Q. "Trader X recently sent out a Forex trade to short (sell) the EUR/ZAR. I am currently trading Forex CFDs and would like to ask how I can calculate the minimum rands risked per pip movement if I traded 5 CFDs. Do you have a formula to help with this?”
A. Hi John S, yes I can absolutely help with this.
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The JSE crashed 14.45% between 2 March 2022 and 9 May 2022.
Similarly, the Dow Jones index in the USA is down 10.74% year to date of which half of this drop has been in the past month. And the S&P 500 index is down 14.75% year to date.
We hear about inflation, war, lockdowns, supply chain issues all as contributing to this bear market…
So, what is fuelling the market's drop - and are we... ››› more
My trading is governed by this cheat sheet which focuses on three things!
• The first is trading goals.
• The second, your trade reporting and how to spot a big trend.
• Third, A trade analysis & execution plan.
Sticking to this cheat sheet has made me a successful trader for the last 20 years and now I hope it can do the same for you…
I've broken this cheat sheet into ... ››› more
On the 11th and 12th of April, parts of KwaZulu-Natal received between 200 and 400 mm of rainfall in a 24-hour period.
Scenes from the KZN floods were shocking. I'm sure you saw the scenes of container yards flooded, trucks upturned and infrastructure in the Durban area decimated.
The South African government declared a national state of disaster to respond to the flood hit areas.
Homes h... ››› more
In the modern age things always seem to happen quickly.
A few weeks ago, I explained how the Russian invasion of the Ukraine and the associated sanctions could potentially lead to a shift in world order. It seems this is happening far more quickly than I expected.
We have now seen firm commitments from European countries to massively increase their defence spending. We've also seen tangible ... ››› more
Here's a bit of a warning.
Have you seen the petrol price hikes lately?
Probably not yet, but you will.
In America the prices of petrol and diesel shot up to the highest level in over 14 years.
Petrol went to $1.23 per litre or $4.69 per gallon.
Diesel rocketed to $1.35 per litre of $5.11 per gallon.
And as you know, what happens in America, has a ripple effect in South Africa ... ››› more
When war hits, inflation soars, and the economy struggles, investors seek out gold.
This is advice many investors have heard over again.
And considering the price of gold is up from $1,791 in January this year to a high of $2,043 - and still floating around $1,950 this is pertinent advice.
But here's the thing… There are good ways to invest in gold. And then there are BAD ways to invest... ››› more
There's one reason you're subscribed to Trading Tips.
You want to make a living trading the financial markets with ease.
But to achieve this, you need to have a plan to turn your financial dreams and visions into a reality.
Step #1 was to join Trading Tips.
Step #2: is to join my weekly trading alerts and updates service through Red Hot Storm Trader.
But do you know what step 3 is?
... ››› more
We're all watching as Russia and Ukraine are in the midst of a bloody war. Over 3 million people have already been uprooted from their homes, and have fled Ukraine. All this following Russian President Vladimir Putin's address to his people announcing a “special military operation” in Ukraine to “denazify” the country.
We're experiencing the uncertainty a war like this brings.
The po... ››› more
The war in Ukraine threatens further disruptions to already stretched supply chains.
Whilst Ukraine and Russia are small compared to the likes of the US, China and Germany, they are essential suppliers of many raw materials crucial to supply chains down the line.
So exactly which of these commodities will be hardest hit? And does that pose opportunity? Three commodities hit by the Ukraine cr... ››› more
In our QA mailbox this past week...
Q. “I am with Pickpocket Trader and before I take a trade, I would like to know how to calculate the number of international CFDs I need to buy to risk 3% of my R55,000 portfolio. Let's use the example from the most recent trade sent out on 11 February 2022”.
A. You'll need four metrics to calculate the number of international CFDs you'll need to buy.
... ››› more
In our QA mailbox this past week...
Q. “Timon I read the Monday article about why you expect gold to rally with the whole Russia and Ukraine invasion going on. I found it fascinating and would love to know more. I'm not sure if this is the right platform, but I don't know where else to ask. I believe this is going to be ongoing and that you're going to write a lot more on the current situatio... ››› more
I'm finally getting a strong reason to buy gold.
Unfortunately, it comes off the back of bad news.
And this news, is a potential war brewing between many different countries.
If things escalate, it could be a World War 3 threat…
Already, Russia, Ukraine, the EU, America, and the UK are talking about attacks, hacks, sanctions and even war threats…
And guess what has been flying u... ››› more
It's been a tough start for equity markets this year. Last night the Dow fell more than 600 points, which is the worst decline yet in 2022. And that's saying something. As I warned in November last year (near record highs for the tech-heavy Nasdaq) higher inflation numbers will put pressure on growth stocks.
The Nasdaq composite fell another -2.9% last night. That means the index is now down -1... ››› more
Since last year, emerging currencies have been falling.
Scrap that… CRASHING…
We aren't sure why exactly, but I think it's all down to what is happening with the US.
You see, the FED is expecting to raise their interest rates this year.
This will help dampen the inflation rate.
As this is good for the GDP and the economy, it will lead to US dollar strength and weakness among o... ››› more
In our QA mailbox this past week...
Q. “I've been reading lately about trading bots and how they are designed to take trades without you having to look at a screen. I have a full-time job and I'm wondering if you know any trading bots that can run my trading account. Also, how would you go about trading with robots at a beginner level?”
A. As technology improves each year, we will start ... ››› more
In 2020 the South African economy saw an unprecedented crash because of the Covid-19 pandemic.
In dollar terms our country's GDP dropped from $351.4 billion to $301.92 billion.
That's roughly R740 billion that disappeared from our GDP overnight.
Tourism came to a halt.
Restaurants, hotels, gyms and car dealerships hit a massive slump.
Property, specifically office space became a hot... ››› more
In December 2021 inflation in the USA rose past 7% for the first time in nearly 40 years.
In the European Union, inflation hit 5% at the same time - by far the highest it has been in 25 years. To give you an idea, the highest inflation has gone in the EU since 2010 was around 2.5%.
And there were actually times inflation was NEGATIVE.
Here in SA, we even hit a four year high.
In a rece... ››› more
Most people who want to build their wealth through trading, are in the same boat.
They want to learn how to trade. Some have an idea that you do need a strict, automated and proven system but they have no idea where to start.
The questions start piling up such as:
• What indicators should I use?
• Which markets should I add?
• What charting platform and broker is best for... ››› more
A couple weeks ago, it was revealed that SA's inflation hit the highest level since 2017.
The number came in at 5.9%, but the reality is, prices for some goods and services seem to have doubled over the past year.
In response to rising inflation, SARB increased the repo rate to 4%.
The average SA consumer may not care all that much about inflation as a topic, but they sure as hell care ab... ››› more
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