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Downside

  • How to take back control of your portfolio during these tumultuous times!
  • n the last few weeks, we have seen hundreds of billions of dollars wiped out of the markets. We have seen crypto drop its trillion US dollar market cap status. And we have seen top traders, influencers and institutions lose their portfolios. It's exactly times like these where the inexperienced, greedy and clueless traders destroy their accounts… And it's not because they don't have a ... ››› more
  • [23 June 2022]
  • Don't get caught in the JSE ALSI Bulltrap - Here's why
  • As a novice trader, it's easy to try and guess where the market's bottom is. It's easy to see a bounce in a falling market, and assume that things are going up from here. But calling a bottom is one of the most dangerous things a trader can do. In fact, with trading we say you're trying to ‘catch a falling knife'. Most traders pile up their positions with a whole bunch of longs (buys) a... ››› more
  • [02 June 2022]
  • Is the bear market nearing its end?
  • The JSE crashed 14.45% between 2 March 2022 and 9 May 2022. Similarly, the Dow Jones index in the USA is down 10.74% year to date of which half of this drop has been in the past month. And the S&P 500 index is down 14.75% year to date. We hear about inflation, war, lockdowns, supply chain issues all as contributing to this bear market… So, what is fuelling the market's drop - and are we... ››› more
  • [19 May 2022]
  • How to slow down your losses in a market crash
  • It seems that uncertain times are ahead of us. On the one hand we have the main stock markets crashing to new yearly lows. Since March 2022: The JSE All Share Index is down 9.6% The SP500 has crashed over 14.6% The Nasdaq has dropped over 20% Also gold is down over 10% and some of the main crypto's like Bitcoin and Ethereum are down over 50%. Some believe we are entering into a ... ››› more
  • [19 May 2022]
  • Should you use this massive sell-off to buy into China?
  • For years, many in the West have admired the ability of the Chinese Government to push through policies that would never fly in a democratic country. This has allowed them to build structures like the Three Gorges Dam. This hydroelectric project is the world's largest power station and provides about 10% of the country's electricity. But it also required the relocation of over 1 million people.... ››› more
  • [12 May 2022]
  • Three stocks that are likely to be pummelled by high grain prices
  • In dollar terms the price of corn is up 37%, and that of soybeans is up 36% in the past six months. We've also seen wheat soar 40% in the past six months. And this is because of the war between Russia and Ukraine as both these countries are large exporters of corn and wheat. While this will definitely have an effect on inflation and food prices, large increases in grain prices have an eve... ››› more
  • [07 April 2022]
  • Should you be afraid of the looming recession? And what to do about it…
  • US bond markets recently went into inversion. This is when short-term interest rates are higher than long-term interest rates. And what this can mean is a recession is around the corner. In this case, markets are anticipating a recession sometime in the next 6 to 24 months. But, even if you don't look at such a “technical” indicator, it should be clear the risk of recession is high. T... ››› more
  • [04 April 2022]
  • Why I expect a 25% drop in the Euro!
  • The next time you travel to Europe, it might be very affordable. You may actually be able to travel to the hotel of your choice, eat at any restaurant and enjoy the tourist attractions without hurting your pocket. I'm in Greece right now for a few months and I've got myself a little place in the heart of Athens and I must say, all furniture, appliances, TV and other accessories are super che... ››› more
  • [30 March 2022]
  • WARNING: Brent Crude could crash to $70 - Here's why
  • Here's a bit of a warning. Have you seen the petrol price hikes lately? Probably not yet, but you will. In America the prices of petrol and diesel shot up to the highest level in over 14 years. Petrol went to $1.23 per litre or $4.69 per gallon. Diesel rocketed to $1.35 per litre of $5.11 per gallon. And as you know, what happens in America, has a ripple effect in South Africa ... ››› more
  • [24 March 2022]
  • Why China will ultimately win the Russia-Ukraine war
  • As the war between Russia and the Ukraine continues to dominate headlines, we're starting to see a realignment of the global order. The US, and its allies in Europe, are driving the push back against the invasion. You may find this astonishing (especially if you only get your news from US and European media outlets) but they're finding little support in the rest of the world. South America, Afr... ››› more
  • [17 March 2022]
  • I think it's GAME-OVER for the South African Rand in 2022
  • Since last year, emerging currencies have been falling. Scrap that… CRASHING… We aren't sure why exactly, but I think it's all down to what is happening with the US. You see, the FED is expecting to raise their interest rates this year. This will help dampen the inflation rate. As this is good for the GDP and the economy, it will lead to US dollar strength and weakness among o... ››› more
  • [21 February 2022]
  • Bitcoin hit my $40,000 price target - Here's why I'm not happy yet!
