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  • Joe Biden may be President but I still expect downside in the markets - Here's why…
  • Q. “Timon you were right about the delay in the voting in the USA, due to the counting of hand mail. But now the big question is. What can we expect with the US stock markets, with Joe Biden becoming the next American President?”   A. I did some research on the weekend. When I went to back-test the US stock markets over the last 23 election years, what I found might surprise ... ››› more
  • [12 November 2020]
  • Investors are looking left… when they should be looking right
  • The only thing on investors' minds right now is the US election. At the time of writing the final votes have yet to be tallied. Right now, many battleground states are still up for grabs, with Pennsylvania looking like the key to victory. Trump has already claimed the win and approached the courts filing multiple lawsuits in most of the swing states. He's demanded a recount in Wisconsin. A... ››› more
  • [06 November 2020]
  • Five EASY steps to offshore trading profits
  • Q. “Hi Timon, with the gemors going on in South Africa, I really want to just be able to trade overseas. Could you please tell me how I can open an offshore trading account, how much money I'll need and which brokers are the easiest to trade with?”   A. I fully understand where you’re coming from.   It’s not safe anymore to keep your money in just one place – especiall... ››› more
  • [06 November 2020]
  • Black Monday madness creates buying opportunity?
  • Yesterday marked the worst day for global markets since the 2008 financial crisis. This is on the back of the collapse in oil prices, down over 30% at one point, as Saudi Arabia notified its clients that it will sell oil at reduced prices from 1 April 2020. This is to protect its market share while demand is low. This is effectively the second black swan to hit the market after the corona viru... ››› more
  • [10 March 2020]
  • If you hold property or retail shares you need to read this
  • If you hold property stocks, or one of the big four supermarket chains you need to listen up… A major new finding by the Competition Commission is coming into effect, and it could have far reaching implications for these companies. Let me show you in more detail. ________________________________________   Is this the secret to becoming a stock market millionaire?    ... ››› more
  • [04 December 2019]
  • QE infinity and SAs last chance
  • Last week we initiated a long USD/ZAR trade as we believed the market was pricing in too many positives. After the sobering news from the medium-term budget speech, it promptly lost over 60 cents. Traders who used futures would have made over 30% as our initial profit target was reached in just over a day. The Rand is strengthening on the back of Moody's just reducing the outlook from s... ››› more
  • [07 November 2019]
  • WARNING: Last week's announcement could cause a 12% crash on the JSE
  • Over the past year we've seen a number of factors drag the world economy down. From the sudden cut in interest rates in September, to the ongoing war with Brexit and with the US-China trade war, to the oil output being decimated by a drone attack in Saudi Arabia… We are now seeing the aftermath and the ripple effect, unfortunately hit home… In fact, we had an announcement last week... ››› more
  • [01 October 2019]
  • Emerging markets are ready for a Bull Run
  • After a turbulent 2018, emerging markets are finding favour amongst investors looking for value with strong upside potential.   This is on the back of a few major themes that should play out:   1. A dovish FED that is expected to only hike rates once in 2019, 2. EU monetary policy that will remain accommodative, 3. Chinese stimulus to avoid a “hard landing”, 4. Glo... ››› more
  • [24 January 2019]
  • This could spark Bitcoin's breakthrough as a mainstream currency
  • Forget about the much-anticipated Bitcoin ETF. Forget about the “big win for bitcoin” I mentioned last week. You see, there's even bigger news that could be a game-changer for bitcoin and cryptos. In short, Bitcoin could be on the verge of breaking through as a mainstream currency. And it's all thanks to a start-up company that's soon to be launched by one of the most powerful pl... ››› more
  • [03 September 2018]
  • The first step towards the “Bitcoin ETF dream”
  • Last week, I revealed the Bitcoin ETF “dream” unfortunately hit a roadblock. And it was all thanks to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for delaying its decision on whether to approve a Bitcoin ETF. This prompted a “mini-crash” in the bitcoin price (and cryptos in general), which fell around 12% overnight. But once the markets digested this negative news, something else b... ››› more
