The JSE is down 3.95% for the past three months, 5.13% in the past six and we're only up 8% over the past three years.
With politics the way they are and the performance of the South African economy many investors are asking whether they should bail on SA listed stocks for good.
I'll give you my take on the situation now, let's first have a look at the facts:
SA’s economy is already... ››› more
The elections have once again come and gone.
I trust that you made your contribution to the country, which has left a memorable mark on your thumb which could help define our future.
Talking about voting, I was curious to see what effect the elections have had on the JSE over the last 17 years.
In today's article I want to discuss, two main points which you might find lucrative for yo... ››› more
President Ramaphosa announced a late-night cabinet reshuffle that has seen some key Ministry replacements, notably the return of Nhlanhla Nene to the finance ministry and Pravin Gordhan as Public Enterprises Minster.
One of the most important legislative changes made in the past week was the increase in offshore allocation in Regulation 28. African focused investments are now limited to a max... ››› more
Industrials down 3%
Industrials took the brunt of weaker markets last week as concerns regarding the economic outlook post US elections weighed on sentiment. Woolies was down 6,3% and several other industrial shares fell by approximately 4%.
Naspers down 7,9%
Rand strength and weakness in social media stocks put pressure on Naspers. Facebook was down 8,6% while Groupon fell 19%. Some anal... ››› more
Where is, the Rand going?
The biggest surprise last week came from the Rand which strengthened another 2,3% against the US Dollar and 3% to the Pound. This put Rand hedge stocks under pressure and the Resources Index fell 2,7%. The JSE Top 40 index was down 1,5%.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1,8% and the S&P500 1,5%, touching new highs. European markets were firmer but m... ››› more
The gold price in rand terms just hit its highest levels since April this year.
It has averaged around R16,400 per ounce for 2017, with a spike to R17,600 in April following Pravin Gordhan's axing.
More recently, the rand has weakened following yet another unsuccessful vote of no confidence in President Zuma.
At the same time, the dollar price of gold spiked with tensions between the U... ››› more
The state of our nation
A strong rally on Friday reversed losses on the JSE and helped the Top 40 close the week up 0,75%. Financials gained 2% while Industrials and Resources were marginally higher.
Markets continued to respond positively to the Trump administration's rhetoric, particularly regarding lower taxes. Data from China and Japan supported the market rally. The Nikkei rose 2,5% a... ››› more
So far this year, you've heard the word recession a lot. It's a real threat to the economy right now.
The third quarter of 2015 saw 0.7% gross domestic product (GDP) growth - the fourth quarter saw 0.6% GDP growth. Results of the first quarter of 2016 shows the economy contracted 1.2%.
Economists expected the economy to contract only 0.1%, which leads me to believe that nobody really knows... ››› more
If you thought politics and economics in South Africa is exciting, then you've been missing out on what happening in Europe right now.
The United Kingdom is about to make a drastic decision that could have an impact on the global economic system. On Thursday, the UK will have a referendum on the 'Brexit' - to decide if the UK stays or leaves the European Union.
Last week, a poll for the E... ››› more
Friday morning proved to be a good day on the JSE as it recovered from Thursday's sell-off which was triggered by news that US interest rates will increase sooner than expected. Global markets like the US and Asia are still struggling but the European markets joined the JSE in its recovery.
Considering that May is usually the worst month for the JSE, things are not looking as bad as investors... ››› more
The past few weeks have been harrowing for the rand.
It's been taking a severe beating from the dollar in the past two weeks.
Worst of all, rumours about the arrest of Pravin Gordhan has certainly not been helping matters at all. But, finally, it seems to have found a moment of stability. How long this will last, I don't know.
But let's take a closer look...
The rand is battered by t... ››› more
Yesterday I warned investors that the rand will lose strength against the dollar because of the rumours that the Hawks want to arrest Pravin Gordhan for his involvement in the establishment of the SARS rogue unit while he was the tax agency's commissioner. As I expected, that's exactly what happened. But now, where to from here? Is it time for South African investors to be really worried? And wha... ››› more
This morning, the rand is trading at R15.51 to the dollar. In 11 days it's lost 54 cents against the greenback. This is only the beginning of the rand's fall.
If you think this is bad, keep an eye on the rand this week. I expect to see a significant weakening against the dollar thanks to new rumours in the media related to the arrest of our finance minister, Pravin Gordhan. “Pravin Gordhan fa... ››› more
Local furniture manufacturing may not be the most exciting sector on the JSE, but there is one furniture company bucking the trend. This company doesn't care if the South African consumer is “under pressure”. It doesn't care if South Africa's economic growth outlook is weak. In fact, shareholders were most likely celebrating in secret when they heard Pravin Gordhan was being investigated by th... ››› more
On 16 December 2015 Brazil was downgraded to ‘junk' status by the Fitch credit ratings agency.
The country's large budget deficit and political turmoil were the main reasons for this move.
But guess what?
Far from being the train smash you'd expect it to be, the country's stock market is now one of the best performing ones in the world!
In fact, Brazil's stock market is UP 14.1% in d... ››› more
Normally when I write about the rand, I expect the rand value to drop big time.
• In 2013, I told you how the rand was going from R9.00 to R10.50 to the dollar.
• In 2015, I showed you how the rand was going from 11.00 to R16.00 to the dollar
• And now I'm about to reveal where I expect the rand to go from R16.00
Fortunately over the years, every time I made a rand prediction it worked ... ››› more
Last week, President Zuma made an unexpected announcement.
Finance minister Nhlanhla Nene was let off (dare I say fired). And the sad thing is that he has been widely known to do a great job during difficult times. And is probably one of the most qualified person for the job. But as soon as the announcement came out, the rand crashed. It moved from R14.50 to R15.29 to the US dollar in just one h... ››› more
Last week, South Africa experienced its first taste of load shedding since the power crisis in 2008. Earlier today, the CEO of Eskom, Brian Dames, said the power issues facing SA would likely continue into next month. Eskom says wet coal is preventing it from keeping power stations going. Let's take a closer look at this latest update from Eskom…
SA’s power situation isn’t going to improve... ››› more
Yesterday, President Jacob Zuma announced his new cabinet following his re-election a couple of weeks ago. President Zuma decided to move Pravin Gordhan from his finance minister position. Mr Gordhan is now the minister of co-operative governance and traditional affairs. The finance minister slot goes to Nhlanhla Nene. Over the past five years, Mr Nene was the deputy finance minister. Let's take a... ››› more
The 2014 South African elections are less than two months away. And already, the political promises are heating up. But with rampant strikes in key economic sectors, poor service delivery and crippling unemployment rates shadowing the previous term, can we really expect things to change this time around? To answer that, today we're investigating whether the economy will benefit from these election... ››› more
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