A year ago, banks were saying they don't want to finance coal mine development any longer.
European countries were closing down coal power plants.
It looked like there was little interest in the commodity going forward.
But now the price of coal is booming.
In October last year a ton of export coal sold for around $90.
Today it sells between $300 and $400!
That's a big change…
... ››› more
The bulk of the market is presenting a pretty picture right now.
As I've told investors over the past year - higher oil and rising interest rates would take their toll on the bull market. And it has.
The last time economists were this worried about the economy was during the 2008 financial crisis.
April inflation in the US was a whopping 8.3%, whilst in South Africa it was 5.9%. However, ... ››› more
“This is a personal invitation, from me to you, to give Red Hot Penny Shares a try for a whole year with no pressure or obligation whatsoever.”
Since I started with Penny Shares in 2011, we've had 191 share tips closed - with 130 winners.
That's a win rate of 68%. So just more than two out of three shares are winners.
On average out of the 191 shares - the gain is 30%. The average win... ››› more
Over the last few years, the world has changed significantly. Things that were once considered virtual impossibilities are now reality. Of course, I'm talking about the Global Pandemic, but also the seemly wild decisions being taken by global governments. If I'd told you, even a few years ago, that Russia would mount a full-scale attack on the Ukraine, or that Britain would leave the EU, or you mi... ››› more
The JSE crashed 14.45% between 2 March 2022 and 9 May 2022.
Similarly, the Dow Jones index in the USA is down 10.74% year to date of which half of this drop has been in the past month. And the S&P 500 index is down 14.75% year to date.
We hear about inflation, war, lockdowns, supply chain issues all as contributing to this bear market…
So, what is fuelling the market's drop - and are we... ››› more
There's no doubt about it…
“Map apps” have revolutionised the way people travel.
In less than a minute, you can open an app on your phone, type an address and voila…
You're ready to go.
It's no wonder why “map apps” like Google, Waze (owned by Google) and
Apple boast hundreds of millions of users - even BILLIONS!
But one day that could change.
You see, a new crypto s... ››› more
Q. “Hi Timon, I have a R250,000 portfolio and I am using the special 2% risk rule per trade as you have taught us. Based on your last trade with Shoprite with the entry being R242 and your stop loss being R232.00 does this mean I should buy xxx CFD contracts in this trade?” Hi Pete,
The number of contracts purely depends on the how much money you deposit…
So if you have a portfolio of R2... ››› more
There are many economic signals that can accurately predict a recession.
A few weeks ago, I wrote about the “inverted yield curve”. It's a very strong predictor that economic growth will contract in the short-term.
Rapidly rising oil prices are another excellent indication that recession is hovering just over the horizon.
Historically speaking, high inflation combined with low unemp... ››› more
You'll often hear us say the same thing.
To trade successfully you'll need to know how to follow the rules, keep to discipline and repeat the process.
However, there is one crucial mistake that we see all the time from new traders.
And the reason for it involves fear.
You'd think that greed is what destroys traders. But I think the fear of losing is what prevents traders from being suc... ››› more
In the modern age things always seem to happen quickly.
A few weeks ago, I explained how the Russian invasion of the Ukraine and the associated sanctions could potentially lead to a shift in world order. It seems this is happening far more quickly than I expected.
We have now seen firm commitments from European countries to massively increase their defence spending. We've also seen tangible ... ››› more
Here's a bit of a warning.
Have you seen the petrol price hikes lately?
Probably not yet, but you will.
In America the prices of petrol and diesel shot up to the highest level in over 14 years.
Petrol went to $1.23 per litre or $4.69 per gallon.
Diesel rocketed to $1.35 per litre of $5.11 per gallon.
And as you know, what happens in America, has a ripple effect in South Africa ... ››› more
We're all watching as Russia and Ukraine are in the midst of a bloody war. Over 3 million people have already been uprooted from their homes, and have fled Ukraine. All this following Russian President Vladimir Putin's address to his people announcing a “special military operation” in Ukraine to “denazify” the country.
We're experiencing the uncertainty a war like this brings.
The po... ››› more
880% growth in 2021...
That's how much worldwide crypto adoption grew last year.
What was behind this meteoric rise?
As I've written before, a major driver was an influx of institutional investment into the crypto world.
But that's not the whole story.
There's another driving force that is pushing the price of crypto assets upwards, and one that could continue to do so in the long t... ››› more
The war in Ukraine threatens further disruptions to already stretched supply chains.
Whilst Ukraine and Russia are small compared to the likes of the US, China and Germany, they are essential suppliers of many raw materials crucial to supply chains down the line.
So exactly which of these commodities will be hardest hit? And does that pose opportunity? Three commodities hit by the Ukraine cr... ››› more
In our QA mailbox this past week...
Q. “Timon I read the Monday article about why you expect gold to rally with the whole Russia and Ukraine invasion going on. I found it fascinating and would love to know more. I'm not sure if this is the right platform, but I don't know where else to ask. I believe this is going to be ongoing and that you're going to write a lot more on the current situatio... ››› more
Markets are abuzz with the mess in Ukraine, war is threatening and it could have a massive impact on Europe.
And then there's the oil price that's edging towards $100 again.
But this is all noise. As companies release their results their share prices fly, or fall…
And right now, there are three penny stocks that have released earnings that investors love. Here's what I am talking about... ››› more
In December 2021 inflation in the USA rose past 7% for the first time in nearly 40 years.
In the European Union, inflation hit 5% at the same time - by far the highest it has been in 25 years. To give you an idea, the highest inflation has gone in the EU since 2010 was around 2.5%.
And there were actually times inflation was NEGATIVE.
Here in SA, we even hit a four year high.
In a rece... ››› more
Most people who want to build their wealth through trading, are in the same boat.
They want to learn how to trade. Some have an idea that you do need a strict, automated and proven system but they have no idea where to start.
The questions start piling up such as:
• What indicators should I use?
• Which markets should I add?
• What charting platform and broker is best for... ››› more
Everything you read right now is about inflation.
It's a major global concern. And it should be your concern too.
Because it can seriously erode your wealth.
But there is a smart way to inflation-proof your portfolio today...
This relationship automatically makes commodities an effective
hedge against inflation
That’s because there is a positive relationship between... ››› more
Following a shocking 2020, we had a strong economic recovery in 2021.
The US index, S&P 500 ended 2021 up 27%. Its best three year stretch since 1999. The Dow was up 19% on the year, while the Nasdaq gained 21%. Over the last three years, the S&P 500 is up 90%.
The JSE All Share index returned 24% for the year (29% including dividends), with the Top 40 shares on the JSE growing 19% (total re... ››› more
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