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Market Movement

  • Tectonic Changes: The Soft Commodity Shift
  • In the modern age things always seem to happen quickly. A few weeks ago, I explained how the Russian invasion of the Ukraine and the associated sanctions could potentially lead to a shift in world order. It seems this is happening far more quickly than I expected. We have now seen firm commitments from European countries to massively increase their defence spending. We've also seen tangible ... ››› more
  • [28 March 2022]
  • HOW TO TRADE 101: The Average Directional Index
  • Q. Timon is the Average Directional Index indicator a good one for determining the trend for the JSE All Share Index? What are your thoughts? A. You know Mark, I wish I got more questions with regards to indicators… I know I am a breakout trader by profession, but I love to analyse using other indicators when looking at the charts. Before we do the analysis, I need to let my readers ... ››› more
  • [23 October 2020]
  • Gold rockets through $2000 per ounce
  • I think we can all agree. 2020 is completely nuts! In the last week, we saw a nuclear-sized explosion in Beirut, after 2750 tons of ammonium nitrate flattened the port city. Trump is trying to force Chinese-backed TikTok to sell its US interests to Microsoft (with the US treasury getting a slice of the action) in what has to be the strangest M&A deal in history. And we have both the te... ››› more
  • [07 August 2020]
  • Kodak shares rocketed 2,760% this week... What on earth is happening!?
  • Just when you thought 2020 couldn't get any stranger… Out of left field, Kodak shares exploded onto the scene with a 2,760% weekly gain. Let's put that in context. If you'd bought R10,000 worth of Kodak this Monday, your account balance would now be R276,000 at time of writing this article! That's without any fancy gearing or exotic structures. This is simply by buying ordinary Kodak... ››› more
  • [31 July 2020]
  • Time is running out. You need to take action right now!
  • For the first time in nearly 16 years inflation is below the South African Reserve Bank's targeted range. Yesterday, Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) slowed to 2.1%. That's the lowest number since September 2004. Now, you're thinking inflation is low, that's a good thing, right? It's a bit more complicated. Let's explore…   ________________________________________   Di... ››› more
  • [16 July 2020]
  • Gary Booysen: When should you sell stocks?
  • 2020 has been one hell of a year. Coronavirus has ravaged most markets and yet certain stock markets have hit record highs. Unbelievable! Whatever the reason for the run up, the obvious divergence of share prices from the underlying reality seems to be all too apparent to professional investors. So, is it time for you to hit the big red button? Is now the time to sell everything? ... ››› more
  • [09 July 2020]
  • Will fast-food deliver fast growth in the next year?
  • This week, sit-down restaurants once again opened their doors to the public. They opened under a cloud of restrictions. But they're open! This must be a welcome relief to so many private restauranteurs and small business investors. Because, while they can't serve alcohol, offer a buffet and or hand you a menu (menus will have to be replaced by “no-touch” options), they can at least sta... ››› more
  • [02 July 2020]
  • Short BidCorp today, as its rally peters out
  • Bidcorp's share price is hitting a ceiling after a V-shaped recovery from the March lows. The R280 to R290 is an area of congestion for the share price and a sustained break above R290 is unlikely. The downside risk is a return to the R250 level. We'll look at the chart in a minute. Today marks BidCorp's financial year end and the past 6 months have been a tough environment with significant r... ››› more
  • [30 June 2020]
  • Is the international market undervaluing this share by 90%?
