Standard & Poor's and Fitch ratings agencies is expected to give their verdict on the country's rating by the end of this week.
The financial analysts at FSPInvest believe that a downgrade to junk status is inevitable. Even if this doesn't happen this month, it will happen before the end of 2016.
Here's what will happen to the economy and your investment portfolio if the downgrade does happ... ››› more
Remember to fill your tank on your way home from work tonight. Due to the weakening and the price increase of petroleum related products on international markets, the price of petrol is increasing at midnight tonight.
The petrol proce will increase by 52 cents a litre and the diesel price will rise by 76 cents tomorrow. As long the rand continues to weaken against the dollar, you can expect th... ››› more
“The rand could hit R60 to the dollar by 2019: Chris Hart” - Business Tech
“Chris Hart: Nothing can prevent SA's slide to junk” - Fin24
I spoke to Chris about his recession and junk status predictions at the South African Investor member meeting on 24 May 2016. I asked him if he was misquoted in the media. However, he was adamant that he is right about these predictions.
One of the... ››› more
The situation is more serious than we thought...
As you'll see in a moment, it's become clear that South Africa is headed for a recession.
SA government economic policy has been doing very little to improve the state of our economy and now, the South African economy, consumers and investors are paying for the sins of our decision makers.
But all is not lost...
Due to the severity of... ››› more
Friday morning proved to be a good day on the JSE as it recovered from Thursday's sell-off which was triggered by news that US interest rates will increase sooner than expected. Global markets like the US and Asia are still struggling but the European markets joined the JSE in its recovery.
Considering that May is usually the worst month for the JSE, things are not looking as bad as investors... ››› more
The past few weeks have been harrowing for the rand.
It's been taking a severe beating from the dollar in the past two weeks.
Worst of all, rumours about the arrest of Pravin Gordhan has certainly not been helping matters at all. But, finally, it seems to have found a moment of stability. How long this will last, I don't know.
But let's take a closer look...
The rand is battered by t... ››› more
With the rand doing tumbles in the markets right now, you need a way to expose your money to international markets.
You see, by earning money in pounds or dollars, you're protecting yourself from the weaker rand here at home. In fact, you're increasing your investment returns. ETFs are a great way to get exposure offshore with limited risk and capital outlay. Today we've found you the ideal of... ››› more
Yesterday I warned investors that the rand will lose strength against the dollar because of the rumours that the Hawks want to arrest Pravin Gordhan for his involvement in the establishment of the SARS rogue unit while he was the tax agency's commissioner. As I expected, that's exactly what happened. But now, where to from here? Is it time for South African investors to be really worried? And wha... ››› more
This morning, the rand is trading at R15.51 to the dollar. In 11 days it's lost 54 cents against the greenback. This is only the beginning of the rand's fall.
If you think this is bad, keep an eye on the rand this week. I expect to see a significant weakening against the dollar thanks to new rumours in the media related to the arrest of our finance minister, Pravin Gordhan. “Pravin Gordhan fa... ››› more
Chris Hart, regular contributor to the South African Investor predicts that the rand will hit R60 to the dollar by 2019. He also believes that credit ratings agencies will soon declare South Africa's junk status before the end of this year. This is bad news for South African Investors. But just how worried should you be? And is there anything you can do to hedge your investments against this event... ››› more
In the five years before Warren Buffett bought Coca Cola, its share price rose an average 18% per year even during the Great Depression.
When Buffett Bought Coca Cola, he paid a massive 30% premium for its earnings and a 50% premium for its cash flow compared to its sector's average.
But Buffett simply didn't care. In fact, his investment in coke grew nearly 16 times over!
So why did B... ››› more
Whenever I hear mention of today's company, the first thought flitting through my head is: “How much does this pundit actually know about the eastern European property market?”
I mean, if you're looking for obscure geographical exposure you've found it. A company that invests in, and develops, shopping centers in Romania, Slovakia and Serbia.
And, yet investors who backed this strange J... ››› more
When it comes to investing, it pays to realise you're in a long-term game. And because of this, you don't want to be stressing about the markets daily moves. That's why I use a simple technique called rand cost averaging.
To use this technique, all you need to do is invest a set amount of your capital each month. No matter what the markets are doing, you steadily invest the same amount.
Rand ... ››› more
When I read this question last week, my jaw dropped. I couldn't believe that an investment that treated me so well, is causing such a headache for one of the MoneyMorning readers...
“I am somewhat puzzled that, although your writers are often at pains to warn us against various potentially bad investments, nothing is ever said in regard to the pernicious gold coin and medallion racket that h... ››› more
Since 1990, the rand has depreciated at an average of 6% per year against the US dollar. Due to the growing budget deficit and poor economic situation in South Africa, the rand is likely to get worse.
Think about this. The JSE only contributes around 0.5% to global GDP, that means if you stick to local investments only, you're not taking advantage of international investment opportunities.
... ››› more
Ask any South African. “Where do you think the rand is going next” You'll probably hear answers like I've been hearing, “The rand is going down the drain”, “going to hell, “going to S#^t” But not me! Today I'm going against 99% of what South Africans say, as I expect the rand to go up from here.
Read on to see why…
I haven’t made a wrong prediction yet!
I joined FSPInvest.... ››› more
Normally when I write about the rand, I expect the rand value to drop big time.
• In 2013, I told you how the rand was going from R9.00 to R10.50 to the dollar.
• In 2015, I showed you how the rand was going from 11.00 to R16.00 to the dollar
• And now I'm about to reveal where I expect the rand to go from R16.00
Fortunately over the years, every time I made a rand prediction it worked ... ››› more
The Rand has crashed to R16.70 a dollar.
On 30 November 2015 a Bloomberg report speculated the rand could hit R20 to a dollar.
Then on 8 January 2016 a Fin 24 report again reiterated the R20 to a dollar level for 2016 and Cees Bruggemans, a well known economist predicts we could see R22.50 to the dollar before 2018!
In short, if you're not investing in rand hedge shares you're losing mone... ››› more
Last week, President Zuma made an unexpected announcement.
Finance minister Nhlanhla Nene was let off (dare I say fired). And the sad thing is that he has been widely known to do a great job during difficult times. And is probably one of the most qualified person for the job. But as soon as the announcement came out, the rand crashed. It moved from R14.50 to R15.29 to the US dollar in just one h... ››› more
There's no disputing that the rand is under severe pressure. The currency is feeling the strain yet again as the dollar continues on its path stronger.
The dollar is gaining on the prospect of an interest rate hike next month.
Let's take a closer look at what's going on…
The rand continues its slide against the dollar
The latest data out of the US gives more reason for the... ››› more
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