Q. "Trader X recently sent out a Forex trade to short (sell) the EUR/ZAR. I am currently trading Forex CFDs and would like to ask how I can calculate the minimum rands risked per pip movement if I traded 5 CFDs. Do you have a formula to help with this?”
A. Hi John S, yes I can absolutely help with this.
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The JSE crashed 14.45% between 2 March 2022 and 9 May 2022.
Similarly, the Dow Jones index in the USA is down 10.74% year to date of which half of this drop has been in the past month. And the S&P 500 index is down 14.75% year to date.
We hear about inflation, war, lockdowns, supply chain issues all as contributing to this bear market…
So, what is fuelling the market's drop - and are we... ››› more
It seems that uncertain times are ahead of us.
On the one hand we have the main stock markets crashing to new yearly lows.
Since March 2022:
The JSE All Share Index is down 9.6%
The SP500 has crashed over 14.6%
The Nasdaq has dropped over 20%
Also gold is down over 10% and some of the main crypto's like Bitcoin and Ethereum are down over 50%.
Some believe we are entering into a ... ››› more
If you've heard of ‘value investing', you may automatically think of Warren Buffett or Benjamin Graham, the man who coined the term - Value Investing - and, arguably the world's greatest value investor.
However, there's another person who revolutionised value investing, back in April 2000.
And he doesn't even invest!
He's a little-known accounting professor, who wrote a 57-page research... ››› more
Uber is one of the most amazing success stories in recent history.
As I write this the company is worth $88 billion today. But it doesn't own any vehicles. And it doesn't pay salaries to employees.
In fact - the company is estimated to have between 3 and 4 million drivers around the world.
Yet the company doesn't have a fraction of the overheads a business with 3 million employees would h... ››› more
Imagine! At an age when some people give up hope of making real money,
Buffett was just getting started on the fortune he controls today.
And, that's why I'm here to say it's never to late to start investing… especially when you consider we are at the cusp of something huge… A massive shift from Growth to Value…
As you know tech stocks like Zoom, Netflix, Tesla Pinterest and many oth... ››› more
First world countries are suddenly dealing with higher inflation than in third world countries!
In the US for instance inflation is currently at 8.5%.
It hasn't been above 4% since 2009. And in the past 25 years it's never been above 6%.
And now inflation is the highest it's been in 40 years!
But it's not just the US that's seeing inflation speed up. The UK, Australia, Canada and much ... ››› more
Last week, I flew to South Africa to catch up with friends and relatives.
I'm thrilled to have also have flown with my lovely girlfriend, so I can show her around this beautiful country.
Compared to chilly Greece, the weather has been perfect and it's been incredible being back to friendly faces, open air, amazing food and a lekker Jozie spirit!
Any way last week Friday, I decided to phon... ››› more
Most retail investors have never heard of Walter Schloss…
But he racked up one of the best investment records in history over his 40year career as an investor.
It's a record, few have managed to beat!
After all, he managed to compound his investments 16% year on year from 1955 till he died in 2012.
And it was why Warren Buffett named him one of the great “Super-Investors”!
So ... ››› more
On the 11th and 12th of April, parts of KwaZulu-Natal received between 200 and 400 mm of rainfall in a 24-hour period.
Scenes from the KZN floods were shocking. I'm sure you saw the scenes of container yards flooded, trucks upturned and infrastructure in the Durban area decimated.
The South African government declared a national state of disaster to respond to the flood hit areas.
Homes h... ››› more
Raise your hand if you lost money in the markets?
I know I did in 2004 up to 2008.
It was because I kept making the same old mistakes newbies make.
Funny thing. I already had a winning trading strategy that was working on a consistent basis on paper. And yet, I was failing as a trader.
That was until, I started talking to top traders.
From Peter L. Brandt multi-US milliona... ››› more
There's no doubt about it…
“Map apps” have revolutionised the way people travel.
In less than a minute, you can open an app on your phone, type an address and voila…
You're ready to go.
It's no wonder why “map apps” like Google, Waze (owned by Google) and
Apple boast hundreds of millions of users - even BILLIONS!
But one day that could change.
You see, a new crypto s... ››› more
A few weeks ago, I made a rather extreme prediction. I predicted the world would be entering a period of greater instability triggered specifically by food price increases. Normally I would wait a little longer before writing a follow up, but things are changing rapidly on the ground.
Over the last week or so, we've seen upticks in instability across much of the emerging world. Protests have er... ››› more
Zeder is a little investment holdings company on the JSE. For years it was a core shareholder in Pioneer Foods (acquired by PepsiCo). It also holds a number of other interesting agricultural businesses as well…
But the company's share price is down 62% in the past five years.
What's going on? And is there an opportunity to profit? -----------------------------------------------------------... ››› more
There are many economic signals that can accurately predict a recession.
A few weeks ago, I wrote about the “inverted yield curve”. It's a very strong predictor that economic growth will contract in the short-term.
Rapidly rising oil prices are another excellent indication that recession is hovering just over the horizon.
Historically speaking, high inflation combined with low unemp... ››› more
It looks like things are finally heading up with the world's markets since Russia invaded Ukraine in late February.
In fact, from the middle of February 2022 we have already seen the markets move up including:
7.6% for the JSE All share index
11.2% for UK's FTSE 100
8.8% for the Dow Jones 30
But that's not all…
The star index that I see major upside to come is showing the most prom... ››› more
In dollar terms the price of corn is up 37%, and that of soybeans is up 36% in the past six months.
We've also seen wheat soar 40% in the past six months.
And this is because of the war between Russia and Ukraine as both these countries are large exporters of corn and wheat.
While this will definitely have an effect on inflation and food prices, large increases in grain prices have an eve... ››› more
US bond markets recently went into inversion. This is when short-term interest rates are higher than long-term interest rates.
And what this can mean is a recession is around the corner. In this case, markets are anticipating a recession sometime in the next 6 to 24 months.
But, even if you don't look at such a “technical” indicator, it should be clear the risk of recession is high.
T... ››› more
Small companies on the JSE have become popular takeover targets.
In 2021, 25 companies were delisted from the JSE, many of these were companies being bought out by management teams or acquiring companies from abroad.
Think of companies like Value Group, Adapt IT, Anchor Group and Spanjaard.
These companies are delisting because their share prices have remained too cheap - and that's creat... ››› more
Here's a bit of a warning.
Have you seen the petrol price hikes lately?
Probably not yet, but you will.
In America the prices of petrol and diesel shot up to the highest level in over 14 years.
Petrol went to $1.23 per litre or $4.69 per gallon.
Diesel rocketed to $1.35 per litre of $5.11 per gallon.
And as you know, what happens in America, has a ripple effect in South Africa ... ››› more
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