March will be known as the worst month of all-time for the South African rand.
With the ongoing lockdown, the increasing rate of COVID-19 cases, the crumbling economy, and the downgrading from Moody's - It's just been bad news after bad news for SA.
And what happened last week?
Well we saw the South African rand hit record lows passing through the R19.00 mark against the US dollar.
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It's enough to make you sick.
Because that, my friend, is not the price of a loaf of bread these days.
Or even the cost of a litre of petrol.
It's how much you would have to cough up to buy a single dollar on Monday morning.
Shocked? I was too, when three days ago the ZAR touched its worst level ever!
And the awful reality is, it's not about to rally back to R14.00... ››› more
The world's eyes are on the United States this month.
Health officials are currently monitoring over 8,400 potential coronavirus cases in the US.
There have been 88 confirmed cases of the US Covid-19 and 2 deaths in Washington.
And last week alone, the Dow Jones Industrial Index (Dow Jones) fell more than 12% in just a few days…
This was the biggest drop for the largest stock exch... ››› more
Q. “Hi Timon, I read the weekly article where you expect the JSE ALSI40 to rally.
My question is, if Moody's does eventually decide to downgrade South Africa to junk what would happen and when is the next grading?”
A. The next possible downgrading for South Africa would happen as soon as March, if South Africa fails to come up with a plan with “Credible debt-stabilisation”.
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Trump may have imposed 100s of billions of dollars on tariffs in the US China trade war and it seems he isn't about to stop there…
In fact, the trade war could escalate to a new level of madness where we see the US delist a number of Chinese companies from the US stock exchanges.
Just to put it into perspective, in February, as per government data, there were 156 companies that traded on... ››› more
If you're interested in making money in the US markets, I have an amazing opportunity for you today.
With the G20 coming to an end on a high note, with the US adding 100s of thousands of more jobs and with the Dow Jones hitting all-time highs, I believe this is just the start of a long run up.
In today's article, I'm going to highlight why the Dow Jones is set to fly over 16.69% in the nex... ››› more
My wife and I have cut down on sugar.
We are trying to be healthier this year by following a strict lifestyle, going to gym six days a week and travelling every three months or so.
Now when you are on a strict lifestyle change, it means you need to be more aware.
Every time I go to the grocery store, I need to make sure that I read the ingredients on EVERYTHING I buy.
You'll be sur... ››› more
So far we've already made two big predictions on Gold and the South African rand and where your money should be.
Today I'm going to let you in on my 3rd prediction for the year – The Euro (EUR/USD).
It seems like Europe is out of the limelight when it comes to the debt crisis with the PIGS (Portugal, Italy, Greece an... ››› more
It may seem obvious that if you take a 5% loss, you'll need just over 5% return to recover your portfolio.
But as you lose more, you'll need to recover exponentially more than the actual percentage lost.
Traders call this series of consecutive losses – the drawdown.
Many traders just don’t think about what they’ll need to recover during a losing period.
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Whenever I hear a trader uses the averaging down strategy, I cringe.
Averaging down for a trader means they'll buy more shares at a lower cost to drop the average price per share in the belief that ‘when' the share price rises they'll make more money.
The problem with this is when the share price keeps on falling, the trader stands to make a much bigger loss if it keeps moving against h... ››› more
If you're not aware yet, Facebook is in hot water.
A US Resident has sued Facebook and a British based political consultancy for taking data from millions of Facebook users without their permission.
This information was linked to the exploitation of the information by the Cambridge Analytica consultancy to help President Donald Trump's election campaign.
Long story short, this ordeal has ... ››› more
Did you know that you place higher value to things that you own?
To explain this, Pros. Kahneman, Knetsch & Thaler conducted a popular study with 77 participants at Simon Fraser University.
These participants were placed into two groups.
Group #1: Were given mugs (in a way they owned them).
Group #2: Were not given mugs but were asked to price the mugs.
Can you guess who priced the ... ››› more
On Friday 24 November S&P downgraded South Africa's long term local government bonds to junk rating.
The problem according to S&P is that government in recent years have focused merely on the distribution of income, instead of trying to grow our income…
“As a consequence, South Africa’s economy has stagnated and external competitiveness has eroded. We expect that offsetting fiscal m... ››› more
Moody's and S&P ratings agencies will be announcing if they drop SA's credit ratings one more notch after the market closes on Friday.
Although Moody's signaled, it wouldn't be making any serious decisions before the 2018 budget, we had Minister Gigaba's mini-budget confirmed that South Africa's in crisis.
A strong focus is one of the core Pillar's Moody's considers when making a decision.... ››› more
Happy new year everyone, I hope you all had a good break and did tons of holiday shopping for your friends and family!
Why? Because yesterday marked the beginning of the retail reporting season. And, in the next couple of weeks we're going to see just how much South African's spent at the shops in December.
There is no doubt the market is expecting a super tough Xmas period for the beleag... ››› more
Over the past 10 years, the South African listed property sector has easily outperformed its peers.
Investors who've jumped on this rally early, would have made a fortune investing in JSE property companies.
But the smooth-sailing returns delivered by the commercial property market are coming to an end.
You see, listed property returns have halved for the last three years - 25.1% in 2... ››› more
The Foschini Group is down 10.54% in the last month, Mr Price 10.40%, Truworths 6.33%.
And Lewis crashed a whopping 16.70%.
If you're invested in retail, it's been a bad month for you.
But before you start buying into the sector because it ‘shows value' I want to warn you…
South African retail sales are dropping and you need to watch out for the fallout
In its m... ››› more
Last week, the Zimbabwean Government implemented a law causing major unrest in the border towns of Zimbabwe and South Africa.
The introduction of Statutory Instrument 64 of 2016 (SI64) restricts the import of certain goods from South Africa into Zimbabwe. This includes items like plastic pipes, doors, bottled water, window frames, baked beans, potato chips... Even peanut butter got the cut.
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Even though South Africa managed to dodge the downgrade bullet last week, the risk of recession, higher interest rates and a lack of foreign funding still plagues the South African banking industry.
But larger fund managers like PSG Asset Management have recently been adding banks to their portfolios. Surely this is a mistake under the current challenging market environment.
Well, let's ta... ››› more
Standard & Poor's and Fitch ratings agencies is expected to give their verdict on the country's rating by the end of this week.
The financial analysts at FSPInvest believe that a downgrade to junk status is inevitable. Even if this doesn't happen this month, it will happen before the end of 2016.
Here's what will happen to the economy and your investment portfolio if the downgrade does happ... ››› more
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