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Gdp Growth

  • The US is in recession, or is it?
  • The American economy shrank by 1.6% in the first quarter of 2022, with a second quarter contraction of 0.9%. This stoked a massive online debate over whether the US economy is in recession or not. So, what is it, and should we be worried? What is a recession? The US National Bureau of Economic Research defines a recession as “a significant decline in economic activity that is spread acros... ››› more
  • [03 August 2022]
  • Don't fear a recession…Instead, use it to accelerate you profits!
  • The US has just entered into a technical recession. That is, two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth. Now, some think the US economy will struggle over the next year as inflation remains high, the Fed hikes interest rates, and consumers become more conservative with spending. Others believe our economy has a lot of room to run — especially as we start to get back to normal followin... ››› more
  • [03 August 2022]
  • It's the Fed stupid
  • The US Fed is a main player in the world's financial system. As the central bank of the world's largest economy, and thus the institution that controls the world's reserve currency, its rate decisions are always closely watched. However, in the current high inflation environment, it takes on an extra level of significance. I would go as far as to say, that if you are looking to make any type... ››› more
  • [14 July 2022]
  • Will the Evergrande crisis crash commodity markets worldwide?
  • China's second largest real estate developer is going bust. The company is $300 billion in debt. And it is struggling to pay interest when payments are becoming due. It's easy to think that an ailing real estate developer in China is an isolated case and it won't affect you… But the thing is, China's real estate market is worth $55 trillion. It is bigger than the US stock market, and... ››› more
  • [04 November 2021]
  • Can you double your money on the world's 5th largest company?
  • It's a good question. Global investors are currently flocking to the large developed market technology companies. Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Google, Netflix, Microsoft and Nvidia have all shown incredible year-to-date returns. The low interest rate environment post-Covid has once again sparked a global hunt for yield. And, since fixed-income returns are in the toilet, conservative invest... ››› more
  • [23 October 2020]
  • This one indicator can tell you exactly what's happening in the economy
  • There are hundreds, if not thousands of economic indicators investors like us can look at to gauge how the economy is doing. Employment figures, GDP Growth, CPI, the Trade Balance, these are just a couple of the well-known ones. There are more obscure ones, like the Buttered Popcorn index, the R-word index or the Coupon Redemption index. But you don't need to know all of these. In fact, there'... ››› more
  • [27 August 2020]
  • It pays to be a contrarian investor in times of crisis! Here's why…
  • You know the saying…“Out of crisis comes opportunity”? Well, today I'm going to share two investors who followed this “investment mantra” and made a fortune. Plus, I'll show you a way to access some great opportunities in our market that exist right now thanks to the pandemic. ________________________________________   "There are decades where nothing happens; and th... ››› more
  • [23 June 2020]
  • This is the highest this commodity's ever been - here's how to profit
  • The gold price sits at R23,044 an ounce - with its recent all time high at R23,721 per ounce. In early 2018 gold was below R16,000 an ounce. So the shiny metal is up around 44% in 2 years!   This is being driven by the weak rand, as well as a rising dollar gold price.   Within mere months I expect we will see the rand gold price hit R26,000 levels.   ... ››› more
  • [29 January 2020]
  • Really… You're telling me to invest in bonds and stash my cash?
  • While it may have been just another ordinary Thursday afternoon to you and me, for eight South Africans sitting around a table in a small boardroom in Pretoria, things looked very different. These eight people held the fate of the country in their hands. Call things right, and they may just put SA's ailing economy back on track. Call things wrong, and they could decimate the rand, stifle g... ››› more
  • [28 November 2019]
  • Don't get caught in South Africa's debt death-spiral
  • Last Friday, ratings agency Moodys dropped their outlook for SA debt from stable to negative. This means within the next 6 to 24 months it's likely we'll see the last of the three major ratings agencies cut our government debt rating to junk. As an economist, I am now all but certain the downgrade will happen. SA will become a junk status borrower. ________________________________________... ››› more
  • [08 November 2019]
  • Gold just hit its highest level in 6 years - what's going on?
  • The last time gold was at $1,400+ was back in August 2013. But on Tuesday 25 June 2019 it hit a high of $1,436 to an ounce.   Currently the gold price has pulled back a bit from this sharp rally and sits at $1,408.   But here’s the thing – on 28 May gold sold for $1,276 an ounce. So the shiny metal is up 10.3% since then.   What’s behind this ... ››› more
  • [27 June 2019]
  • Profit as the Rand blow out settles!
  • The Rand fell over 3% from its open to close last week. This is on the back of Ace Magashule's surprise (and incorrect) inclusion of changing the Reserve Bank's mandate and possible quantitative easing. When you add the bad GDP growth figures, you can see why people panicked and sold the Rand for any price they could get. Typically, this herd mentality happens at exactly the incorrect time creatin... ››› more
  • [12 June 2019]
  • How can you escape the US-China Trade War?
  • The US/China trade war has continued to escalate as President Trump tries to lock in a victory ahead of next year's presidential elections. Huawei, the Chinese smartphone maker, is the most recent target of his attacks. The company uses Google's Android operating system for its phones and due to US sanctions, it is likely that Google will be prevented from doing business with the company. ... ››› more
  • [23 May 2019]
  • South Africa out of recession… where to from here?
  • At 11:30 on 4 December 2018 Stats SA announced that South Africa is out of its recession. GDP Growth for the third quarter came in at 2.2%, after a 2.6% decline in the first quarter and a 0.4% decline in the second quarter of 2018. Editor's Note:  This is your FINAL chance to be a part of the biggest "bonus" we'... ››› more
  • [06 December 2018]
  • Why you should be accumulating Dischem
  • Even though President Trump hasn't slowed down on his “Trade War” rhetoric, indicating he would levy tariffs against another $500 billion of Chinese goods, global markets are pushing higher. It's doing this on the back of positive earnings releases. We're almost a fifth of the way through Q2 earnings season and so far, 87% of US companies are beating analyst's forecasts. When considering a... ››› more
  • [26 July 2018]
  • The interest rate will drop at the end of March!
  • The South African Reserve bank will hold its Monetary Policy Committee meeting between 26 and 28 March. At this stage all the indications are that interest rates might actually drop by 0.25%. That means, if you keep paying the same amount on your property loan, you will pay it off 13 months faster - just thanks to the lower interest rate! So how can we know that this'll happen, and wha... ››› more
  • [22 March 2018]
  • Shares to buy in a post Zuma South Africa
  • On Tuesday 13 February, the ANC held a press conference in which it officially recalled president Jacob Zuma. The ANC National Executive Committee decided that Zuma, in the interest of the country and the ANC, should no longer be president of South Africa. This doesn't mean Zuma is no longer president though… The recall simply makes it public that the ANC leadership no longer wants Z... ››› more
  • [14 February 2018]
  • Why I'm calling a buy on the JSE, even though many call it expensive
  • “The JSE is too expensive, rather buy these offshore stocks”, if read this headline, and variations of it many times in the past year. Yet, my Red Hot Penny Shares readers would've banked an average gain on shares we sold of 22.21% in 2016. Whilst there are still calls to drop the JSE and put your money elsewhere I am optimistic. I believe 2017 can be just as good, or better, than ... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • Which shares are you invested in as South Africa enters a recession?
  • South Africa has just officially entered a recession. GDP figures for the first quarter of 2017 show a GDP contraction of 0.7% quarter on quarter, and it follows the fourth quarter of 2016 which saw a 0.3% contraction… This is the first time since 2008/2009 that South Africa's entered a recession, which is defined as two quarters of negative GDP growth. So if our economy isn't growin... ››› more
  • [21 September 2017]
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