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  • Think you can't move money offshore with a local trust? Think again
  • Speak to any financial advisor with half a brain and he'll tell you to go offshore. Sure, South Africa may one day reclaim our early 2000 title of “investment darling of the emerging markets”, but it's not going to happen any time soon. Our problems are simply too big. There's is no quick fix to Eskom, our ever-increasing sovereign debt or our 29% unemployment rate. So yes, that means ... ››› more
  • [27 February 2020]
  • Coronavirus + Eskom + Moody's + Chart = Rand disaster
  • It's been a terrible start for the rand. Last week we saw it hit R15.00, dropping it down over 6.07% for the year. According to Bloomberg, the rand was the second-worst performing currency out of the 24 emerging-market currencies world-wide. And it looks like this is only the beginning. In today's article we'll discuss the four reasons why I expect the rand to plunge to R1... ››› more
  • [24 February 2020]
  • This is the highest this commodity's ever been - here's how to profit
  • The gold price sits at R23,044 an ounce - with its recent all time high at R23,721 per ounce. In early 2018 gold was below R16,000 an ounce. So the shiny metal is up around 44% in 2 years!   This is being driven by the weak rand, as well as a rising dollar gold price.   Within mere months I expect we will see the rand gold price hit R26,000 levels.   ... ››› more
  • [29 January 2020]
  • Remember Load shedding?
  • Most people have notoriously bad memories. Less than a month ago, the entire country was going through one of the most serious bouts of load shedding we have ever had. Remember stage 6!!! Yet after just a few weeks of consistent power supply, many have forgotten what it felt like and that it can return any day now! Let's recap what happened in December. _______________________... ››› more
  • [14 January 2020]
  • Buy the USD/ZAR before 11h30 today for a quick profit
  • The Rand has strengthened against the majors over the past few weeks, but it has lost momentum and can't break below a key support level. We have our third quarter GDP numbers out at 11h30. With trade war uncertainty that hasn't abated and the VIX (aka the fear gauge) climbing from below 12 to above 14, we should see the Rand weaken against the majors over the next week or two. When the ... ››› more
  • [03 December 2019]
  • The #1 way to avoid rand volatility on any money you make overseas
  • If you, or your business, receive regular payments from abroad, you have to be pretty annoyed with the rand. After all, it's one of the most volatile currencies in the world. Which is pretty frustrating when you consider the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) forces you to convert any money you receive from abroad into rand within 30 days of you getting it - or sends your money back. But he... ››› more
  • [14 November 2019]
  • QE infinity and SAs last chance
  • Last week we initiated a long USD/ZAR trade as we believed the market was pricing in too many positives. After the sobering news from the medium-term budget speech, it promptly lost over 60 cents. Traders who used futures would have made over 30% as our initial profit target was reached in just over a day. The Rand is strengthening on the back of Moody's just reducing the outlook from s... ››› more
  • [07 November 2019]
  • It's time to sell the Rand
  • The Rand has made a strong recovery against the major currency pairs over the past month. And faces several headwinds this week with the Mid-Term Budget Speech due tomorrow. There's also the Moody's decision and a slew of important data points from the US, Europe and the UK. These events have the potential to see the Rand lose 50c or more in the coming weeks against the USD. Look at t... ››› more
  • [29 October 2019]
  • This chart shows today's hottest investment
  • Right now there's one sector I'm particularly excited about on the JSE. I recently banked a 150%+ gain from a share in less than 4 months in this sector, and I believe it has only started running. I'm talking about Gold… And while the shiny metal itself has delivered investors very good returns over the years, right now gold miners are in an even better position to profit. Let me... ››› more
  • [03 October 2019]
  • Bargain hunting in “bear” territory
  • Following on from last week's article where I quoted Sir John Templeton as saying “tell me where there is the most pessimism and I will tell you where to invest”. That describes global equity markets now and more accurately the South African market. Most investors are bearish and pessimism is high. But that doesn't mean you should be buying every stock making 52-week lows or in bargain territo... ››› more
  • [27 August 2019]
  • Investors rank SA Junk status
  • Last week I wrote about never letting a good crisis go to waste. It's one of the most difficult things for investors to do while you're in the thick of it. You don't want to deploy capital when things look like they are going to get worse, much worse. But that is the precise time to “slowly drip” capital into the market. It's an investors primary focus to look past the noise to see opportunity... ››› more
  • [13 August 2019]
  • The ZAR's Eskom induced downward spiral
  • I'm sure you have seen the headlines signaling the Rand is on a downward spiral. We highlighted the Rand being at risk of weakness when it was below R13.90 to the USD two weeks ago. It's lost almost 3% but recovering steadily. This bout of weakness is on the back of Eskom's new lifeline of R59 billion, over the next two years. After government committed R69 billion over three years earlier thi... ››› more
  • [30 July 2019]
  • Why this ‘Mountain-Hill pattern' is showing huge upside for the South African rand
  • Early on Tuesday last week, Finance Minister Tito Mboweni announced that Eskom will be receiving an additional R59 billion over the next two years, to help Eskom service its debt. There are mixed reviews about the bill and how it will help South Africa. Some people say this could be the light at the end of the tunnel and others say it's just another wait for an oncoming train… As ... ››› more
  • [29 July 2019]
  • We banked 71% on EOH and 6.24% on our USD/ZAR and it's time to get back in
  • EOH's share price has pulled back and our stop loss at R24 helped us protect 71% of our gains. The share price has pulled back to R20.00 and the company has indicated the forensic inquiry has identified R1.2 billion in suspicious payments. This is not a massive number and signals that the turn around in EOH will materialize over the coming months as Stephen van Coller delivers on his strategy. ... ››› more
  • [23 July 2019]
  • Why you should go long the USD/ZAR
  • The Rand has staged a stellar rally. Strengthening from above R15 against the USD to below R13.90. It came within half a cent of our R13.8550 target against the USD but the price is consolidating. It's time to bank our profits after a 6.24% gain, with gearing your gain could have been more than ten times larger. Trading the other way and going long the USD against the ZAR has good risk to rewa... ››› more
  • [16 July 2019]
  • Does it still pay to invest in gold?
  • Gold's been a form of money, an investment and a store of value for almost as long as modern day man has walked the earth. Some argue gold is a barbaric relic that no longer holds the monetary qualities of the past. They say paper currency, or electronic currencies such as Bitcoin, are the assets of choice. But the fact remains that gold has been a very stable appreciating asset for centur... ››› more
  • [11 July 2019]
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