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  • Is South Africa heading for a recession again?
  • Last week's GDP data showed that South Africa's economy shrunk in the third quarter of 2021. This follows four quarters of economic growth from pandemic lows. It also means that another quarter of economic contraction would put the country back in recession. So, are we heading back into recession, or will the economy turn upwards from here? Let's have a look at what the numbers say… ... ››› more
  • [15 December 2021]
  • Why the rising petrol price is here to stay
  • The petrol price in South Africa is breaking the R20 a litre level. December 2020 it sold for R14.26 a litre. That's an increase of 41.6% Sure - the 2020 level for petrol prices was a low base. Covid reduced demand and the oil price was really low. But the huge increases we're seeing now are hurting - and they'll definitely affect business as well. -------------------------------------------... ››› more
  • [03 December 2021]
  • I'm no Nostradamus - But the rand is in major trouble
  • The rand has really taken a beating this year.    In July I wrote an article, From Lockdown 4 to Jumanji - Here's why I'm selling the rand. I predicted that the rand would fall from R14.30 to R15.58.   This was due to local reasons such as the looting that took place, the slow vaccination roll-out as well as a bearish chart pattern.    And to catch you up, you... ››› more
  • [23 November 2021]
  • If inflation is back, here's what you need to know…
  • US inflation just hit a 30 year high. And the US is not the only country experiencing rising prices. The EU, as well as the UK, have also seen the price of goods and services rising. There are many reasons for this: Supply chains were disrupted by the pandemic; oil prices are high; demand has increased due to stimulus; wages are rising… the list goes on. But the big question every inve... ››› more
  • [15 November 2021]
  • Missed the last FTSE 100 rally? You're not going to want to miss this one…
  • In March 2021, I sent a prediction article saying the FTSE 100 was ready to rally over 435 points. And last month, it hit the price target at 7,184. As I mentioned in the previous article, it was a no brainer. The economy was opening up, the FTSE got upgraded by the OECD and the pound was crashing. Now that positivity is flooding the market, I expect another major rally for the FTSE 10... ››› more
  • [08 June 2021]
  • [DOWNLOAD] Your FREE Trading Risk Calculator Tool
  • Q. “Timon, I read your article where you expect the oil price to rally. What about the situation with the Iranian President reaching an agreement with the United States… Could that also cause a boost in the oil price?”    A. Aah yes, thank you for reminding me.   The talks and negotiations in Vienna were definitely another major factor in supporting an oil price ral... ››› more
  • [03 June 2021]
  • Why Brent Crude is heading up to $80 a barrel!
  • I believe there is one commodity that can be seen as an indicator for a recovering world economy. Brent Crude… Think about it… We need oil to run just about anything nowadays. We need oil for transport, for electricity and to run massive operations. Last year, I was extremely pessimistic and expected the price of oil to drop to $30. Which it did… And this year, my analysi... ››› more
  • [02 June 2021]
  • An investment phenomenon as frightening as a robber in the night is coming for you
  • Ronald Reagan once said it is “as violent as a mugger, as frightening as an armed robber, and as deadly as a hitman.” Margaret Thatcher said “inflation is the parent of unemployment and the unseen robber of those who have saved.” The SA Reserve Bank didn't increase interest rates - as it expects inflation to stay in check. Most investors are simply ignoring the threat of inflation,... ››› more
  • [08 April 2021]
  • We predicted the oil crash in 2020 - are you ready for the 39% oil rally in 2021?
