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  • From Lockdown 4 to Jumanji - Here's why I'm selling the rand
  • South Africa has gone from Lockdown level 4 to Jumanji in the span of two weeks. It's been nothing but pandemonium. Businesses are closed again! Looters are enjoying Christmas in July and residents are fearing for their lives cooped up in their houses. We may feel like sitting ducks, but at least we can take some kind of advantage of the one south African market that will most likely fal... ››› more
  • [20 July 2021]
  • What the resources boom means for the rand
  • By now I'm sure you've noticed commodity prices are booming! Fifty-three out of 63 commodities monitored by the World Bank were up in price in December 2020 compared with the same month a year earlier. Copper, Palladium, Rhodium and many other metals are at all time highs. Even agricultural commodities like soy, maize and sunflower are climbing. I don't expect this to continue forever.... ››› more
  • [06 May 2021]
  • My jaw dropped when I saw the next price target for the South African rand
  • Over the last six months the rand has been an absolute star compared to other emerging currencies. While the rand has been strengthening to under R14.50, I can't say much about the other emerging currencies. For instance: The Brazilian Real has weakened -8% to the US dollar. The Rouble has dropped over 4% And the Turkish and Argentine currencies have weakened over 10%. The rand ... ››› more
  • [20 April 2021]
  • My First prediction for 2021
  • Welcome to the first prediction article for the year. And what better way to start, than to see where our currency is heading. Now if you've been following my rand predictions from last year, you'd know that I expected the rand to strengthen from R16.50 down to R15.00 against the US dollar. If you missed the article, you can catch up here... America is going to hell - And the S... ››› more
  • [13 January 2021]
  • America is going to hell - And the South African rand is about to rally!
  • Last week, was a wild ride. We had a global sell-off in stocks and currencies due to: • The nail-biting election between Trump & Biden • Major dollar weakness with the lack of confidence in America • A resurgence in COVID-19 cases to new highs in Europe and America And while all hell was breaking loose, the South African rand was on fire. In fact, last week it broke below ... ››› more
  • [10 November 2020]
  • The Week Ahead - Earnings Season Surprises
  • Market sentiment has improved since President Trump's release from hospital, and we head into third quarter (Q3) earnings season. Analyst forecasts on the S&P500 (a gauge for global equity markets) signals a potential decline of 20.5% for Q3, this would be the second largest Q3 decline since 2009. Analysts expect a decline in earnings in the fourth quarter of 11.8%, and a return to earning... ››› more
  • [21 October 2020]
  • Do you feel like your investments are trapped in South Africa? I have a solution!
  • The rand has been extremely volatile this year, ranging between R14/USD to over R19/USD. Recently, the currency seems to have found a range between R16.40/USD and R17.20/USD. This stability may be short-lived however as the rest of the year will likely prove turbulent. Overseas, we have the US election looming in early November. It's set to be one of the most contentious in recent memory. Thou... ››› more
  • [09 October 2020]
  • We banked 35% on the Rand Strengthening
  • The Rand followed the technical pattern in textbook fashion last week banking 3.5% ungeared. That's 35% using futures and as much as 350% on margin if you were trading CFDs. Right now the Rand is at a crucial technical level as support on the USD/ZAR builds at R16.40. Look at the chart below to see where the Rand could be headed next…   ________________________________________ ... ››› more
  • [05 October 2020]
  • The Week Ahead - Central Bankers in Focus
  • The Rand has been given a welcome boost from central bankers intensifying accommodative monetary policy that will keep interest rates lower for longer. This week central bankers from America, UK, New Zealand, China, Switzerland will be releasing interest rate announcements or provide additional information relating to recent announcements and economic outlooks. More information on the potentia... ››› more
  • [23 September 2020]
  • The Week Ahead - Apple and Tesla share splits
  • Some big-name companies announced stock splits and today is an important day for investors. Apple (APPL) shares split four for one on Friday close. This means it will start trading today at 25% of its closing price of $499.23 on Friday. This is the fifth time its split in 33 years. If Apple never did these share splits, 1 share would be changing hands at almost $29,000, from an IPO price of $2... ››› more
  • [01 September 2020]
  • Why I think there could be another 459% gain to be made as the Rand falls
  • The rand is once again in hot water. In August, we saw the currency drop from R15.00 down to R17.78 for the first time since 21 May 2020. And this is due to one main factor. We hit half a million cases of Coronavirus in SA, taking us to the top five infected countries in the world. It's clear the COVID-19 pandemic still has the power to cause a see-saw in market sentiment. And... ››› more
  • [17 August 2020]
  • Time is running out. You need to take action right now!
  • For the first time in nearly 16 years inflation is below the South African Reserve Bank's targeted range. Yesterday, Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) slowed to 2.1%. That's the lowest number since September 2004. Now, you're thinking inflation is low, that's a good thing, right? It's a bit more complicated. Let's explore…   ________________________________________   Di... ››› more
  • [16 July 2020]
  • Will fast-food deliver fast growth in the next year?
  • This week, sit-down restaurants once again opened their doors to the public. They opened under a cloud of restrictions. But they're open! This must be a welcome relief to so many private restauranteurs and small business investors. Because, while they can't serve alcohol, offer a buffet and or hand you a menu (menus will have to be replaced by “no-touch” options), they can at least sta... ››› more
  • [02 July 2020]
  • The Rand has recovered over 12%, now is the time to invest offshore
  • Many investors rush for the exit at the same time, causing a whip-saw effect in asset prices. The Rand is particularly vulnerable to this as one of the major currencies. Emerging market (EM) investors can use it as a proxy for less liquid EM currencies, and use it to hedge as it has the benefit of straddling trading hours in parts of Asia and America. There are two ways for you to get ... ››› more
  • [17 June 2020]
  • R13.95 to the dollar…? Here's why I think this could happen
  • It's been an absolute roller coaster for the rand this year. In January it was trading strongly at R14.50 to the US dollar. In late April, we thought it was the end of the rand as it traded at R19.00 to the dollar. And now, it's currently trading at R16.55. I believe there's been two main causes for the rand's volatility namely. Cause #1:   South Africa entering into ... ››› more
  • [15 June 2020]
  • Don't pop the champagne just yet
  • For a long while now, I've been talking about countries coming out of lockdown and how we'll see a recovery in markets. I wasn't wrong. The S&P 500 is back above 3 000, a gain of almost 40% from its March low. Let me say that again, the S&P 500 has returned almost 40% in the past two months. While I knew markets would begin to recover, even I wouldn't have predicted a recovery that... ››› more
  • [11 June 2020]
  • “I did not know how to trade CFD's. Now I am learning very quickly.”
  • Q. “On Tuesday I bought 100 Remgro shares and when I woke up on Wednesday to check the markets, I was holding 69 RMH (Rand Merchant Bank Holding) shares instead. Please can you explain what happened?” A. Believe it or not, the exact same thing happened to me.   Remgro went ahead with the unbundling process in Rand Merchant Bank Holdings to its shareholders.   Unbundlin... ››› more
  • [11 June 2020]
  • If I only held one stock, it would be this
  • Everyone has favourites. A favourite food. A favourite colour. A favourite vacation spot. And, even though you'll never admit it, some people even have a favourite child. For me, this pertains to the world of stocks too. So, what is that one stock? The one I just have to hold no matter what anyone says? Well, it's a company that, for the longest time, operated in the shadows of its mai... ››› more
  • [14 May 2020]
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