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Recession

  • This One Indicator Is Showing A 20% Crash For The S&P 500
  • It's official. The US-China trade war just might be the catalyst that will send America into its next great recession. But I don't worry about that because there is always a profit opportunity that will follow… In fact, there is one indicator that shows a major 20% crash for the S&P 500 is likely, thanks to this impending recession. Let me explain why the S&P will fall... Th... ››› more
  • [14 October 2019]
  • The best strategy to muscle your way through the looming financial crisis
  • Last week the Repo rate jumped more than 400%. Now, I'm not talking about the South African rate which is set by the South African Reserve Bank. I'm talking about the “real Repo rate”. The US one, which affects over trillions of dollars' worth of transfers each day. This rate, which is normally just over 2% spiked up to 10% last Tuesday (17 of September) as global lending markets s... ››› more
  • [26 September 2019]
  • What to do ahead of 2020's looming recession
  • Recent poll numbers show that President Trump has lost some serious favour with his core constituency. I can't say I'm surprised. The trade war has hit American farmers hard. With the Chinese increasing tariffs on US agricultural goods, Chinese customers are no longer buying them. And that means that Trump needs to act - and fast - if he wants any chances at securing a second term in t... ››› more
  • [19 September 2019]
  • South Africa's economy is saved from recession - but we're not out of the woods yet
  • The latest release from StatsSA showed that South Africa's economy grew 3.1% for the second quarter of 2019. This was better than the 2.5% expected by most economists, and it's a good sign for South African's who were worried about recession hitting. Unfortunately, this growth doesn't necessarily mean our economy is growing again… With first quarter GDP shrinking 3.2%, 3.1% growth do... ››› more
  • [19 September 2019]
  • Concerned about the yield curve? Find out what to do when recession hits…
  • Markets have been incredibly skittish over the last week. And, while there are many reasons for concern, one of the main issues driving share prices lower is fear over the “inverted yield curve”. If you skim the financial news, you'll see headlines like: “Yield curve inversion hammers US small banks” “Bond market yield curve inverts, signalling Fed may be too slow to cut... ››› more
  • [22 August 2019]
  • This recession indicator is giving me a MAJOR buy signal right now
  • Last month in the South African Investor, I wrote about the world's most-feared recession indicator, the yield curve.   More specifically, if the yield curve is signalling an upcoming recession.     Now remember, the yield curve plots the interest rates of the 10-year US Treasury note (long-term rate) and the 3-month US Treasury bill (short term rate).   When short-term i... ››› more
  • [29 April 2019]
  • Should you avoid stocks in 2019?
  • South African stocks ended 2018 as the worst year since 2008. The FTSE/JSE Africa All Share Index ended the year down 11%, its worst performance since 2008. But this was still better than the emerging market average of -17%... It's fair to say that 2018 was a torrid year for investors especially considering it started very promising with SA's new president replacing Zuma… But a strin... ››› more
  • [09 January 2019]
  • South Africa out of recession… where to from here?
  • At 11:30 on 4 December 2018 Stats SA announced that South Africa is out of its recession. GDP Growth for the third quarter came in at 2.2%, after a 2.6% decline in the first quarter and a 0.4% decline in the second quarter of 2018. Editor's Note:  This is your FINAL chance to be a part of the biggest "bonus" we'... ››› more
  • [06 December 2018]
  • This market is crashing spectacularly - avoid it for now
  • Car sales are crashing. Since 2014 they've been in a straight downtrend. In fact, the latest figures from July 2016 show a drop of 17% (9,222 less vehicles) in vehicles sold compared to July 2015.   -------------------- Advertisement --------------------   Discover the explosive profit secret that could see you banking gains of 200%, 300% or even 500% in as little as 2 years  ... ››› more
  • [04 August 2016]
  • Pravin Gordhan believes South Africa will dodge another recession
  • So far this year, you've heard the word recession a lot. It's a real threat to the economy right now. The third quarter of 2015 saw 0.7% gross domestic product (GDP) growth - the fourth quarter saw 0.6% GDP growth. Results of the first quarter of 2016 shows the economy contracted 1.2%. Economists expected the economy to contract only 0.1%, which leads me to believe that nobody really knows... ››› more
  • [28 July 2016]
  • Four ways to prepare your portfolio for the next recession
  • You already know that rumours of a recession are circulating around the investment markets. 2016 has been a tough year for the South African economy and the hard times don't look like they're going to stop any time soon. Statistics South Africa shows that the economy is already down 1.2% for the year. We're in the middle of a drought and the price of food, electricity and water is steadily... ››› more
  • [22 June 2016]
  • Should you be adding banks to your investment portfolio right now?
  • Even though South Africa managed to dodge the downgrade bullet last week, the risk of recession, higher interest rates and a lack of foreign funding still plagues the South African banking industry. But larger fund managers like PSG Asset Management have recently been adding banks to their portfolios. Surely this is a mistake under the current challenging market environment. Well, let's ta... ››› more
  • [16 June 2016]
  • Did South Africa slip into a recession while nobody noticed?
  • Regular contributor to FSP Invest's South African Investor publication, Dawie Roodt, recently reported that he believes South Africa is already in recession. As we know, Roodt doesn't make any statement lightly. He is usually armed with facts and figures before he makes a statement like this. This begs the question, did South Africa slip into a recession and nobody noticed? Let's take ... ››› more
  • [10 June 2016]
  • The one safe haven to protect you from the coming SA recession
  • If you've been reading the news from FSPInvest.co.za over the past few weeks, I think you understand how important it is to add a certain level of protection to your investment portfolio right now. There's one precious metal that's proved itself as a protective asset over and over again. Of course, the metal Joshua is talking about is gold. He says, “In the 1970s and 1980s were marked by... ››› more
  • [31 May 2016]
  • Confirmed: A recession and a junk status down grade is inevitable
  • “The rand could hit R60 to the dollar by 2019: Chris Hart” - Business Tech “Chris Hart: Nothing can prevent SA's slide to junk” - Fin24 I spoke to Chris about his recession and junk status predictions at the South African Investor member meeting on 24 May 2016. I asked him if he was misquoted in the media. However, he was adamant that he is right about these predictions. One of the... ››› more
  • [30 May 2016]
  • Warning: “South Africa's economy is flirting on recession” Here's what you must do…
  • On Tuesday, the World Bank announced it cut South Africa's economic growth forecast to 0.8% in 2016. Followed by the words, “The economy is flirting with stagnation if not recession”. What's more is, the World Bank's economic outlook for South Africa is in line with the IMF's - which estimates economic growth rate to reach 0.7%. The bottom line is your investments are at risk. So, if ... ››› more
  • [05 February 2016]
  • The case for making South Africa a globally competitive country again - Part 1
  • 1994, apartheid ended and democracy was born. It was the beginning of a bright future for South Africa. Over two decades of freedom, South Africa worked hard to revitalise the declining economy left by apartheid. Between 1994 and 2013, the South African economy experienced positive growth in every quarter except for 2 of the 78 quarters. In both instances where the South African economy expe... ››› more
  • [07 January 2016]
  • Business confidence hits a four year low as South Africa's economy limps along
  • Today saw the release of the RMB/BER business confidence index data for the third quarter of this year. The data showed that the index is now sitting at levels not seen since 2011. So what's putting pressure on the index? Let's take a closer look… Business confidence dips again The business confidence index (BCI), which the Bureau for Economic Research conducts and Rand Merchan... ››› more
  • [09 September 2015]
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