Q1 GDP coming out at -2.2%, the worst since Q1 2009, reflects that the Ramaphoria optimism has not resulted in any tangible results and likely kept investors complacent.
The rand strength is hard to explain and perhaps it will weaken while investors and portfolio managers digest the impact of these GDP figures on their investments.
Look to pick up the quality rand hedges that have been sol... ››› more
Look at the graph below…
It may look like your typical graph of a company's share price, but it's not. And if it was, you'd better be worried.
But this graph actually depicts what a shrinking stock market looks like.
And right now, you need to know what it means and the investment approach you must take if you have any chance of making money from the JSE.
It... ››› more
These are the “widest discounts to sum of the parts I have tracked in many years; I see … excellent long term value here…”
These are the words from a fellow analyst regarding two specific JSE listed investment companies.
Following his statement, I had a deeper look at the two he refers to as well as other companies. And what I found is astounding.
Businesses are selling at 15%, ... ››› more
Turn on Bloomberg and all you'll see is red…
The Dow Jones Stock Exchange crashed over 1,000 points dropping 4.15% in a day.
The S&P tanked 100 points dropping 3.75% in a day. And the Nasdaq fell 275 points dropping 3.90% in a day.
Come back to our local stock market and you'll see a big market drop.
Should you start to panic with your investments or will this pass.
Today, I'll tell... ››› more
I can remember my honeymoon like yesterday.
We were crazy in love.
And for months afterward this euphoric phase continued.
I could make no mistake in her eyes, nor she in mine. Everything was perfect.
Then suddenly reality struck. Our first big fight after getting married.
And suddenly we realized being married is tough, and the good times go hand in hand with the tough ones…... ››› more
If you ask any trader how trading is going on the JSE, you'll hear the same thing.
“It's damn difficult.”
“The JSE can't decide on direction”
So whether you buy or sell, chances are you've got it wrong!
But if you know how to read a ‘Blue Diamond', you would know how to profit in this environment.
Let me show you what I mean…
I’m pr... ››› more
The JSE All-Share Index is just 10% off from its all-time high.
It's sitting around the highest PE level of all time for the index, at 23.24.
At the same time, US markets are at all-time highs, and interest rates are threatening to go up.
With this in mind, I was recently asked by an investor, whether the JSE is overvalued and set for a massive correction.
So, should you hold on or sel... ››› more
2016 has been a year many will quickly forget, but for the shock results of the Brexit vote and the US elections; it was a year where many cans were kicked down the road.
Global growth remained benign and potential silver-linings have yet to gain material traction because of lingering uncertainties such as the future US foreign policy, the tensions in South East Asia, lingering debt problems i... ››› more
Happy new year everyone, I hope you all had a good break and did tons of holiday shopping for your friends and family!
Why? Because yesterday marked the beginning of the retail reporting season. And, in the next couple of weeks we're going to see just how much South African's spent at the shops in December.
There is no doubt the market is expecting a super tough Xmas period for the beleag... ››› more
AVI is a South African based company, listed on the JSE in the Food Products sector, and is centered on the FMCG market.
AVI's extensive brand portfolio includes more than 50 brands. The Group comprises of trading subsidiaries that manufacture, process, market & distribute branded consumer products.
AVI brands span across a range of categories including: hot beverages, sweet and savory bis... ››› more
Over the past 10 years, the South African listed property sector has easily outperformed its peers.
Investors who've jumped on this rally early, would have made a fortune investing in JSE property companies.
But the smooth-sailing returns delivered by the commercial property market are coming to an end.
You see, listed property returns have halved for the last three years - 25.1% in 2... ››› more
The JSE Top 40 closed the week down 1,5%.
Higher commodity prices; Gold, Silver and Brent Oil were up more than 2%, while Platinum managed 1,6%. These were not enough to save the Resources Index (down 3%) from a stronger Rand. Industrials and Financials were also softer.
Anglogold up 9,3% and Harmony 9,5% responding to a firmer Gold Price (up 2,5%).
PSG rallied 6%, see comment below. ... ››› more
Consolidated Infrastructure Limited (JSE:CIL) is one of those buy and hold for a decade shares.
The company had a mere R8.32 in net assets in 2011. Today they stand at R21.62 - nearly 200% growth.
CIL also grew revenues from R1.4 billion in 2011, to R4.5 billion in 2016. That's a whopping 221% revenue growth.
And it's profit growth has been just as remarkable as it rode the wave of exp... ››› more
As an advisor to the South African Investor board I deal with investors that are looking for long term returns that'll help them live, and retire securely.
That means we typically look at companies like Vodacom, Naspers, Bidvest and the like.
Large blue-chip shares that have been around for years, and will continue to be there for years to come.
Recommending these large companies is th... ››› more
“The JSE is too expensive, rather buy these offshore stocks”, if read this headline, and variations of it many times in the past year.
Yet, my Red Hot Penny Shares readers would've banked an average gain on shares we sold of 22.21% in 2016.
Whilst there are still calls to drop the JSE and put your money elsewhere I am optimistic.
I believe 2017 can be just as good, or better, than ... ››› more
For years we've been reading some ridiculous gold predictions from experts. And when I say experts, I'm talking about the TOP banking analysts around the world.
“Gold is going to $6,000 in the next three years” “You can expect the gold price to go up 15,000% from here”
At that time gold was trading at $1,719, when these predictions were made. And guess what? Today gold is trading at ... ››› more
The news yesterday that several ministers have been recalled to SA has created some consternation; the Rand jolted back 3%. There is speculation of a cabinet reshuffle and/or further legal developments relating to the impasse between Treasury, Banks, and the Gupta's…...
The new Mining Charter is expected to be released this week. And the market is bracing itself for new challenges. This just... ››› more
The Foschini Group is down 10.54% in the last month, Mr Price 10.40%, Truworths 6.33%.
And Lewis crashed a whopping 16.70%.
If you're invested in retail, it's been a bad month for you.
But before you start buying into the sector because it ‘shows value' I want to warn you…
South African retail sales are dropping and you need to watch out for the fallout
In its m... ››› more
I've been waiting for this for three years!
If you go look at the JSE All Share Top 40 Index, you'll see it's been going nowhere.
But us traders have been watching a very powerful indicator. This indicator shows us that momentum on the Index is picking up.
And finally, the buy signal has confirmed!
The JSE-ALSI has been lining up for a strong rally. In fact, I expect the JSE-ALSI will ... ››› more
Local markets were slightly firmer across the board last week, assisted by some Rand weakness and better commodity prices. US markets were slightly softer, the UK rallied 1,8% while Europe was flat.
US economic data did not meet expectations, which has called the pace of continued rate hikes into question. The US dollar gave up ground against most major currency pairs. Political uncertainty re... ››› more
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