Last week we discussed how after a national SA election there is always a rally on the JSE in the following 12 months.
If you missed the article, you can catch up here.
In today's article however, I would like to follow up and explain why I expect a strong rally despite the carnage that is taking place in the international markets.
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Q. "Timon I am ignorant when it comes to trading CFD's. I understand the basic principles as I have traded Forex before, but I do not know where to find a CFD platform and I don't know what CFDs to trade. Can you please help?"
A. We have two main recommended trading platforms you can use to trade CFDs. You can see them by clicking here.
With regards to what CFDs to trade, yo... ››› more
The elections have once again come and gone.
I trust that you made your contribution to the country, which has left a memorable mark on your thumb which could help define our future.
Talking about voting, I was curious to see what effect the elections have had on the JSE over the last 17 years.
In today's article I want to discuss, two main points which you might find lucrative for yo... ››› more
On Wednesday 27 February we watched and heard the 'Kudu Horn' blow, as we witnessed MultiChoice Group (JSE: MCG) listing on the JSE at just R95 per share.
We knew this was coming as parent company, Naspers announced the unbundling of MultiChoice in September 2018.
MultiChoice has come a long way. With its subsidiaries including, Showmax, MultiChoice Botswana and MultiChoice Namibia to na... ››› more
Q. “I want to start to trade Crypto-currencies. I heard that I don't need to worry about ECNs ever again. I don't even know what an ECN is, let alone worry about them. Could you explain this in layman's terms. I find that the definitions on the internet, are far too complicated to understand?”
A. I'll try to explain what an ECN is with an easy to understand analogy.
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Imagine this… You could've bought Capitec shares at R26 a share in 2008.
In the past year, the company paid investors R15.75 in dividends. That means 60.50% growth on your original capital JUST FROM DIVIDENDS.
If you add up all the dividends since 2008, investors received R69.88 in dividends. That's 268% growth from dividends alone.
In fact, a study of dividends and returns on shares... ››› more
I'm sure you're thinking, WHAT!?
Normally when you hear of a bearish pattern, you'd expect a market to drop in price.
So how can I expect the JSE to rise?
Today I'm going to explain my unusual prediction on the JSE and how you can bank a 664% gain.
If you missed the gold prediction then you still have a chance to bank a 489% gain from the rise in gold - Go here.
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From mid-2002 to mid-2017, the JSE All Share returned a cumulative 420%.
Doesn't sound too bad, right?
But if you had re-invested dividends, the return would be over 700%
Just think about that for a second…
That's an extra 300% growth thanks to simply reinvesting the dividends.
To put it another way, R10,000 back in mid-2002 would be worth over R50,000 invested in the JSE. Bu... ››› more
Irving Kahn was the oldest active money manager on Wall Street before he passed away.
He was born in 1905 and in 2002 he said that he was still working through the night finding great stocks.
But more than his work ethic, Kahn was known for the fortune he made during the ‘Great Depression' in the 1930's.
Kahn began working on Wall Street in 1928 during a roaring bull market and becam... ››› more
Q. “Hi Timon I want to set a few trading resolutions for 2019, can you please tell me five achievable ideas so I know what to do?”
A. I always have five trading resolutions which help me kick off the year. Here they are.
Resolution #1: Only take trades when your trading strategy gives you signals
Most people try to trade on intuition and base their trading signal... ››› more
Most investors are losing patience with the JSE as returns have been non-existent.
The JSE All-Share index is back in it's previous trading range - which is pretty much 2014 levels.
The problem with investors losing patience and selling, is they do it at precisely the wrong time.
The Magellan fund managed by Peter Lynch achieved a remarkable 29% annualised return between 1977 to 1990 b... ››› more
In 1954, 24-year-old Warren Buffett received a phone call that would ultimately change his life.
The person on the other line offered Buffett a job in New York City and he accepted without asking about the salary.
It was arguably the smartest - and most profitable - decision he ever made.
That's because Buffett knew the man who had just employed him. A man he studied under at Columbia Uni... ››› more
AB InBev (ANH:JSE) has steadily fallen from it's R2,000 high in Feb 2016 down below R1,100 today. The fall is as a result of them processing the massive take-over of SAB, the Rand strengthening and the market pricing in a dividend cut in the full-year results to December.
ANH's emerging market exposure will provide it with superior growth over the long-term, and with Trump likely to strike a tr... ››› more
Last week, Richemont (CFR:JSE) announced its joint venture with Alibaba. An opportunity for mass distribution like this could see Richemont's sales soar over the coming years. Especially in China, where Alibaba has a strong presence and China is expected to account for nearly 50% of the luxury goods market in the next six years.
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You've probably never heard of Abraham Germansky and Jesse Livermore. Both were investors nearly 100 years ago.
Abraham Germansky was a multimillionaire real estate developer in 1920s. He also loved stocks, investing heavily as the market boomed. But when the crash of 1929 unfolded, he was wiped out.
After that he disappeared.
On the other hand, Jesse Livermore had a very different experi... ››› more
When the market opens today it will officially be in a bear market as the JSE extends the recent sell-off on overnight weakness offshore.
Most of this sell-off has been driven by global politics and rising interest rates in the US, with other developed markets to follow suit.
Retail investors are yet to “Panic” about the value of their portfolios.
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While October was the month we had Black Tuesday in 1929, Black Monday in 1987 and a big sell off in October 2008 post Lehman's collapse, it generally ends the month up.
Over the past 100 years the Dow and S&P have ended positive 62% of the time with an average gain of 0.4% but with heightened vola... ››› more
It is every trader's goal to be able to accurately predict where markets are heading.
And it's been my mission this year to find a reliable indicator that can predict where the JSE ALSI Top 40 is headed.
After plotting a whole bunch of indicators, relative strength oscillators and indices, I think I've done it.
And it's all thanks to Japan.
Today I'll discuss this predictor, wh... ››› more
Following on the theme of buying shares at a discount, today's company is trading at a discount to its net asset value as well as paying over 6.5% in dividends.
You will get paid to patiently wait for the company's share price to return to a premium to its net asset value (NAV).
The biggest reason for the discount is that it failed to comply with credit regulations in the past. These issues... ››› more
Buying shares at a significant discount provides some downside protection.
Knowing you bought R1 of assets for 79 cents gives you comfort, and one investment holding company is trading at exactly that.
While investment holding companies typical trade at a discount to their some of the parts value, when these companies sell or distribute assets, the benefit is received at full market value.
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