Last week's GDP data showed that South Africa's economy shrunk in the third quarter of 2021.
This follows four quarters of economic growth from pandemic lows.
It also means that another quarter of economic contraction would put the country back in recession.
So, are we heading back into recession, or will the economy turn upwards from here?
Let's have a look at what the numbers say… ... ››› more
I recently got a mail from Keith asking about Brait's latest rights offer:
“Hi Francois. Hope all is well with you. I have BAT shares, only 545. Now they have some kind of rights offer and I got 1 BATN, lol. I need to make an election, but I don't understand. Currently the BATN is trading around 1000 c. Take up value is 100,000c. Does it mean I can take up the nil share, it gets added to the 5... ››› more
South Africa has gone from Lockdown level 4 to Jumanji in the span of two weeks.
It's been nothing but pandemonium.
Businesses are closed again! Looters are enjoying Christmas in July and residents are fearing for their lives cooped up in their houses.
We may feel like sitting ducks, but at least we can take some kind of advantage of the one south African market that will most likely fal... ››› more
In the last two weeks, I've sent out predictions on the next Nasdaq and S&P 500 rallies.
It seems like America is really showing signs of upside to come, as the stock markets have both continued to rally to new all time high prices.
Today we've saved the best for last.
I call it the US stock market hat-trick rally.
I've yet again been alerted of another American stock market rally. ... ››› more
According to Fundsdata, it's ranked #1 in the Multi-Asset Income Fund category for returns over the past year.
It's up over 13%.
On the face of it, that doesn't sound like much.
But it's around DOUBLE the returns you would get from most income investments (Money Market, Income & Interest-Bearing Funds) today.
I'm talking about the…
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An ex executive director of Netcare (who retired 10 years ago), reached out to me the other day.
He was curious to hear my take on the health company as a shareholder.
In short, he asked me to do an analysis over the last 10 years to see if it was more profitable to invest in Netcare shares or invest in a high interest savings bank.
In this article, I'm going to give you a breakdown on... ››› more
Recently I told you how palladium and some of the other PGMs are at record highs…
But the soaring prices haven't just been in these precious metals.
Copper just hit a 10-year high - up 91% from a year ago!
Similarly the price of iron ore is also at the highest levels it has ever seen right now.
Coal - which is really out of fashion and slated as a diminishing commodity is up 75% ... ››› more
Right now the South African repo rate sits at a rock bottom 3.5% interest.
The interest I'm getting on cash in my brokerage account right now is a mere 2.18%.
Simply put - with interest rates this low you HAVE to look elsewhere for yield.
And it so happens that there are a handful of JSE listed penny stocks that are paying dividends up to double and even TRIPLE the current interest rat... ››› more
Small caps and penny stocks have soared in the past year.
The JSE's Small Cap Index is up 58.61% in the past 12 months alone!
A lot of investors are asking me about great small companies to buy and hold for great returns like these in the coming year, and beyond.
But it's important not to throw darts at a wall and pick a lottery ticket. To capitalize on the strength and upside of small... ››› more
Like the tourism and hospitality sectors, construction has been hard hit by the Covid-19 pandemic.
As a result, the construction sector saw a 30% collapse in the second quarter of 2020.
But it looks like the construction sector has started to see a recovery at last. In 2020, the Afrimat Construction Index dropped to below 70 - from a 2019 average of just above 120. Indicating a huge drop i... ››› more
Right now, there are scores of companies doing share buy backs of their own shares.
Think of Argent, Onelogix, Bowler Metcalf, Insimbi, Mpact and Trellidor… And these are just a handful of penny stocks. There are many more on the JSE actively buying shares in themselves.
So why would a company do this, and is it good or bad?
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No ord... ››› more
Following last year's lockdowns, and the protracted economic pressure on businesses due to the Covid-19 pandemic - South Africa's economy is in recession.
Unemployment is up.
And there's a lot of suffering around.
But with every crisis comes opportunity…
And for astute stock pickers the opportunity has never been better…
Why, just yesterday one of my favourite stocks fo... ››› more
Small cap stocks have had a tough time in recent years. While the underlying businesses in many cases did really well - their share prices didn't.
Between March 2016 and March 2020 the Small Cap Index was down 44%.
In the last 6 months though, the Small Cap Index is up 25%, erasing a great portion of its past losses.
And thus far 2021 looks like a scorcher for small companies.
In t... ››› more
Between May 2015 and May 2018, the JSE Small Cap Index went nowhere. And between May 2018 and May 2020 it dropped 44.68%.
Since then however the Small Cap Index is up 29%.
That's a huge rally in just six months.
But here's the thing. It's not over yet. The small companies in this index aren't even back to the levels they traded, at the start of 2020. Never mind their 2018 highs…
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Have you ever wanted to kick yourself because you sold a stock that just kept going up and up?
It happens to the best of us…
Earlier this year, at Red Hot Penny Shares it happened with DRD Gold.
We bought the stock at 265c in June 2019 and sold it at 1577c in May 2020.
Adding in the dividends we received I was very happy with a 519.62% gain.
A mere 2 months later the stock hi... ››› more
Financial advisors hate penny stocks… Fund managers barely ever invest in them.
But if there's one thing that these tiny shares have shown over the years it's that they've got huge upside potential.
In 2020 alone Red Hot Penny Shares reader have banked a 274% gain on Pan African Resources, 519% on DRD Gold and 111% on Quantum Food Holdings…
Most investors can only dream of these kind ... ››› more
On 8 September South Africa's GDP figures for the second quarter of 2020 was released.
Our economy shrank by 51% annualised in the three months between April and June 2020.
This has put us into the longest recession in the past 28 years.
Sectors like mining fell 73.1%, manufacturing fell 74.9% and construction shrank by 76.6%.
This is bad.
But even though it was just released, i... ››› more
Last week I wrote about the benefits of using support and resistance lines. This charting technique is easy to learn and probably one of the simplest and most useful tools when it comes to timing entry and exit points.
Now, before you shoot me down, I’m well aware of the old financial planning adage that goes: It’s not about timing the market, it’s about time in the market.
... ››› more
Early on in the COVID-19 pandemic there was a ‘nerdy' accounting joke doing the rounds saying that soon we'd see EBITDAC - Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation and corona.
While there's no ‘official' accounting term like that - companies results do show the effects, the pandemic has had on them. And many are opting to call it ‘once-off expenses.
Suddenly the ner... ››› more
If you've been following my Thursday Money Morning contributions over the last few weeks, you'll know we're slowly working through the important concepts in trading and technical analysis.
Last week, we covered some of the basics around risk management. If you missed it, you can find the article here.
But this week we’re tackling one of the most useful and often ignored as... ››› more
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