  • I have an important notice for you. First, I am not a BIG bear when it comes to Bitcoin. I know in the medium to long run, it's going to continue to make all time highs. However, since November 2021 I have been shorting (selling) Bitcoin and have been making decent profits. In fact, I sent out an analysis on how I expected the price to drop from $50,000 to $40,000. And it did exactly... ››› more
  • [26 January 2022]
  • “I can't unsee this Bitcoin Crash Chart”
  • I am a Bitcoin bull and generally expect major upside. But today, the factors and chart I'm about to reveal might shock you. What we know already is that companies like Tesla stopped Bitcoin transactions due to high energy costs. And countries like China are stopping Bitcoin transactions because of the lack of control. But the main reason for the slump of bitcoin, right now, is due to ... ››› more
  • [28 July 2021]
  • From Lockdown 4 to Jumanji - Here's why I'm selling the rand
  • South Africa has gone from Lockdown level 4 to Jumanji in the span of two weeks. It's been nothing but pandemonium. Businesses are closed again! Looters are enjoying Christmas in July and residents are fearing for their lives cooped up in their houses. We may feel like sitting ducks, but at least we can take some kind of advantage of the one south African market that will most likely fal... ››› more
  • [20 July 2021]
  • Two stocks screaming sell today
  • When investing I look for stocks that have disconnected from their true value. If a share price is much lower than what it is worth - I buy it. But every so often I come across a stock that is the opposite. Its share price is so much higher than what it is really worth that I simply cannot stay quiet. I need to warn investors about it. Today there's two stocks like this I want to share wit... ››› more
  • [01 July 2021]
  • WARNING: The Euro is in danger!
  • The UK has already vaccinated 42.4% of their population? The US has vaccinated 25.3% of their population. Yet only 9.1% of the EU has been vaccinated. Not only that. It is estimated that it'll take four more months to vaccinate 75% of the US and within four months to reach that percentage for the UK. However, it'll take over 17 months for Europe before 75% of its population rec... ››› more
  • [30 March 2021]
  • “In all my 19 years of being in the markets, I've never seen anything like this…”
  • At the end of January, there was a phenomenon that took place world-wide. In all my 19 years of being in the markets, I've never seen anything like this… GameStop (an everyday old fashioned gaming company selling video games and accessories) jumped from $45 up to $360 in a single day. Only thing is, it wasn't the fundamentals (company events) that gave rise to the price - but a group... ››› more
  • [10 February 2021]
  • What's going on with the JSE's property stocks?
  • Property stocks on the JSE have had an atrocious year. Right now, they're still around 46% lower than they were one year ago. We all know that many landlords, especially in the retail space, had empty shops and tenants that couldn't pay during the hard lockdown… But the property index has started a turnaround. Since 1 November 2020 the SA Listed Property Index (SAPY) is up 15.81%. ... ››› more
  • [03 December 2020]
  • Joe Biden may be President but I still expect downside in the markets - Here's why…
  • Q. “Timon you were right about the delay in the voting in the USA, due to the counting of hand mail. But now the big question is. What can we expect with the US stock markets, with Joe Biden becoming the next American President?”   A. I did some research on the weekend. When I went to back-test the US stock markets over the last 23 election years, what I found might surprise ... ››› more
  • [12 November 2020]
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