  • The rise of the World Wide Web turned the world of shopping on its head. One company that cashed in massively was the USA's Amazon.com. This company is now the biggest eCommerce retailer in the world. And, in spite of Covid-19, lockdowns and (in case you've forgotten) a simmering trade war between the US and China, Amazon's share price has just reached all-time highs. When looking eas... ››› more
  • [26 June 2020]
  • Even if you hate me for this - I can't stay silent any longer
  • Some years ago I called out the Sharemax investment scheme. And I got flack from advisors and investors invested in the company - collecting fat dividends. But Sharemax crashed and burnt. And investors lost out big time.   In early March 2016 I warned investors that MMM Global would bankrupt them.   I received hate mail, MMM Global investors laughed at me. You see, they ... ››› more
  • [26 June 2020]
  • My Structured Product Pick for June 2020
  • It's very hard to make sense of markets right now. On the one hand, it's crystal clear the economy is in a mess. Unemployment is even higher than the worst of the Global Financial Crisis of 2008. The damage done by lockdowns cannot be easily undone. On the other hand, governments have pumped unprecedented amounts of money into the system and the market seems to be on an unstoppable rise. J... ››› more
  • [19 June 2020]
  • How you can start investing today - even with a tiny amount of money
  • The word “investing” might conjure up men in suits, big deals around boardroom tables and the exchange of millions of rands. But today I'm here to tell you that investing is not just for the rich, it's not just for super smart financial gurus. And you don't have to be the Wolf of Wall Street to start investing. Even if you have only a few rands to spare, you can start investing today.... ››› more
  • [17 June 2020]
  • Don't pop the champagne just yet
  • For a long while now, I've been talking about countries coming out of lockdown and how we'll see a recovery in markets. I wasn't wrong. The S&P 500 is back above 3 000, a gain of almost 40% from its March low. Let me say that again, the S&P 500 has returned almost 40% in the past two months. While I knew markets would begin to recover, even I wouldn't have predicted a recovery that... ››› more
  • [11 June 2020]
  • What you need to know about dividend stocks today
  • Last week I received a letter from a Red Hot Penny Shares member asking about dividends from companies in our portfolio. ‘X' asked for the companies that pay the biggest dividends. But the answer to that question is a bit more intricate. You see, a company selling at R1 paying a 5c dividend could be more attractive than a R10 share paying a 30c dividend. But the 30c dividend is techn... ››› more
  • [11 June 2020]
  • Now is a great time to start investing in shares
  • I bought my first shares in the midst of the 2008 financial crisis. My first buy was Old Mutual shares, and the price rose by more than 211% in the 18 months following my buy… I rolled some of my returns into a property company, and an industrial stock - in the end I turned a couple thousand rand as a student into enough money to pay for my studies, put down a deposit on my first propert... ››› more
  • [03 June 2020]
  • Why the oil price crash could be bad for farmers - and great for this stock
  • The oil price crash, and subsequent low demand for fuel worldwide could be seen as a positive for businesses. Transport costs come down - meaning extra cash in the bank. You'd expect the same for farmers. But the low oil price could actually be a big negative for maize farmers the world over… Let me explain.   ________________________________________     Here&... ››› more
  • [29 May 2020]
  • This news could cause a major headache for Eskom - and an opportunity for investors
  • Eskom recently submitted documents to the Centre for Environmental Rights (CER) stating that it could possibly keep its Grootvlei, Camden and Hendrina power stations open as late as 2030. These are all power stations at the end of their lives, that would have been shut in part starting this year! Eskom is doing this to keep extra capacity in the grid, and avoid load shedding. But here's t... ››› more
  • [20 May 2020]
  • Forget trading resolutions this 2020 - You need this instead (Part 2)
  • In the previous Trading Tips article, I mentioned how you should throw away your trading resolutions for the year and rather focus on making lifestyle changes in this new decade. This is if you really want to take your trading to a whole new level of profitable and consistent results.     If you missed the first three lifestyle changes, feel free to catch up here…   Her... ››› more
  • [20 January 2020]
  • Selecting a financial advisor is like bungee jumping... or medicine
  • Bungee jumping is a terrifying experience. It requires you to risk your life (literally) on the strength of a piece of rubberised string. Now the statistics are very clear: Bungee jumping is safe. But, when you tip toe to the edge of Bloukrans bridge, look over into the abyss and push off into blue sky with nothing but an elastic around your ankles… well you get the picture. Fina... ››› more
  • [11 July 2019]
  • The easiest mistake investors make when looking at shares
  • One of the easiest, and most popular ways to check if a share is a buy or sell in the stock market is to take the price of the stock or a pool of stocks, and then divide that by earnings. This is the price/earnings (PE) ratio. When the PE ratio is above some longer-term average, the stock is considered expensive - and possibly a sell. When it's below average, it's considered cheap - an... ››› more
  • [21 September 2017]
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