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  • Why traders and investors are preparing for a HUGE move up for silver!
  • At the end of February 2019, I sent out a prediction article on silver. In it, I mentioned that silver's price broke above a ceiling level (blue line in the graph below) at $15.80.   Since then, the silver market’s price buying momentum picked up and has been in a strong upward trajectory.   In fact, right now the silver price is trading at around $16.52, ... ››› more
  • [05 August 2019]
  • Don't bank on a Santa Claus rally this year - but don't exit your investments just yet
  • History shows that stocks go up around 75% of the time during December. What's more - the gains they post are typically bigger than for other months as well. The MSCI All Country World Index, which measures equity returns from 23 developed and 24 emerging markets, has declined just six times in December over the past three decades. That's gotten many investors and fund managers hopeful fo... ››› more
  • [13 December 2018]
  • How to trade the rand rally in 2018...
  • When Cyril Ramaphosa managed to defeat Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma and the Jacob Zuma faction for the position of ANC president, the rand went crazy. It moved stronger by more than 10% versus the US dollar and was the world's best performing currency over the last month. I do not argue the relief felt after the Ramaphosa win is unwarranted.   I will however say that this one change wi... ››› more
  • [11 January 2018]
  • US interest rates, Three to buy and one to sell
  • US interest rates on the rise. Fed Chair Janet Yellen provided testimony last week indicating a high likelihood of another US interest rate hike in March. The markets are now pricing in a 0,25% hike. The US dollar is strengthening again. Local markets were flat over the week. The All Share squeezed out a gain of 0,1%, Resources were similar and Industrials down marginally (0,5%), Fin... ››› more
  • [16 March 2017]
  • Is the Proverbial Christmas Market Rally likely to happen this year?
  • In the past 24 months the JSE All share index has been unable to lift itself out of its sideways channel. In the last two years it only managed to deliver a 1% move for investors. The trading environment in the local market has been tough to say the least. There has been a slew of socio-political upheavals, both internationally and locally, that have negatively affected the market. With j... ››› more
  • [29 November 2016]
  • For contrarian investors only…
  • On most days, you read the financial news and more than likely, you'll read negative headlines. Maybe it's a new crisis in the Eurozone; an “imminent bond crash”; or maybe it's the Rand crashing again. Whatever it may be, it's no surprise to hear many investors keeping their cash away from the markets right now. But as the saying goes, “out of crisis comes opportunity”. And today ... ››› more
  • [07 November 2016]
  • Did you know you have an 85% chance to profit on the JSE this Christmas?
  • For most of the year, top traders call the market right 50% to 60% of the time. But there's one time of year, when traders are right 85% of time. After doing my yearly December trading analysis, it's evident. Over the last seven years, the JSE closed December in the green six times. Today, I'm going to share the secret to this "Christmas Rally" anomaly and show you exactly how you h... ››› more
  • [11 December 2015]
  • The rand rallies after the Fed's statement about interest rates
  • Last night, the rand managed to strengthen back under R12.00/$. This came following the release of the Federal Reserve's policy statement. Over the past few months, speculation has been growing as to when the US central bank will start hiking interest rates. This has seen investors turning to the dollar, causing it to strengthen strongly. But this morning, the rand has given up some of last ... ››› more
  • [19 March 2015]
  • The oil price is steadily creeping higher… Is the bull market back?
  • After shedding over 50% of its price in just over six months, the price of Brent crude is starting to climb again. So what's behind this climb in the oil price? And what does this mean for oil companies? Let's take a closer look… The oil price has risen over 20% in the past week Since the middle of January, the oil price has been starting to climb again. Is this the return of a bu... ››› more
  • [11 February 2015]
  • Is 2015 going to see gold enter a bull market?
  • As the trading year gets underway, the gold price has edged higher. The price of the yellow metal has struggled over the past few years. But as investors worry about the global economic recovery and the current oil slump, could this be the year for gold? Let's take a closer look… Gold is creeping higher Over the last few months, the financial headlines have been full of what’s ... ››› more
  • [07 January 2015]
  • Are we in the midst of a Santa rally?
  • Historically, buying stocks in mid-December is one of the most opportune times. This marks the time of year when a ‘Santa rally' can occur. So what exactly is a Santa rally? And is there going to be one this year? Let's take a closer look… What is a Santa rally? A Santa rally covers the last two weeks in December. That is from market close on 15 December through to market close ... ››› more
  • [22 December 2014]
  • The JSE surges over 4% as a Fed statement spurs global markets higher
  • Yesterday, stocks on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange put in their best performance in years. Buoying the local market was news out of the US on Wednesday. The Federal Reserve's statement also helped push international stock markets higher. Let's take a closer look at what led to the JSE's bumper day… The JSE rallied hard The JSE was “swept along by a wave of positive global equi... ››› more
  • [19 December 2014]
  • You have an 83.33% chance to profit on the JSE, this Christmas!
  • This weekend, I decided to read through a number of news and trading websites, and all I saw was… The Santa Claus Rally that's ready to rocket and send stock market prices to all-time highs. I'm a BIG sceptic by nature and so, I thought this was a fantastic way to trick investors into buying stocks. So I decided to analyse my charts, to see if this rally does come about at Christmas ti... ››› more
  • [25 November 2014]
  • South African stocks soar as investors welcome hints of further stimulus in Europe
  • After a tough few weeks, shares on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) had a welcomed good day. Spurring stocks higher were suggestions that the European Central Bank may consider further stimulus. Let's take a closer look at what led to the JSE's good performance… The JSE’s Top 40 and All Share indices added 2% Last week, as volatility ruled the world’s stock markets, the m... ››› more
  • [22 October 2014]
  • Could gold be getting ready for another 80% rally?
  • The price of gold has continued to limp along. Over the past three months, the price is only 2% higher. But there is a long-term gold indicator that looks like it's heading towards a buy signal. The last time this buy indicator went off, gold rose an astonishing 80% in just over two years. Read on to uncover why gold could be preparing for another stellar rally… The MACD and the gold... ››› more
  • [25 August 2014]
  • Uranium: It's time for this essential unloved resource to rally
  • When sentiment turns against an asset, the result is a plunging price. And when this happens, the price levels don't make economic sense. But the fact is, the longer sentiment is negative, the longer prices stay down. Yet, at some point, market forces will rule. And this is the case for this unloved, but essential, resource. So let's take a look at why uranium looks set to fight back… ... ››› more
  • [15 August 2014]
  • If history is anything to go by, this is the month for silver to outperform
  • Over the month of July, the price of silver fell 3%. But if you look back to see what's happened in the past, August could be the month for silver to rally. So why does this look like it's shaping up to be the month for silver? Let's take a closer look… Historically, August is a good month for the silver price If you look at the silver price over the past five years, it’s always... ››› more
  • [15 August 2014]
  • It's time to get into gold… before the Fed starts hiking interest rates
  • This may come as a surprise, but in the 12-months before the US Federal Reserve (Fed) starts to raise interest rates, historically the price of gold soars. Expectations are that the Fed will begin hiking interest rates in 2015. So that means now is the time to start buying gold. Let's take a closer look at why you should get into gold now… How the gold price responds to the Fed’s i... ››› more
  • [13 August 2014]
  • After a wobble the rand gains against the dollar
  • Yesterday, following the announcement by the Reserve Bank that it was raising interest rates by 25 basis points, the rand rallied. But the rally was short-lived as a Malaysian airliner came down over Ukraine and tensions continued to mount in Israel. But the rand has recovered this afternoon. Let's take a closer look at what's going on… The rand looks slightly more attractive to traders Inve... ››› more
  • [18 July 2014]
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