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Interest Rate

  • Don't underestimate the interest rate effect
  • Interest rates in SA are at a generational low - this might be the lowest we'll see them for many years to come. And while the opportunity is here - it's clear that many home buyers and businesses are grabbing it. A recent report from bond originator, OOBA, shows that in the fourth quarter of 2020 home loan applications shot up a whopping 36% compared to the same quarter in 2019. The major... ››› more
  • [28 January 2021]
  • JSE ALSI: TARGET REACHED ✔️
  • On 3 February 2020, I sent out an article: WARNING: The deadliest threat to the JSE At the time the JSE All Share Index was trading at 55,000… I predicted that the index would drop to 50,405 in a couple of weeks…   ________________________________________   Did you miss ANOTHER triple-digit gain this last week?   Those canny Pickpocket Traders didn’t - thi... ››› more
  • [03 April 2020]
  • Five reasons for gold's rally in 2019 and why I expect it to rise further
  • Did you know since the start of the year, gold has risen to just about 16%. It's been a great year for not only investors, but for us traders as well. In fact, this year alone with Red Hot Storm Trader, we've managed to bank three out of four winners on Anglo Gold with the gold rise including… • January 2019: + 47.77% • February 2019: + 41.10% • July 2019: + 34.97% • Sept... ››› more
  • [28 October 2019]
  • Suddenly $1,900 gold doesn't look that crazy any more…
  • In June 2019 I told readers that gold is headed higher… Back then I had a longer term target of $1,900 in mind. Today, the gold price is already $100 higher than it was back then. The rand is also weaker - leading to a rand gold price of more than R750,000/kg. That is R110,000 per kilo more than it was in June... Gold has suddenly become so bullish that Goldman Sachs just upgraded it... ››› more
  • [14 August 2019]
  • BRACE YOURSELF: We saw this in 1997 and it looks like it's about to happen again!
  • We are already in July 2019 and in the last six months, we've seen the SP500 index rise 17% for the first time since 1997. With the truce agreement between the US and China that took place at the G20 summit, the rumours about the FED cutting interest rates and the index breaking above the psychological 3,000 level - It looks like we are in for a very profitable ride with the SP500. But, ... ››› more
  • [22 July 2019]
  • When gold flies so will this metal
  • Dear Trading Tips reader, Early in January I sent out a prediction on gold, if you missed it, I highly recommend you read it here.   What’s important to note is gold is, and has, pretty much always been a leading indicator for other precious metals.   In 2001 when Gold ended its downtrend, we then saw the start of a new bull market. Later, we saw other precious metals turn... ››› more
  • [26 February 2019]
  • The interest rate will drop at the end of March!
  • The South African Reserve bank will hold its Monetary Policy Committee meeting between 26 and 28 March. At this stage all the indications are that interest rates might actually drop by 0.25%. That means, if you keep paying the same amount on your property loan, you will pay it off 13 months faster - just thanks to the lower interest rate! So how can we know that this'll happen, and wha... ››› more
  • [22 March 2018]
  • For the first time in 14 years, the Euro could be weaker than the US Dollar
  • What you're about to read will shock you… 1999 - The Euro came into existence in January which was the goal of the European Union and its predecessors since the 1960s. Initially there was a negative reaction as the Euro fell below parity (1:1) with the US Dollar for the first time. After, the dust settled and the EU was finding its feet with regulations, treaties and legislations, the E... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • The latest Interest Rate cycle that could end in financial disaster
  • Have you ever heard of the saying, “Those who do not remember the past, are condemned to repeat it?” Well, humans can learn valuable lessons by looking back at historical events, but choose not to. And in many cases, we tend to repeat history and make the same mistakes. Think about how many financial decisions we've made that ended up in economic disaster. For example, the deci... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • Is the Proverbial Christmas Market Rally likely to happen this year?
