In our QA mailbox this past week...
Q. “Timon I read the Monday article about why you expect gold to rally with the whole Russia and Ukraine invasion going on. I found it fascinating and would love to know more. I'm not sure if this is the right platform, but I don't know where else to ask. I believe this is going to be ongoing and that you're going to write a lot more on the current situatio... ››› more
The Rand weakened significantly last week as it failed to push through the R16 level against the USD.
It's now in a flag pattern, which signals longer-term weakness is on the cards. In the near term, we should see the Rand strengthen back to around R16.50.
With US elections a little over 4 weeks away, we could see general risk off sentiment as uncertainty of who will win weighs on investor... ››› more
Since the start of the corona panic, I've been keeping tabs on which asset is weathering the storm the best.
And not surprisingly, crypto is doing the best by far - at least for now.
After a 16% jump in less than 24 hours last Thursday, crypto is now 31% up year to date (YTD).
All while…
• The S&P 500 is now down 11%.
• The JSE All Share is now down aroun... ››› more
This year, I've been a precious metal bullion.
I've made predictions on gold, platinum and I've sent out 7 trade ideas to Red Hot Storm Trader.
Fortunately, the trades I've made have been correct 5 out of 7 times including:
AGL 47.09%
BIL -27.87%
AGL -46.43%
ANG 82.20%
KIO 50.51%
AGL 103.79%
ANG 50.34%
These resource companies have helped me back a 259% gain for ... ››› more
You may have heard of the Butterfly Effect.
Chaos theory predicts it is possible for the flap of a butterfly's wing in China to cause a hurricane in the US. Though this sounds like fantasy, we may actually be witnessing one of the greatest “butterfly effects” in history.
A little while ago, likely in 2019, a single virus particle made a jump from bats to humans. In terms of scale, this... ››› more
Last week we saw a precious metal shoot up over $200 overnight!
This was the first time in history we saw this metal move over 8% within a few hours, taking it to a record high of $2,769.
Even Edward Meir, an analyst at ED&F Man Capital Markets said it…
“…has been unbelievable - it's like the Tesla stock of commodities,”
And while the Coronavirus continues to spread, stock mar... ››› more
Bitcoin has once again surpassed the psychological $10,000 level, which has been making headlines…
And now, investors, analysts and traders world-wide, don't know whether to buy more of it or just sell it…
Some are calling it a bubble, others are waiting for a pull back and some are waiting for a major crash.
But I'm going to put all of those emotional driven articles to bed... ››› more
President Trump's willingness to get around the negotiating table has sparked a risk on rally, with safe havens like Gold, Yen and the Swiss Franc pulling back.
President Trump said he would hold back on new tariffs and China would buy more farm products. He also indicated the US Commerce Department could decide if Huawei should be removed off the list of banned firms and can do so without go... ››› more
Right now, many investors are scrambling to find assets that don't follow the swings of the stock market.
Their first choice is gold.
You see, gold has constantly proved itself as a supreme store of value. If investors get scared by financial or political news, gold makes a great insurance policy.
It is almost certain to hold its value over time.
And obviously in times of turmoil, ... ››› more
Warren Buffett has many great investment quotes, but perhaps my favourite is “Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget rule No. 1”. This has never been more applicable than now. The world is about to become a far more uncertain place for investors as a series of political and economic events threaten to derail the global economy.
Number one on the list of threats is the US-Ch... ››› more
Q. “Thank you Timon for introducing us to the new contributor to Trading Tips, Barry Dumas. I see he focuses more on indicators and news events when he analyses the Wallstreet index. Could you please give us your analysis on how Wall Street is looking when it comes to your chart patterns and trends. I'd like to know what your opinion is?”
A. I will break this answer into two parts, Trend ... ››› more
Happy New Year! I trust you had a fantastic festive time with your loved ones.
I'm looking forward to helping you make 2019 your most successful trading year yet! I've spent the last two weeks, doing intensive technical analysis on all my charts on the watch list.
Over the next five weeks I'll be sending you my top five predictions on gold, the JSE, the rand, the euro and oil.
Here'... ››› more
Over the past month I've warned you about how the ongoing issues with the emerging markets, the rising petrol prices and with a sudden change with the ANC cabinet, we've seen the rand to weaken back to R15.00 per US dollar.
This has resulted in the JSE collapsing over 14% in the matter of two months.
While the JSE was in free fall, I noticed that investors were starting to pile their money... ››› more
What you're about to read will shock you…
1999 - The Euro came into existence in January which was the goal of the European Union and its predecessors since the 1960s.
Initially there was a negative reaction as the Euro fell below parity (1:1) with the US Dollar for the first time.
After, the dust settled and the EU was finding its feet with regulations, treaties and legislations, the E... ››› more
So unless you've been living under a rock for the last week you'll have noticed that the UK scored a massive own goal by voting to leave the European Union last Friday.
What a mess!
All those South African's now “safely” living in the UK and no doubt looking down their snooty noses at our own Nene-gate scandal (and the subsequent rand devaluation) are now facing the same sort of curren... ››› more
Safe havens aren't what they used to be. There's something in the bigger scheme of things that are causing market irrationality. The JSE is in the red for the year. It opened at 49,764 and today it's at 48,984. And when the overall JSE slumps, so do the big sectors on the JSE, resources, banks, gold and even oil. And I don't mean to conspire, but what if this downside is due to fraud, futures and ... ››› more
We knew this was coming.
Since Greece accepted the bailout terms, it was only an amount of time before the prime minister of Greece resigned.
Why?
Because he and his party, Syriza, stand for everything against government interference policies.
And now with Greece making a 3.2 billion euro repayment to the ECB, Alexis Tsipras is set to resign.
So things don't seem to be improving in ... ››› more
Last week, along with its results, BHP Billiton announced the creation of a new company, Newco.
In a bid to streamline its business, the resources giant is creating a new company with some of BHP Billiton's assets.
BHP Billiton wants to make its core business more focused and niche.
So what does it mean for shareholders? And will shares in Newco be worth investing in?
Let's take a clo... ››› more
If you're thinking about buying a share because of its dividend and the company declares a dividend while you're thinking about investing, how can you ensure you get the dividend?
There are key dates surrounding the payment of dividends. And one important one is the record date.
To be entitled to a dividend payment, you need to ensure you own shares before this date.
Let's take a closer ... ››› more
South African billionaire, Mark Shuttleworth, will appeal against the South African Reserve Bank's decision to levy R250 million, which he paid in 2009.
The businessman, who now resides in the Isle of Man, had to pay the levy after moving R2.5 billion of his money out of South Africa.
The levy is in line with current exchange controls the central bank has in place.
Let's take a closer loo... ››› more
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