recover fully?
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It's a year since 2020's hard lockdown ended.
We're back in level 4 today.
But life has changed a lot. We've adapted to the pandemic and its effects on our lives and businesses.
So, what's the state of the South African economy today, and how does it affect your investments?
How to Grow a Multi-Million Rand Retirement
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Recently I told you how palladium and some of the other PGMs are at record highs…
But the soaring prices haven't just been in these precious metals.
Copper just hit a 10-year high - up 91% from a year ago!
Similarly the price of iron ore is also at the highest levels it has ever seen right now.
Coal - which is really out of fashion and slated as a diminishing commodity is up 75% ... ››› more
One tradition I like to keep to when it comes to trading the markets, is buying the Santa Claus rally in South Africa.
Each year, I write to you about it and it most times, ends up being extremely profitable.
But this year, I thought it was going to be different.
I started to feel doubt and pessimism with the whole COVID-19 pandemic destroying the economies one by one.
And this yea... ››› more
Load shedding has been a headache for us all.
If you hoped it would end thanks to maintenance Eskom did during lockdown - you were disappointed. As our economy has been opening up we've sporadically had load shedding, with a turn very close to the highest amount of reduced supply in SA's history.
It's become clear that the solution to this problem likely won't come from Eskom alone…
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You know the saying…“Out of crisis comes opportunity”?
Well, today I'm going to share two investors who followed this “investment mantra” and made a fortune.
Plus, I'll show you a way to access some great opportunities in our market that exist right now thanks to the pandemic.
"There are decades where nothing happens; and th... ››› more
Eskom recently submitted documents to the Centre for Environmental Rights (CER) stating that it could possibly keep its Grootvlei, Camden and Hendrina power stations open as late as 2030. These are all power stations at the end of their lives, that would have been shut in part starting this year!
Eskom is doing this to keep extra capacity in the grid, and avoid load shedding.
But here's t... ››› more
According to TheBlock - a prominent research, analysis, and news source in the crypto industry, 42 cryptocurrency exchanges have been compromised since 2012.
And the total amount of stolen funds exceeded $1.35 billion!
Obviously, exchanges are not the only ones that suffer losses. Users end up being the victims of the hacks as well.
That's why today, we will analyse the most significan... ››› more
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