  • [29 August 2018]
  • Global markets target record highs
  • Global markets are riding a rising tide of positivity from hawkish FOMC meeting minutes, US Fed Chair Powell indicating the US economy is strong and a positive US and Mexico trade deal. Investors shouldn't fear new record highs because historical market data indicates it's a bullish signal. When a new all-time high is achieved, there is a 90% chance of achieving a new all-time high in the four... ››› more
  • [29 August 2018]
  • The best investing strategy to weather volatility
  • The rand lost 4% of its value in mere days last week. At the same time, between 13 and 15 August the JSE lost 4% of its value. As uncertainty at home and abroad causes this kind of volatility, there's a simple kind of investment that warrants a place in portfolios. I'm talking about dividend paying stocks. The appeal is simple, dividend payers can provide investors with tangible returns (... ››› more
  • [22 August 2018]
  • Profit taking sees the JSE dip while global markets rally
  • The JSE was one of the few markets that ended last week lower. The Rand strengthened on the back of China being more passive in the “Trade War”. Commodity prices also pulled back last week causing the resources sector to impact the market performance. We've given up all the recent gains and are back in buying territory. SA equities are cheap when you compare the median P/E ratio of the All... ››› more
  • [18 July 2018]
  • Should you be investing in less risky assets in developed markets?
  • This week is full of event risk; the US interest rates announcement, the market expects a 25-basis point increase, with an 85% probability, US and North Korea summit, US CPI, UK unemployment, ECB committee meeting and Italian policy uncertainty. All of these could push investors towards less risky assets in developed markets. Short term traders should focus on Rand sensitive shares as volati... ››› more
  • [13 June 2018]
  • Why passing your K53 is like learning to trade
  • Do you remember when you first time you got behind a steering wheel? I was an absolute nervous wreck. Legs shaking, heart racing and adrenaline running through every vein. Ignition starts. And Just as I was about to drive away the revs went up, I slammed on breaks, the car jolted and then stalled. Great start Timon! It felt like I would never be a good driver. A couple of less... ››› more
  • [09 April 2018]
  • 2018's rocky first quarter provides plenty buying opportunities
  • Global markets typically have a good run in April before the “Sell in May and Go Away” period, but the spike in volatility in February and March has shaken investors. With global markets down year to date, we should see investors buy this dip and a potential run up in April that will make up for 2018's rocky first quarter. The below graph shows the S&P 500's average monthly return for the ... ››› more
  • [05 April 2018]
  • How to invest Offshore WITHOUT taking your money out of the country
  • Just a few years ago, trading offshore was an absolute nightmare. Not only did you have to physically take your money out of the country, you also had to endure these five tedious experiences: ~ $2,500 minimum deposit ~ Endless paper work to fill in and sign ~ Limited access to instruments and control of the portfolio ~ Over a week to withdraw and deposit funds ~ Costs through the roof ... ››› more
  • [26 February 2018]
  • Global growth forecasts good for Commodities and Emerging Markets!
  • The International Monetary Fund has increased its global growth forecast to 3.9% for 2018 on the back of US Tax cuts that will most likely stimulate growth. Typically, global growth above 3.5% is a strong catalyst for commodity price growth and emerging markets. SA is still in a honeymoon phase after Ramaphosa's election. The Rand strength and other positive economic results have raised th... ››› more
  • [23 January 2018]
  • The Year that was - The biggest winner of 2016 was the Rand!
  • 2016 has been a year many will quickly forget, but for the shock results of the Brexit vote and the US elections; it was a year where many cans were kicked down the road. Global growth remained benign and potential silver-linings have yet to gain material traction because of lingering uncertainties such as the future US foreign policy, the tensions in South East Asia, lingering debt problems i... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
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