  • In the past 24 months the JSE All share index has been unable to lift itself out of its sideways channel. In the last two years it only managed to deliver a 1% move for investors. The trading environment in the local market has been tough to say the least. There has been a slew of socio-political upheavals, both internationally and locally, that have negatively affected the market. With j... ››› more
  • [29 November 2016]
  • Why you should use this interest rate pause to boost your financial situation
  • Since the South African reserve bank decided not to increase interest rates again, you have a brief moment of relief to make sure that you get your financial house in order before the next rate hike. Now is the time to be more frugal with your money. It's not the time to make more debt or increase your spending. The challenges for consumers in 2016 are far from over. No one know if the reserve... ››› more
  • [20 May 2016]
  • Finally, the rand finds a stable footing thanks to the South African Reserve Bank
  • The past few weeks have been harrowing for the rand. It's been taking a severe beating from the dollar in the past two weeks. Worst of all, rumours about the arrest of Pravin Gordhan has certainly not been helping matters at all. But, finally, it seems to have found a moment of stability. How long this will last, I don't know. But let's take a closer look... The rand is battered by t... ››› more
  • [20 May 2016]
  • Investing in property? Just wait a second before you do so…
  • According to Stats SA 36,300 new houses was built in South Africa during 2015. This has been part of a steady recovery since the 2008 crash. But before you go out and buy the first best rental property you see first heed my warning… You need to bring the interest rate risk into your equation Looking at the vast bulk of property prices today it’s clear to me buyers simply aren’t re... ››› more
  • [05 February 2016]
  • The good and the bad of Thursday's expected interest rate hike
  • The South Africa Reserve Bank will announce its first interest rate decision for the year on Thursday. In the build up to the announcement, many economists were expecting the Reserve Bank to leave interest rates unchanged. In November last year the decision by the Reserve Bank brought the repo rate (the rate banks lend to one another) to 6.25% and the prime lending rate to 9.75%. So what ... ››› more
  • [26 January 2016]
  • How to handle debt in the face of rising interest rates
  • When interest rates go up, the cost of borrowing rises with it. The banks simply pass on the hikes in interest rates they pay to borrow money to you the customer. The South African Reserve Bank is in the midst of increasing rates. It raised rates last week and also in July. Chances are more interest rates hike lie ahead. So how should you handle your debt in the face of higher interest ra... ››› more
  • [21 December 2015]
  • Will rising interest rates mean the end for the listed property boom in 2016?
  • South African interest rates are up 0.5% for the year. This was the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) reaction to growing inflation and a weakening rand. And, looking, at what's going on internationally I expect South African interest rates to go up even more in 2016. You see, the US Federal Reserve Bank signalled it was likely to increase interest rates at its next meeting on 15 Decemb... ››› more
  • [07 December 2015]
  • Producer inflation jumps higher as food prices rise
  • Earlier today, Stats SA released its producer inflation data for October. The data showed that the rise was mostly due to climbing food prices. This data could indicate that a jump higher in consumer inflation could be on the cards. Let's take a closer look at what the data revealed… Producer inflation rises to 4.2%   Producer inflation, as measured by the producer price ind... ››› more
  • [26 November 2015]
  • The rand drifts weaker as the dollar firms
  • There's no disputing that the rand is under severe pressure. The currency is feeling the strain yet again as the dollar continues on its path stronger. The dollar is gaining on the prospect of an interest rate hike next month. Let's take a closer look at what's going on… The rand continues its slide against the dollar   The latest data out of the US gives more reason for the... ››› more
  • [26 November 2015]
  • The future looks bleak for the rand
  • The rand has yet again struggled to hold under R14 to the dollar. The currency is under pressure as the market expects the US Federal Reserve to hike interest rates next month. After the South African Reserve Bank raised interest rates last week, the local currency experienced a sharp rally, but most of these gains have disappeared. Let's take a closer look at what's going on… The ra... ››› more
  • [25 November 2015]
  • The rand trades back through R14/$ giving back last week's gains
  • The rand staged a bit of a rally last week, but it's given back its gains. Emerging market currencies, including the rand, are under pressure once again as the market focuses on whether the US will hike interest rates or not next month. Let's take a closer look at what's going on… The rand’s gains are cut short   The new week brought an end to the rand’s “five day winn... ››› more
  • [23 November 2015]
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