On 8 September South Africa's GDP figures for the second quarter of 2020 was released.
Our economy shrank by 51% annualised in the three months between April and June 2020.
This has put us into the longest recession in the past 28 years.
Sectors like mining fell 73.1%, manufacturing fell 74.9% and construction shrank by 76.6%.
This is bad.
But even though it was just released, i... ››› more
You may not know this but two-thirds or 60% of the world's supply of cocoa beans come from West Africa each year.
This includes the Ivory Coast and Ghana (2nd biggest cocoa producer).
Just to put it into perspective, Ghana's cocoa sector employs over 800,000 rural families. It also produces around R33.58 billion in foreign exchange.
This year we've seen a major slump in cocoa prices.
... ››› more
Last week I wrote about the benefits of using support and resistance lines. This charting technique is easy to learn and probably one of the simplest and most useful tools when it comes to timing entry and exit points.
Now, before you shoot me down, I’m well aware of the old financial planning adage that goes: It’s not about timing the market, it’s about time in the market.
... ››› more
Q. “Is there a list of things I need to ensure my success from your Red Hot Storm Trader service Timon?”
A. I’m sure you have everything you need to benefit from the service.
But to make extra sure, here are my five checkboxes to optimise your success with Red Hot Storm Trader.
1. A computer or a cell phone with a good internet connection
... ››› more
Early on in the COVID-19 pandemic there was a ‘nerdy' accounting joke doing the rounds saying that soon we'd see EBITDAC - Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation and corona.
While there's no ‘official' accounting term like that - companies results do show the effects, the pandemic has had on them. And many are opting to call it ‘once-off expenses.
Suddenly the ner... ››› more
Some big-name companies announced stock splits and today is an important day for investors.
Apple (APPL) shares split four for one on Friday close. This means it will start trading today at 25% of its closing price of $499.23 on Friday. This is the fifth time its split in 33 years. If Apple never did these share splits, 1 share would be changing hands at almost $29,000, from an IPO price of $2... ››› more
One of the most widely reported sectors that will benefit from 5G is transport/logistics.
According to Informa, the logistics industry accounts for the second highest level of private 5G network deployments since 2016.
That's because 5G networks are completely remaking the industry in various ways.
Today I'm going to explain how 5G can revolutionise the transport industry…
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This is the MOST exciting technology I've ever come across.
I'm talking about Blockchain.
It's one that is truly going to rule the world when it comes to business, making transactions and with trading the financial markets.
If you missed Wednesday's brief explanation on what Blockchain is and how it works - it's actually ok!
Just don't miss this one.
Today I'm going to expand on... ››› more
If you've been following my Thursday Money Morning contributions over the last few weeks, you'll know we're slowly working through the important concepts in trading and technical analysis.
Last week, we covered some of the basics around risk management. If you missed it, you can find the article here.
But this week we’re tackling one of the most useful and often ignored as... ››› more
There are hundreds, if not thousands of economic indicators investors like us can look at to gauge how the economy is doing. Employment figures, GDP Growth, CPI, the Trade Balance, these are just a couple of the well-known ones. There are more obscure ones, like the Buttered Popcorn index, the R-word index or the Coupon Redemption index.
But you don't need to know all of these. In fact, there'... ››› more
Q. “Timon you mentioned that the future of investments, apps and businesses all lie in the Blockchain technology. Now before I started reading about Blockchain from you and Sam Volkering I only ever heard of Crypto-currencies. Could you explain what a blockchain is and how it works when it comes to making a transaction?”
A. Sure, I’ll try my best…
A blockchain i... ››› more
In the upside-down world we find ourselves in today, many clients and investors are looking for low risk investment opportunities that will provide significant upside potential over a few years.
While several opportunities have crossed my desk, none have really caught my eye until now.
This is an opportunity that provides 100% downside protection, with exposure to global companies plus a t... ››› more
Can you imagine your world without a smartphone? Or a world without access to Uber, Spotify or Netflix…
Probably not, and yet this device is barely a decade old.
Smartphones have been adopted faster than any technology that's come before it.
In just six years one out of 2 Americans had adopted smartphones. Compared to radio's eight years, VCR's nine years or the internet's 11 years.
... ››› more
On 31 August 2020 Apple's share price will drop around 75% from what it was.
That means its share price will go from the current $437.50 to around $109 a share.
I don't need a crystal ball to predict this.
You see, Apple announced it is doing a 4-to-1 stock split.
And its not the only company doing this. Tesla announced a 5-to-1 stock split that'll happen on August 21.
So, what do... ››› more
Emerging markets and the JSE should continue to grind higher on the back of renewed optimism over stimulus packages from the US.
President Trump has less than 3 months to “ensure” a win. He is pumping further stimulus into the US economy. On Saturday he signed a few executive orders, one of them to defer payroll tax deductions, hinting that they will be scrapped anyway.
The recorded am... ››› more
What do inventions like electricity, railroads, and the internet have in common?
They are all general-purpose technologies (GPT).
General-purpose technologies can create economic booms.
They can increase productivity and create new wealth.
But it can take time for a GPT to explode.
For example, electrical power became available in the late 1800s - but it wasn't until the 1920s ... ››› more
I think we can all agree. 2020 is completely nuts!
In the last week, we saw a nuclear-sized explosion in Beirut, after 2750 tons of ammonium nitrate flattened the port city.
Trump is trying to force Chinese-backed TikTok to sell its US interests to Microsoft (with the US treasury getting a slice of the action) in what has to be the strangest M&A deal in history.
And we have both the te... ››› more
For more than a decade now, we've been hearing about the renewable energy trend.
South Africa has had three rounds of tendering and construction builds for both solar and wind energy plants- but due to political reasons the fourth round of builds was stopped five years ago…
Then two years ago the renewable energy programme was restarted, and by end 2019 around 8% of all of South Africa's... ››› more
MTN will deliver half year financial results to the market on Thursday 6 August. This is another company that has been overlooked by the market, MTN has already announced that the Headline earnings will increase by about 120%.
The company's earnings are coming off a low base, but these results should show that it has successfully operating during the lockdown. It should benefit from the work-f... ››› more
While many investors have been focusing on gold hitting new highs, the crypto market has boomed behind the scenes…
For instance, the entire crypto market has added $100billion in the last month….
Bitcoin recently shot past $11,000 for the first time this year…
And Ethereum has soared over 54% in the past 2 weeks taking its total gain for 2020, to over 181%.
So, what's going o... ››› more
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