  • If you reading Trading Tips in 2020, you'll know I was a big seller of Brent Crude throughout the year. In the last oil article, I made a wild prediction that Brent Crude oil was heading to $30. If you missed it, you can catch up here…   "Why oil dropping below $40 is a major threat to the global economy"   And in just a few weeks, the price crashed down not only to... ››› more
  • [26 January 2021]
  • Why my next profit trade idea may surprise you
  • Q. "Hi Timon, I see Sasol was another big gainer that helped drive the JSE last week. Do you have any information on what drove up the price and if you'll be sending a trade with Red Hot Storm Trader?"   A. Thank you Gerhardt!    Yes, we saw Sasol rise over 3.6% last week. Well spotted!   In fact, before we get to Sasol, it’s important to note we saw the oil pric... ››› more
  • [21 January 2021]
  • Why two new vaccines and an Opec deal will pump the oil price over 18% before year-end
  • Pinch me. I feel like I'm in a dream. In the span of two weeks we've have good news overflow the markets. We had Joe Biden win the elections. Then a few days later, two vaccines come out to end the Covid-19 pandemic. And both local and global markets have rallied over 4% in that time. And when I went to my charts, I saw a commodity that is ready for an 18% rally. I'm talki... ››› more
  • [24 November 2020]
  • Top Trading questions this week…
  • Q. "Timon with Joe Biden becoming the next president, what are your thoughts on energy and oil prices?"     A. For a short answer, I have never been more bullish (positive) with oil and the energy sectors.     You see, with the Donald Trump administration there were ongoing trade wars and tension with China over the last four years.    And for this reason, we ke... ››› more
  • [19 November 2020]
  • Why oil dropping below $40 is a major threat to the global economy
  • To think, in 2011, Brent Crude was at $120 barrel. And today is barely hanging onto $40. This was all thanks to the Corona-crisis. In fact, we are now seeing a resurgence in Europe with new restrictions and lockdowns. And just look at who's contracted the virus. • President Donald Trump and the first lady • British Prime Minister Boris Johnson • Brazil's Jair Bolsnaro • ... ››› more
  • [13 October 2020]
  • Why you need to be wary of this accounting trick before you invest in stocks
  • Early on in the COVID-19 pandemic there was a ‘nerdy' accounting joke doing the rounds saying that soon we'd see EBITDAC - Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation and corona. While there's no ‘official' accounting term like that - companies results do show the effects, the pandemic has had on them. And many are opting to call it ‘once-off expenses. Suddenly the ner... ››› more
  • [04 September 2020]
  • Don't ignore MTN
  • MTN will deliver half year financial results to the market on Thursday 6 August. This is another company that has been overlooked by the market, MTN has already announced that the Headline earnings will increase by about 120%. The company's earnings are coming off a low base, but these results should show that it has successfully operating during the lockdown. It should benefit from the work-f... ››› more
  • [05 August 2020]
  • Time is running out. You need to take action right now!
  • For the first time in nearly 16 years inflation is below the South African Reserve Bank's targeted range. Yesterday, Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) slowed to 2.1%. That's the lowest number since September 2004. Now, you're thinking inflation is low, that's a good thing, right? It's a bit more complicated. Let's explore…   ________________________________________   Di... ››› more
  • [16 July 2020]
  • Why the oil price crash could be bad for farmers - and great for this stock
  • The oil price crash, and subsequent low demand for fuel worldwide could be seen as a positive for businesses. Transport costs come down - meaning extra cash in the bank. You'd expect the same for farmers. But the low oil price could actually be a big negative for maize farmers the world over… Let me explain.   ________________________________________     Here&... ››› more
  • [29 May 2020]
  • Buy these two shares for post Covid 19 profits
  • This week we follow on with two more investment themes set to perform in the new economic reality, which will evolve post Covid 19 lockdowns.   • Alcohol & Tobacco   These are seen as defensive sectors and have been known to perform better than food in times of recession. The relaxation of alcohol sales by some countries in the SADC region from the beginning of June should see s... ››› more
  • [26 May 2020]
  • Five bear market survival strategies for investors
  • A bear market refers to a widespread decline in asset prices of at least 20%. We've seen stock markets fall 20% and more in recent months. The oil price fell through the floor, and unemployment is soaring. This is not a fun time to be in, and you might be confused, panicked or just blown away. The good news is, this is only a phase - and it will also pass. Things will turn around and l... ››› more
  • [13 May 2020]
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