Admittedly, I expected more movement in the Rand once the cabinet reshuffle was announced. We have a saying that “the Market always knows” which seems to apply in this case.
When Mr. Nene was removed, the Rand fell 8,5% within the first few days and then extended those losses by another 10% a few weeks later. By comparison the Rand has loss only 7% so far, perhaps the Market knew that SA I... ››› more
A week of heightened protests has ended and the ANC Cadre are holding the fort, for now. Their confidence masks the growing dissension from all sides, including members of its own party, eventually pressure will come to bear.
Fitch followed S&P in downgrading SA, but again the reaction was relatively muted. Clearly the market had been preparing for this eventuality. Of more concern is that som... ››› more
As it stands, we are at the tail end of an eight-year bull market and, by most estimates, markets in the developed world are massively overpriced versus historical levels.
When we have seen such conditions in the past, global markets almost always fell dramatically within a year or two.
Adding to this risk is the fact that the US Fed, the European Central Bank and a number of other central ... ››› more
• Should I close the trade for a R1,836 profit?
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Q. Hi Timon, on Tuesday I bought Sibanye Gold for R826. So far, it has made R1,836 profit. Should I close the trade or let it run more? C
Answer by Timon Rossolimos, Red Hot Storm Trader
Asking me this question is ver... ››› more
Pioneer has been under tremendous pressure since releasing its results on 22 May 2017.
Its earnings miss was partly due to an unfortunate hedging strategy, weaker consumer demand and slower African sales.
That said, the aggressive sell-off now looks overdone.
This secret made these three men multi-millionaires
Over half a ce... ››› more
I was wrong about the rand. I thought it was going to go up to R10 a dollar, but I'm not going to cry about it.
You can see looking at the USD/ZAR (United States Dollar versus the South African Dollar) weekly chart, a large wedge pattern formed from January 2016 up ‘till August 2017.
A wedge pattern is known as a reversal pattern where the price wedges down into a triangle formation. And a... ››› more
Over the past three years, the JSE's Financial index would've made you around 7%.
The JSE's Industrial's index would've returned around 27%, and had you invested in the Resources Index, you'd have lost a whopping 38% over the same period.
Clearly, you need to pay attention to where you're investing if you want to make money in today's tough market.
So, as we're heading into the last qu... ››› more
The major news is today's GDP growth figure for the 2nd quarter. The print should come out at 2.6% and signal a short-lived recession.
The Rand's strength was given a boost after poor jobs numbers out from the US on Friday, but has started consolidating around R12.95. We believe clients should use the current strength to allocate an appropriate portion of assets to offshore markets. - Contact ... ››› more
This might be the most important week for determining the market direction for the rest of the year, we have:
• A Fed announcement on their tapering on Wednesday
• A SARB announcement on interest rates om Thursday
• Futures closeout on Thursday
The market is expecting (with a 98.6% probability) the Fed to not pull the trigger on an additional rate hike. On the flip side, local inte... ››› more
Last week's sentiment remained positive and markets continued their rally. President Trump's first days in office are being closely monitored and provide plenty for traders to digest.
The JSE Top 40 closed the week up 0,8%, but retreated slightly on Friday along with generally softer developed markets; for the year to date the JSE is up 7,7%.
Kumba rallied 27% after it provided a product... ››› more
Trump in the White House - America First!
As President Trump was being inaugurated the markets appeared to be waiting for direction. The JSE closed slightly lower, down 0,6% and the major developed markets were little changed if not slightly softer. Currency and Commodity also appear to be in a holding pattern.
Trump's speech was direct and unambiguous, watch-out as America puts its foot... ››› more
Forget South Africa, Nigeria is growing at such a fast rate, in fact, economists expect Nigeria to overtake SA and become Africa's biggest economy. Don't wait for that to happen before you invest in Nigeria. Here's a home-grown smart investment you can make today…
“Economists expect Nigeria, already the continent's most populous nation and largest oil producer, to overtake South Africa ... ››› more
JSE up 3,3%
Last week the JSE recovered from an oversold position to close the week with a gain of 3,3%. Financials gained 4,8% and Industrials were up 3,7%. Resources managed a gain of 1,5%.
DAX up 6,6%, CAC up 5.2%.
European markets breathed a sigh of relief as the Italian referendum failed, the Dax gained 6,6% and the CAC 5,2%. Italy was up 7,3% and Spain put in 6,5%
US Markets... ››› more
Dear MoneyMorning reader,
US Stock up 3%, Emerging Markets down 4,5%
US Stocks recovered from sharply lower levels after a reconciliatory speech from President elect Donald Trump which eased market fears; Energy and Industrials were the leaders based on his plans for infrastructural development.
Emerging Markets have been left out in the cold as investors evaluate the impact of a Trump p... ››› more
It's been an interesting year for gold bulls. The downtrend which brought the yellow metal down to its dismal dollar lows of $1050/oz in 2015 has reversed and gold is once again making an assault on the $1300/oz level.
In the meantime, thanks to the uncharacteristically strong rand, which is now 13% firmer since January, the rand price of gold has pulled back to R17,442/oz from highs of above R... ››› more
Big Movers of the week
GOLD Stocks down 8,3%
The rollercoaster ride in Gold stocks continued last week, after bouncing the week before the Index was down 8,3%. Sibanye faired worst falling 13,7% while all the other major gold stocks gave up their recent gains.
MTN up 5,7%
Rebounding from lows, MTN was up 5,7% last week after a year of problems. The company has announced several heavywe... ››› more
What you're about to read might be great for South Africans, but not so great for the UK.
Just a few months ago I was in London burning my fingers from every purchase. At the time the GBP/ZAR was trading at R23.00 to one pound.
So every item of clothing, gadget and snack I bought in Regent Street was around four times more expensive than here in SA.
MC Donalds alone on average was around ... ››› more
Mention Coca-Cola, Wal-Mart and Johnson & Johnson and the first thing that might come to mind is…
They're some of the biggest and leading companies in the world.
They're popular brands around most parts of the world.
And they've made plenty of savvy investors very wealthy.
For example, A R10,000 investment into J&J shares in 1970 would be worth in the millions today.
And if y... ››› more
Pips, strength, weakness, ZAR, USD!
If you've watched Bloomberg, CNBC or sky news, it can be a daunting task to try and understand all of these jargon Forex terms.
But what If I could show you how to understand these currency pairs in a way you'll never forget it.
I'm not going to bore you with too much information. In fact, one chart is all we need to make sure you remember how to und... ››› more
In the early 1970s, companies like Coca-Cola, IBM, Johnson & Johnson, Pepsi and 46 others soared on the stock market. These companies were dubbed the “Nifty-Fifty”.
In simple terms, the “Nifty-Fifty” were a group of premier growth stocks that became market darlings in the early 1970s. All of these stocks had proven growth records, continual increases in dividends and high market caps.
... ››› more
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