It seems that uncertain times are ahead of us.
On the one hand we have the main stock markets crashing to new yearly lows.
Since March 2022:
The JSE All Share Index is down 9.6%
The SP500 has crashed over 14.6%
The Nasdaq has dropped over 20%
Also gold is down over 10% and some of the main crypto's like Bitcoin and Ethereum are down over 50%.
Some believe we are entering into a ... ››› more
For years, many in the West have admired the ability of the Chinese Government to push through policies that would never fly in a democratic country. This has allowed them to build structures like the Three Gorges Dam.
This hydroelectric project is the world's largest power station and provides about 10% of the country's electricity. But it also required the relocation of over 1 million people.... ››› more
My trading is governed by this cheat sheet which focuses on three things!
• The first is trading goals.
• The second, your trade reporting and how to spot a big trend.
• Third, A trade analysis & execution plan.
Sticking to this cheat sheet has made me a successful trader for the last 20 years and now I hope it can do the same for you…
I've broken this cheat sheet into ... ››› more
First world countries are suddenly dealing with higher inflation than in third world countries!
In the US for instance inflation is currently at 8.5%.
It hasn't been above 4% since 2009. And in the past 25 years it's never been above 6%.
And now inflation is the highest it's been in 40 years!
But it's not just the US that's seeing inflation speed up. The UK, Australia, Canada and much ... ››› more
Over the last few months, I've written quite a few rather bleak articles (to say the least). I've issued warning after warning about the state of the financial markets. So, if you follow my Money Morning column regularly, you may easily believe I'm a permabear. A permabear is someone who believes markets will fall no matter what the conditions on the ground look like.
Given my very negative sla... ››› more
On the 11th and 12th of April, parts of KwaZulu-Natal received between 200 and 400 mm of rainfall in a 24-hour period.
Scenes from the KZN floods were shocking. I'm sure you saw the scenes of container yards flooded, trucks upturned and infrastructure in the Durban area decimated.
The South African government declared a national state of disaster to respond to the flood hit areas.
Homes h... ››› more
There are many economic signals that can accurately predict a recession.
A few weeks ago, I wrote about the “inverted yield curve”. It's a very strong predictor that economic growth will contract in the short-term.
Rapidly rising oil prices are another excellent indication that recession is hovering just over the horizon.
Historically speaking, high inflation combined with low unemp... ››› more
You'll often hear us say the same thing.
To trade successfully you'll need to know how to follow the rules, keep to discipline and repeat the process.
However, there is one crucial mistake that we see all the time from new traders.
And the reason for it involves fear.
You'd think that greed is what destroys traders. But I think the fear of losing is what prevents traders from being suc... ››› more
In dollar terms the price of corn is up 37%, and that of soybeans is up 36% in the past six months.
We've also seen wheat soar 40% in the past six months.
And this is because of the war between Russia and Ukraine as both these countries are large exporters of corn and wheat.
While this will definitely have an effect on inflation and food prices, large increases in grain prices have an eve... ››› more
By now, you've probably heard of sustainable investing…
Well, at the centre of sustainable investing is climate tech - the ecosystem of technology companies, financiers and providers of “green/clean” energy that do not produce emissions of carbon dioxide or CO2).
And right now an unparalleled wave of innovation is emerging to help solve the most pressing problems associated with decarb... ››› more
Bitcoin (and other cryptos) get a bad rep for their energy consumption.
But did you know bitcoin uses less than half the energy of the banking system and the gold industry?
That's right.
And what's even more encouraging is things are getting greener in the crypto world.
Renewable energy is a growing part of the energy mix for bitcoin. According to the Bitcoin Mining Council, renewables p... ››› more
In our QA mailbox this past week...
Q. “Hi Timon, I refer to the below track record…
"I am a bit confused as I believe I am doing something wrong.
My portfolio value is R85,000 and my figures for the above trades have the same results as a portfolio value with R5,000.
Is this possible to achieve such results with a portfolio value of R5,000 and risk 2% at the same time? Thank you…”
... ››› more
When war hits, inflation soars, and the economy struggles, investors seek out gold.
This is advice many investors have heard over again.
And considering the price of gold is up from $1,791 in January this year to a high of $2,043 - and still floating around $1,950 this is pertinent advice.
But here's the thing… There are good ways to invest in gold. And then there are BAD ways to invest... ››› more
For years, some high profile, investors and economists as well as governments have denounced bitcoin.
They've called bitcoin “evil”
A useless asset…
A giant bubble…
And declared it “dead” over 400 times.
But the digital asset has persisted and converted some of its most critical sceptics…
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We're all watching as Russia and Ukraine are in the midst of a bloody war. Over 3 million people have already been uprooted from their homes, and have fled Ukraine. All this following Russian President Vladimir Putin's address to his people announcing a “special military operation” in Ukraine to “denazify” the country.
We're experiencing the uncertainty a war like this brings.
The po... ››› more
The gold price hit $2,000 in the past week.
Right now it's trading as high as $2055.
In rand terms it broke the R1 million per kg level.
Simply put - the gold price is soaring. And that's great news for companies that mine the metal.
Right now, there's one South African miner specifically that I'm really positive about… ----------------------------------------------------------------... ››› more
The war in Ukraine threatens further disruptions to already stretched supply chains.
Whilst Ukraine and Russia are small compared to the likes of the US, China and Germany, they are essential suppliers of many raw materials crucial to supply chains down the line.
So exactly which of these commodities will be hardest hit? And does that pose opportunity? Three commodities hit by the Ukraine cr... ››› more
If you don't want to find yourself on the sidelines saying,
IF ONLY I had gotten into crypto when it was down at…
Then you need to read this NOW!
Today, I'll give you full details on our #1 crypto free of charge.
PLUS I'll show you which coin could turn R500 into R10,000 - starting in 2022 - but you must act NOW!
It’s not often in life you get a second chance!
But, i... ››› more
In our QA mailbox this past week...
Q. “Timon I read the Monday article about why you expect gold to rally with the whole Russia and Ukraine invasion going on. I found it fascinating and would love to know more. I'm not sure if this is the right platform, but I don't know where else to ask. I believe this is going to be ongoing and that you're going to write a lot more on the current situatio... ››› more
I'm finally getting a strong reason to buy gold.
Unfortunately, it comes off the back of bad news.
And this news, is a potential war brewing between many different countries.
If things escalate, it could be a World War 3 threat…
Already, Russia, Ukraine, the EU, America, and the UK are talking about attacks, hacks, sanctions and even war threats…
And guess what has been flying u... ››› more
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