Incredibly, it's already that time of year when brokers, banks and analysts' dust off their crystal balls and start making wild predictions on what will happen to financial markets over the next 12 months.
Now, it's important for you to remember, that no matter how fancy the title of the person making predictions, or how prestigious the institution, the future has a way of surprising us all.
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Last week's GDP data showed that South Africa's economy shrunk in the third quarter of 2021.
This follows four quarters of economic growth from pandemic lows.
It also means that another quarter of economic contraction would put the country back in recession.
So, are we heading back into recession, or will the economy turn upwards from here?
Let's have a look at what the numbers say… ... ››› more
The petrol price in South Africa is breaking the R20 a litre level.
December 2020 it sold for R14.26 a litre. That's an increase of 41.6%
Sure - the 2020 level for petrol prices was a low base. Covid reduced demand and the oil price was really low.
But the huge increases we're seeing now are hurting - and they'll definitely affect business as well.
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This month is a major one for South Africa…
On 1 November we had the local municipal vote where we saw negative sentiment for both the rand and bonds.
In fact, not only did the the rand fall over 1.1% versus the dollar, the nation's local-currency debt also dropped 1.2% in dollar terms.
This weaker rand helped boost resources share prices, as our resources are exported in US dollars.... ››› more
China's second largest real estate developer is going bust.
The company is $300 billion in debt. And it is struggling to pay interest when payments are becoming due.
It's easy to think that an ailing real estate developer in China is an isolated case and it won't affect you…
But the thing is, China's real estate market is worth $55 trillion. It is bigger than the US stock market, and... ››› more
In August I wrote a few predictions on how I expected the resource sectors to rally.
Since then, my Red Hot Storm Traders have banked a 63.39% gain on Anglo American and a 73.12% gain on BHP Billiton.
If you missed that profit train, make sure you don't miss this one coming next.
I expect it to be just as profitable.
My next prediction is also based on a resource and commodity, whi... ››› more
Thank you China!
Last week, we saw commodity prices from iron ore to oil, rally as the Chinese economy showed less concern about the impact of Covid-19.
I imagine it's due to three reasons…
First, with the vaccination roll-out and new mandates in play, it is helping to create a new normal for the way business is done.
Second, the FDA fully approved the COVID-19 vaccine by Pfizer as... ››› more
I hope you are safe today. Amidst the unprecedented looting in KZN and Gauteng there are glimmers of hope as communities come together to fight the violence.
But once the fires stop, and the rubble is cleared, which businesses will be hardest hit - and which ones will need the longest time to recover fully?
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It's a year since 2020's hard lockdown ended.
We're back in level 4 today.
But life has changed a lot. We've adapted to the pandemic and its effects on our lives and businesses.
So, what's the state of the South African economy today, and how does it affect your investments?
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How to Grow a Multi-Million Rand Retirement
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The rand rallied to the highest level in more than two years against the US dollar.
But did you know, the rand is also the world's best performing currency in 2021?
The chart below shows how other currencies have performed…
And the Rand?
Well,
it’s gained over 30% against the US Dollar.
Bravo!
But this shouldn’t... ››› more
In March 2021, I sent a prediction article saying the FTSE 100 was ready to rally over 435 points. And last month, it hit the price target at 7,184.
As I mentioned in the previous article, it was a no brainer.
The economy was opening up, the FTSE got upgraded by the OECD and the pound was crashing.
Now that positivity is flooding the market, I expect another major rally for the FTSE 10... ››› more
I believe there is one commodity that can be seen as an indicator for a recovering world economy.
Brent Crude…
Think about it…
We need oil to run just about anything nowadays.
We need oil for transport, for electricity and to run massive operations.
Last year, I was extremely pessimistic and expected the price of oil to drop to $30. Which it did… And this year, my analysi... ››› more
By now I'm sure you've noticed commodity prices are booming!
Fifty-three out of 63 commodities monitored by the World Bank were up in price in December 2020 compared with the same month a year earlier.
Copper, Palladium, Rhodium and many other metals are at all time highs. Even agricultural commodities like soy, maize and sunflower are climbing.
I don't expect this to continue forever.... ››› more
After eight months, I'm finally getting a strong signal to buy gold.
It's been a long wait, but I believe it'll be worth it.
It comes off the back of both good and bad news...
On the one hand, we have a strong economy recovery on the way - where consumers are feeling more optimistic and investors are buying once again.
On the other hand, we may have a war brewing between two major ... ››› more
Recently I told you how palladium and some of the other PGMs are at record highs…
But the soaring prices haven't just been in these precious metals.
Copper just hit a 10-year high - up 91% from a year ago!
Similarly the price of iron ore is also at the highest levels it has ever seen right now.
Coal - which is really out of fashion and slated as a diminishing commodity is up 75% ... ››› more
Dear reader,
In a recent statement oil giant Shell said “oil production peaked in 2019, and that we can now expect it to decline gradually by 1 or 2% per year.”
Oil major BP has come out by itself making a similar claim. According to BP the world has reached ‘peak oil’.
BP expects oil demand to fall by AT LEAST 10% this decade and up to 50% in the next 20 ye... ››› more
Bitcoin may be the biggest, but it's not the only crypto out there.
There are literally thousands of different crypto - some good, some bad, some could change the fabric of our world, some might try but ultimately fail.
Today I'm going to share three you should keep your eye on.
These crypto are not recommendations per se.
Rather, they are a watchlist of cryptocurrencies that if yo... ››› more
The amount of available dollars is on the rise...
In simple terms, as dollars become more plentiful, their value drops. Dollars are less scarce, so individuals and businesses are less worried about having access to them when needed.
The Federal Reserve has been a huge driver of this. It's doing whatever it can to support economic growth.
Currently, the Fed's purchasing roughly $120 bil... ››› more
Since Joe Biden won the US presidential elections, there's been good news flooding both local and global markets.
Look at the JSE…
In the last month alone, it's rallied over 11% erasing the 2020 losses for the year…
We have an excellent chance of finishing off positive in 2020, despite all we've been through!
And that's just the JSE…
We also saw France up 21%, Italy up o... ››› more
Pinch me.
I feel like I'm in a dream.
In the span of two weeks we've have good news overflow the markets.
We had Joe Biden win the elections. Then a few days later, two vaccines come out to end the Covid-19 pandemic.
And both local and global markets have rallied over 4% in that time.
And when I went to my charts, I saw a commodity that is ready for an 18% rally.
I'm talki... ››› more
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