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Commodity Prices

  • South Africa's ailing, booming economy - what's going on?
  • “The South African economy is BOOMING.” “The South African economy is BLEEDING.” Both these statements are true at the same time. South Africa's economy is back at the size it was before the coronavirus pandemic struck, after growing faster-than-expected in the first quarter. Gross domestic product expanded 1.9% in the three months through March, compared with revised growth of... ››› more
  • [09 June 2022]
  • Is the bear market nearing its end?
  • The JSE crashed 14.45% between 2 March 2022 and 9 May 2022. Similarly, the Dow Jones index in the USA is down 10.74% year to date of which half of this drop has been in the past month. And the S&P 500 index is down 14.75% year to date. We hear about inflation, war, lockdowns, supply chain issues all as contributing to this bear market… So, what is fuelling the market's drop - and are we... ››› more
  • [19 May 2022]
  • Special Update: The looming global food crisis. And what to do about it.
  • A few weeks ago, I made a rather extreme prediction. I predicted the world would be entering a period of greater instability triggered specifically by food price increases. Normally I would wait a little longer before writing a follow up, but things are changing rapidly on the ground. Over the last week or so, we've seen upticks in instability across much of the emerging world. Protests have er... ››› more
  • [21 April 2022]
  • Want to know the Best penny stocks to invest in for 2022? Here's my Watchlist!
  • Small cap shares, or penny stocks, were by far 2021's best performing sector. My Red Hot Penny Shares closed portfolio provided us with an average gain of 72.82% on 20 stocks for 2021, with a win rate of 80%. In comparison, the Alt-X index was up 30% for the year, whilst the All Share index is up 19%. The Small Cap Index was the top performer of the lot with 42% for 2021 to date. I expect anot... ››› more
  • [04 February 2022]
  • Three themes that could dominate 2022
  • Incredibly, it's already that time of year when brokers, banks and analysts' dust off their crystal balls and start making wild predictions on what will happen to financial markets over the next 12 months. Now, it's important for you to remember, that no matter how fancy the title of the person making predictions, or how prestigious the institution, the future has a way of surprising us all. ... ››› more
  • [12 January 2022]
  • Is South Africa heading for a recession again?
  • Last week's GDP data showed that South Africa's economy shrunk in the third quarter of 2021. This follows four quarters of economic growth from pandemic lows. It also means that another quarter of economic contraction would put the country back in recession. So, are we heading back into recession, or will the economy turn upwards from here? Let's have a look at what the numbers say… ... ››› more
  • [15 December 2021]
  • To buy or sell the JSE in November?
  • This month is a major one for South Africa… On 1 November we had the local municipal vote where we saw negative sentiment for both the rand and bonds. In fact, not only did the the rand fall over 1.1% versus the dollar, the nation's local-currency debt also dropped 1.2% in dollar terms. This weaker rand helped boost resources share prices, as our resources are exported in US dollars.... ››› more
  • [10 November 2021]
  • Will the Evergrande crisis crash commodity markets worldwide?
  • China's second largest real estate developer is going bust. The company is $300 billion in debt. And it is struggling to pay interest when payments are becoming due. It's easy to think that an ailing real estate developer in China is an isolated case and it won't affect you… But the thing is, China's real estate market is worth $55 trillion. It is bigger than the US stock market, and... ››› more
  • [04 November 2021]
  • ALERT: JSE Resources just gave the BUY signal!
  • Thank you China! Last week, we saw commodity prices from iron ore to oil, rally as the Chinese economy showed less concern about the impact of Covid-19. I imagine it's due to three reasons… First, with the vaccination roll-out and new mandates in play, it is helping to create a new normal for the way business is done. Second, the FDA fully approved the COVID-19 vaccine by Pfizer as... ››› more
  • [31 August 2021]
  • These companies will be the hardest hit when the looting stops
  • I hope you are safe today. Amidst the unprecedented looting in KZN and Gauteng there are glimmers of hope as communities come together to fight the violence. But once the fires stop, and the rubble is cleared, which businesses will be hardest hit - and which ones will need the longest time to recover fully? ________________________________________   _________________________... ››› more
  • [15 July 2021]
  • What is the state of SA's economic recovery right now?
  • It's a year since 2020's hard lockdown ended. We're back in level 4 today. But life has changed a lot. We've adapted to the pandemic and its effects on our lives and businesses. So, what's the state of the South African economy today, and how does it affect your investments? ________________________________________   How to Grow a Multi-Million Rand Retirement   ... ››› more
  • [08 July 2021]
  • Why Brent Crude is heading up to $80 a barrel!
  • I believe there is one commodity that can be seen as an indicator for a recovering world economy. Brent Crude… Think about it… We need oil to run just about anything nowadays. We need oil for transport, for electricity and to run massive operations. Last year, I was extremely pessimistic and expected the price of oil to drop to $30. Which it did… And this year, my analysi... ››› more
  • [02 June 2021]
  • What the resources boom means for the rand
  • By now I'm sure you've noticed commodity prices are booming! Fifty-three out of 63 commodities monitored by the World Bank were up in price in December 2020 compared with the same month a year earlier. Copper, Palladium, Rhodium and many other metals are at all time highs. Even agricultural commodities like soy, maize and sunflower are climbing. I don't expect this to continue forever.... ››› more
  • [06 May 2021]
  • Commodity prices are soaring, can this trend continue?
  • Recently I told you how palladium and some of the other PGMs are at record highs… But the soaring prices haven't just been in these precious metals. Copper just hit a 10-year high - up 91% from a year ago! Similarly the price of iron ore is also at the highest levels it has ever seen right now. Coal - which is really out of fashion and slated as a diminishing commodity is up 75% ... ››› more
  • [29 April 2021]
  • How to profit from the 2021 Dollar Decline!​
  • The amount of available dollars is on the rise... In simple terms, as dollars become more plentiful, their value drops. Dollars are less scarce, so individuals and businesses are less worried about having access to them when needed. The Federal Reserve has been a huge driver of this. It's doing whatever it can to support economic growth. Currently, the Fed's purchasing roughly $120 bil... ››› more
  • [26 January 2021]
  • Three indicators of a big recovery in this sector in 2021
  • Right now, the agriculture sector is one of the spots of excellence in South Africa, and its being treated very well thanks to a double whammy of record-breaking harvests, and increasing commodity prices. This is good news for the SA economy. It means the agricultural sector could employ more people, putting money in the consumers' pocket. It means there are many supporting businesses and ... ››› more
  • [14 October 2020]
  • The FOUR ingredient recipe for a $200 chocolate rally!
  • You may not know this but two-thirds or 60% of the world's supply of cocoa beans come from West Africa each year. This includes the Ivory Coast and Ghana (2nd biggest cocoa producer). Just to put it into perspective, Ghana's cocoa sector employs over 800,000 rural families. It also produces around R33.58 billion in foreign exchange. This year we've seen a major slump in cocoa prices. ... ››› more
  • [08 September 2020]
  • My structured product pick for February
  • Many analysts have predicted 2020 will be a choppy year for investors, but NO ONE could have anticipated a threat like the Coronavirus. And, although many of you have likely heard of the disease, I believe most people are yet to understand its implications. According to most estimates, this appears to be a very infectious sickness (twice as high as a normal flu) with a moderate death rate (l... ››› more
  • [18 February 2020]
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