There is a constant debate that goes around the investing community with both local and global markets during the ninth month.
It's called the ‘September Effect'.
It's a well-known theory where prices perform worse, on average, compared to the performance for the rest of the year.
In fact, over the last 100 years, September has been known for the worst performing month in America.
... ››› more
On 8 September South Africa's GDP figures for the second quarter of 2020 was released.
Our economy shrank by 51% annualised in the three months between April and June 2020.
This has put us into the longest recession in the past 28 years.
Sectors like mining fell 73.1%, manufacturing fell 74.9% and construction shrank by 76.6%.
This is bad.
But even though it was just released, i... ››› more
You may not know this but two-thirds or 60% of the world's supply of cocoa beans come from West Africa each year.
This includes the Ivory Coast and Ghana (2nd biggest cocoa producer).
Just to put it into perspective, Ghana's cocoa sector employs over 800,000 rural families. It also produces around R33.58 billion in foreign exchange.
This year we've seen a major slump in cocoa prices.
... ››› more
Early on in the COVID-19 pandemic there was a ‘nerdy' accounting joke doing the rounds saying that soon we'd see EBITDAC - Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation and corona.
While there's no ‘official' accounting term like that - companies results do show the effects, the pandemic has had on them. And many are opting to call it ‘once-off expenses.
Suddenly the ner... ››› more
This is the MOST exciting technology I've ever come across.
I'm talking about Blockchain.
It's one that is truly going to rule the world when it comes to business, making transactions and with trading the financial markets.
If you missed Wednesday's brief explanation on what Blockchain is and how it works - it's actually ok!
Just don't miss this one.
Today I'm going to expand on... ››› more
There are hundreds, if not thousands of economic indicators investors like us can look at to gauge how the economy is doing. Employment figures, GDP Growth, CPI, the Trade Balance, these are just a couple of the well-known ones. There are more obscure ones, like the Buttered Popcorn index, the R-word index or the Coupon Redemption index.
But you don't need to know all of these. In fact, there'... ››› more
On 1 April 2020, I sent out an article:
This precious metal just proved its safe-haven status during the
At the time, gold was trading at $1,450. I predicted (based on a Megaphone Formation) that the price was heading to $1,960.
This was due to the following factors at the time…
• The Fed printed over $2 trillion stimulus package for households and business... ››› more
The rand is once again in hot water.
In August, we saw the currency drop from R15.00 down to R17.78 for the first time since 21 May 2020.
And this is due to one main factor.
We hit half a million cases of Coronavirus in SA, taking us to the top five infected countries in the world.
It's clear the COVID-19 pandemic still has the power to cause a see-saw in market sentiment.
And... ››› more
On 31 August 2020 Apple's share price will drop around 75% from what it was.
That means its share price will go from the current $437.50 to around $109 a share.
I don't need a crystal ball to predict this.
You see, Apple announced it is doing a 4-to-1 stock split.
And its not the only company doing this. Tesla announced a 5-to-1 stock split that'll happen on August 21.
So, what do... ››› more
Just when you thought 2020 couldn't get any stranger…
Out of left field, Kodak shares exploded onto the scene with a 2,760% weekly gain.
Let's put that in context. If you'd bought R10,000 worth of Kodak this Monday, your account balance would now be R276,000 at time of writing this article!
That's without any fancy gearing or exotic structures. This is simply by buying ordinary Kodak... ››› more
Interest rates world-wide have been dropped to their lowest levels in history.
The US is currently running a 0% - 0.25% interest rate, and the country is pumping TRILLIONS of dollars into its economy via quantitative easing.
In Europe the same plan is being followed, in fact, there are in fact banks borrowing money from the European Central bank at -1% interest rates. This means banks are g... ››› more
Frankfurt's Dax 30 is definitely the star index of the year…
It started the year at 13,126 moved to a frightening low of 8,158 in March and then recovered to over 13,200 in July.
This means, the German index has gone positive for the year.
And I believe this is going to continue in the next couple of months.
Right now, investors are feeling super optimistic about the index as it i... ››› more
This week, sit-down restaurants once again opened their doors to the public.
They opened under a cloud of restrictions. But they're open!
This must be a welcome relief to so many private restauranteurs and small business investors. Because, while they can't serve alcohol, offer a buffet and or hand you a menu (menus will have to be replaced by “no-touch” options), they can at least sta... ››› more
Some years ago I called out the Sharemax investment scheme.
And I got flack from advisors and investors invested in the company - collecting fat dividends.
But Sharemax crashed and burnt. And investors lost out big time.
In early March 2016 I warned investors that MMM Global would bankrupt them.
I received hate mail, MMM Global investors laughed at me. You see, they ... ››› more
You know the saying…“Out of crisis comes opportunity”?
Well, today I'm going to share two investors who followed this “investment mantra” and made a fortune.
Plus, I'll show you a way to access some great opportunities in our market that exist right now thanks to the pandemic.
"There are decades where nothing happens; and th... ››› more
This week we reveal the second last theme in our 6-part series set to perform in the new economic reality, which will evolve as global economies open and start recovering post Covid 19 lockdowns.
Part 5 - Precious Metals:
Precious metals provide diversification that protects your portfolio in bad times. But can also benefit in the good times. Investing in the physical... ››› more
Investing in the stock market today with 100% downside protection sounds too good to be true.
That's because for every positive headline you read there are 4 negative ones signaling a strong pull back in the weeks and months ahead.
And the recovery, post coronavirus lockdown is expected to be slow.
But investors in the latest “risk-free” structured product need not worry what happe... ››› more
While there have been epidemics in our lifetime, none have had the level of response from government's that we're now seeing.
And while it's now become clear that we'll have to deal with lockdown measures for longer than many initially thought - we're also far enough through this crisis to start looking ahead.
How will our economy recover, will it be quick or slow? Will we see inflatio... ››› more
Traditional currencies, like the US Dollar, Euro, Yen or Pound are all inflationary in nature, due to the very fact that central banks can print them at will. This means fiat money loses value every day as its purchasing power is reduced.
Bitcoin on the other hand, is widely considered to be a hedge against inflation.
That's because Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million and it's pre-pro... ››› more
There seems to be optimism flowing back into European markets.
Particularly in the UK as, in the last month, we've seen the FTSE 100 recover over 18%.
This is due to a number of reasons including:
• The COVID-19 infection rate is slowing down
• Talks about the ease of strict lockdowns
• The pound strengthening at an alarming rate
• Investor confidence entering the stock markets... ››› more
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Remember: Never invest more than you can afford to spare and that the value of any investment, and the income derived from it, can go down as well as up. The past is not necessarily a guide to future performance.
Editors or contributors may have an interest in investments commented on in this website.