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Contrarian

  • Why China will ultimately win the Russia-Ukraine war
  • As the war between Russia and the Ukraine continues to dominate headlines, we're starting to see a realignment of the global order. The US, and its allies in Europe, are driving the push back against the invasion. You may find this astonishing (especially if you only get your news from US and European media outlets) but they're finding little support in the rest of the world. South America, Afr... ››› more
  • [17 March 2022]
  • Did Boris Johnson make the market fall
  • I sometimes imagine the stock market as a constant humming. Not the hubbub hum of an open outcry trading floor, nor the electrical buzz and click of servers and machines, but the whine of millions of voices guiding billions of dollars, rand and rupees into bets on global business profits, economic scarcity and the future direction of mankind. It's the droning roar of the engine that powers the wor... ››› more
  • [13 December 2021]
  • Level 1 lockdown is here, and the rand is on fire!
  • The local currency is on FIRE. At 19:00 on Wednesday night, President Cyril Ramaphosa announced South Africa would be moving to level 1 lockdown. One hour later, US Federal Reserve policy makers indicated they are expecting US interest rates to remain at almost ZERO until the end of 2023. Wowza that is dovish! We have economies opening up and we have central bankers bunkering down. ... ››› more
  • [22 October 2020]
  • Will fast-food deliver fast growth in the next year?
  • This week, sit-down restaurants once again opened their doors to the public. They opened under a cloud of restrictions. But they're open! This must be a welcome relief to so many private restauranteurs and small business investors. Because, while they can't serve alcohol, offer a buffet and or hand you a menu (menus will have to be replaced by “no-touch” options), they can at least sta... ››› more
  • [02 July 2020]
  • It pays to be a contrarian investor in times of crisis! Here's why…
  • You know the saying…“Out of crisis comes opportunity”? Well, today I'm going to share two investors who followed this “investment mantra” and made a fortune. Plus, I'll show you a way to access some great opportunities in our market that exist right now thanks to the pandemic. ________________________________________   "There are decades where nothing happens; and th... ››› more
  • [23 June 2020]
  • "Thanks Cyril!"
  • If Cyril Ramamphosa's recent announcement at Business Unity SA's second annual Business Economic Indaba is for real, you, me and every other investor and business owner could be thanking him! After all analysts estimate Eskom has cost our economy R338 billion since 2007. And while Eskom's power problems appear to have no end in sight, this announcement by Ramaphosa could greenlight a great... ››› more
  • [30 January 2020]
  • Two of my favourite contrarian investment ideas that can make you money in 2020
  • Sometimes taking a contrarian view of a market or investment, can pay off big time… One of my all-time favourite investors, Benjamin Graham, proved this nearly 100 years - during the Great Depression. When stocks crashed nearly 70%, Benjamin Graham didn't give up and avoid the stock market. In fact, he saw this as a perfect opportunity to make money by pinpointing bargain stocks from... ››› more
  • [06 January 2020]
  • The ‘September Effect' DEBUNKED
  • There is a continuous debate that goes around both local and global markets during the ninth month. It's called the ‘September Effect'. This is a well-known theory where stock prices perform worse, on average, compared to how they perform during the rest of the year. However! No one has come up with a plausible reason for why that is. Today, I'll go through the facts and stats to... ››› more
  • [16 September 2019]
  • An investment opportunity contrarian investors dream about
  • You may or may not have heard of Jim Rogers, but he's one of the world's most successful investors. In the 1970s, Jim Rogers' Quantum Fund delivered a 4,000%-plus return to investors, while the S&P 500 gained just 42%. This incredible success early in his career enabled Rogers to retire at the age of 37! But this isn't the reason why I bring up Jim Rogers today. It all has to do w... ››› more
  • [25 March 2019]
  • As May fails again, what's next for the UK?
  • Theresa May's recent (modified) Brexit deal has again been convincingly beaten in the House of Commons. Although it was by a smaller margin than before, it was however still a strong rebuke of her overall deal.     So, what’s next?   At the time of writing we were about to face a vote by MPs that will determine whether or not the UK wants to leave the EU with no deal in... ››› more
  • [14 March 2019]
  • The biggest mistake you can make when building an offshore portfolio
  • I call it the “offshore investment conundrum”. Investors have no clue where to invest or what to invest in, leaving their cash exposed to unpredictable economic and political events. Investing in just any old offshore product will cost you time and more importantly, money. While I admire the ambition of investors to identify opportunities elsewhere, the fact of the matter is, over half of ... ››› more
  • [24 July 2017]
  • For contrarian investors only…
  • On most days, you read the financial news and more than likely, you'll read negative headlines. Maybe it's a new crisis in the Eurozone; an “imminent bond crash”; or maybe it's the Rand crashing again. Whatever it may be, it's no surprise to hear many investors keeping their cash away from the markets right now. But as the saying goes, “out of crisis comes opportunity”. And today ... ››› more
  • [07 November 2016]
  • When NOBODY invests in the JSE, BIG upside is ahead…
  • You've heard the term ‘Buy when there's blood on the streets'. This is contrarian investing at its hear. But it's been proven true time and again. In fact, if you'd simply bought a simple ETF like Satrix 40 following the 2008 financial crisis, you'd have made around 70%. Investing in individual shares following the same crisis would've made you 200%, 300% and in many cases, 600% or m... ››› more
  • [09 June 2016]
  • The Buffett Effect: Three billion dollar secrets every South African investor must know
  • When Buffett bought Berkshire Hathaway in 1965 for about $12 a share, it was a textile company and one of the largest employers in New Bedford, Mass. It then quickly became Buffett's acquisition vehicle. With years of incredible growth behind its name, the company now sits at a stock price of $210,200. It's no secret that Warren Buffett is one of the most successful investors the world has... ››› more
  • [01 April 2016]
  • The commodity bull will return
  • Commodities have had it tough over the last few years. As the Thomson Reuters/CoreCommodities CRB Commodity Index shows, from 2011, commodities are down around 48%. The vast majority of commodities are sitting at lows not seen in years. But this doesn't mean commodities won't recover. The sector is cyclical. And this means is will recover at some stage. Let's take a closer look… W... ››› more
  • [20 November 2015]
  • Could commodities finally be bottoming out?
  • There's no disputing that commodities have been on a sustained bear trend for the past few years. This is thanks to a number of factors, including an economic slowdown, particularly in China, and a glut of oil. This has led the CRB Commodity Index to fall some 47% since 2011. But things could be changing…   Investors were slow reacting to the fall in commodities   Looki... ››› more
  • [03 November 2015]
  • Time to buy this caffeine-fuelled commodity?
  • If you like to trade commodities, you'll know there's more to trading commodities than gold and oil. There are other commodities like grains, cotton and sugar. Another commodity you can trade is coffee. And the price of coffee looks like it could be ready to rally. Read on to find out more about this trading opportunity… Why coffee could be about to soar At the moment, futures tra... ››› more
  • [01 October 2015]
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