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Interest Rates

  • What does the US inflation figure mean for your portfolio?
  • US inflation came in at 7% on Wednesday. This is so far beyond the US target rate of 2% it's terrifying. To give you some perspective about how big a miss this is, our SA target rate is up to 6%. So, to miss it as much as the US did, our inflation rate would need to be 21%. Up until recently, the US Fed argued they didn't have to raise interest rates to combat inflation, since it was “t... ››› more
  • [18 January 2022]
  • Why you should own Dividend Dominators in 2022
  • Many people believe that dividends are boring. And aren't big enough to make a difference in their portfolio. But that simply isn't true. Throughout history, finding great dividend companies that pay you consistent income every year has been one of the great ways to build wealth. And 2021 has been no different. Just consider Investec - a company I consider a “Dividend Dominator”…... ››› more
  • [13 January 2022]
  • Three themes that could dominate 2022
  • Incredibly, it's already that time of year when brokers, banks and analysts' dust off their crystal balls and start making wild predictions on what will happen to financial markets over the next 12 months. Now, it's important for you to remember, that no matter how fancy the title of the person making predictions, or how prestigious the institution, the future has a way of surprising us all. ... ››› more
  • [12 January 2022]
  • Predicting 2022 in 5 minutes
  • Every year we start off with our biggest, boldest and best predictions for the coming 12 months. How will the world around us change? What will stock markets do? And where do the biggest opportunities exist? Five predictions to start off the year Prediction #1 - The pandemic will end in 2022 It’s the prediction no one has been willing to make. Just as we think things are taking... ››› more
  • [11 January 2022]
  • Is South Africa heading for a recession again?
  • Last week's GDP data showed that South Africa's economy shrunk in the third quarter of 2021. This follows four quarters of economic growth from pandemic lows. It also means that another quarter of economic contraction would put the country back in recession. So, are we heading back into recession, or will the economy turn upwards from here? Let's have a look at what the numbers say… ... ››› more
  • [15 December 2021]
  • What should you learn from the Turkish lira crisis?
  • In Ernest Hemingway's 1926 novel “The Sun Also Rises” two characters are discussing bankruptcy: “How did you go bankrupt?” Bill asked. “Two ways” Mike said, “gradually and then suddenly”. The “slowly at first, and then all at once” concept is wonderfully described in Malcom Gladwell's debut book The Tipping Point. Gladwell defines this idea as “the moment of critica... ››› more
  • [08 December 2021]
  • Why the rising petrol price is here to stay
  • The petrol price in South Africa is breaking the R20 a litre level. December 2020 it sold for R14.26 a litre. That's an increase of 41.6% Sure - the 2020 level for petrol prices was a low base. Covid reduced demand and the oil price was really low. But the huge increases we're seeing now are hurting - and they'll definitely affect business as well. -------------------------------------------... ››› more
  • [03 December 2021]
  • Did you miss my first prediction on the SP500? Here's my next one...
  • In July this year, I pinpointed 3 green lights for its rally to 4,600. And have you seen recently it's been trading at around 4,681 The price has shot right through the price target and then some. At first, I was going to just bank my profits and run… However, I've just been alerted another 3 MAJOR buying signals. And now my SP500 price target just got bigger, better and even mor... ››› more
  • [01 December 2021]
  • Why this is the next big trend in crypto
  • In September 2021, Sotheby's announced its intention to auction an extremely rare copy of the US Constitution. For interest sake, out of the 500 made, only 13 remain. 11 of those 13, sit in institutions. For example, the Library of Congress. That means two are privately held. So, this announcement was a big deal. And many took notice. In particular one group of crypto entrepreneurs...   ... ››› more
  • [30 November 2021]
  • I'm no Nostradamus - But the rand is in major trouble
  • The rand has really taken a beating this year.    In July I wrote an article, From Lockdown 4 to Jumanji - Here's why I'm selling the rand. I predicted that the rand would fall from R14.30 to R15.58.   This was due to local reasons such as the looting that took place, the slow vaccination roll-out as well as a bearish chart pattern.    And to catch you up, you... ››› more
  • [23 November 2021]
  • If inflation is back, here's what you need to know…
  • US inflation just hit a 30 year high. And the US is not the only country experiencing rising prices. The EU, as well as the UK, have also seen the price of goods and services rising. There are many reasons for this: Supply chains were disrupted by the pandemic; oil prices are high; demand has increased due to stimulus; wages are rising… the list goes on. But the big question every inve... ››› more
  • [15 November 2021]
  • My #1 trading secret…
  • There are two types of traders. And most traders choose to be one, not both… One type of trader prefers to dig into a company's financial background… They will look at earnings, interest rates, P:E ratios, as well as micro or macro aspects in that sector and the economy… The other type of trader bases all his decisions on charts. They observe price patterns, indicators, v... ››› more
  • [28 September 2021]
  • Want to sell your property? The time is now
  • Interest rates have been at record low levels for more than a year now. You might think that with loan affordability levels at this point now is the time to buy property… But the opposite is true. If you're considering selling a laggard in your rental portfolio, or if there's an older property giving you maintenance hassles - NOW is the time to sell it.   You can find the full Arti... ››› more
  • [16 September 2021]
  • If you've never invested before - this should be your first step
  • So, you spend less than you earn and you're putting some savings in the bank each month? Truth is - your money in a savings account isn't doing anything for you with how low interest rates are right now… Perhaps you've considered investing - but you've been unsure about where to start? Here's what you need to know… ________________________________________   Get starte... ››› more
  • [22 July 2021]
  • Why Interest Rates are doing nothing for the rand right now
  • Q. “I refer back to Monday's article. You mentioned that the main reason for the rand's rally was based on global reasons rather than local. Don't you think South African interest rate changes could have an effect on the rands strength too?”   A. As there is no clear-cut answer, I can only speak from my economic background and experience.   Generally, when interest rates ris... ››› more
  • [18 June 2021]
  • What's the situation with the South African economy right now?
  • On 20 May 2021 the SA Reserve Bank had its bimonthly monetary policy meeting. The bank kept interest rates flat - at what is basically an all-time low for South Africans… In its announcement the bank governor, Lestja Kganyago said “Economic and financial conditions are expected to remain volatile for the foreseeable future. In this uncertain environment, policy decisions will continue ... ››› more
  • [10 June 2021]
  • This is one of the JSEs ultimate dividend shares
  • With interest rates at the lowest they've been for most of South Africa's history there's not a lot of profit to be made from interest investments… But there's a lot of potential on the JSE right now. In fact, right now there are 51 shares on the JSE with dividends above a 5% dividend yield. That means you're getting around DOUBLE what you would in an interest investment right now, a... ››› more
  • [27 May 2021]
  • What expropriation through inflation means for you
  • What is a government to do if it has added billions, or even trillions of rands of debt in a short amount of time? South Africa's national debt increased 30% to R3.7 trillion in 2020. The US printed a fifth of all the money in all its history - in mere months. Simply put - these amounts are too big to just pay back. So, these governments need to use another tactic. The ‘raise cash' b... ››› more
  • [13 May 2021]
  • What the resources boom means for the rand
  • By now I'm sure you've noticed commodity prices are booming! Fifty-three out of 63 commodities monitored by the World Bank were up in price in December 2020 compared with the same month a year earlier. Copper, Palladium, Rhodium and many other metals are at all time highs. Even agricultural commodities like soy, maize and sunflower are climbing. I don't expect this to continue forever.... ››› more
  • [06 May 2021]
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