MTN will deliver half year financial results to the market on Thursday 6 August. This is another company that has been overlooked by the market, MTN has already announced that the Headline earnings will increase by about 120%.
The company's earnings are coming off a low base, but these results should show that it has successfully operating during the lockdown. It should benefit from the work-f... ››› more
Last week our TFG short was closed out for a 133% geared gain, it has since rallied to above R69.00 on optimism around the JET acquisition news.
However, Foshini also announce they are raising about R4bn in a deeply discounted rights issue. Today (21 July) is the last day to trade in the shares to be awarded the rights at a take-up price of R41.90 per share.
What is a rights issue, you m... ››› more
2020 has been one hell of a year. Coronavirus has ravaged most markets and yet certain stock markets have hit record highs.
Unbelievable!
Whatever the reason for the run up, the obvious divergence of share prices from the underlying reality seems to be all too apparent to professional investors.
So, is it time for you to hit the big red button? Is now the time to sell everything?
... ››› more
It was quite a week for airline stocks.
It started with the announcement from Warren Buffett that Berkshire Hathaway had sold stakes in four major US airlines: United, Delta, Southwest and American Airlines.
This is an exceptionally uncharacteristic move from the legendary value investor.
Firstly, Buffett is all about “buy and hold”. He rarely sells investments unless, the prospect... ››› more
Buying a stock is only the first part of investing… Selling, and knowing when to sell is an even harder part.
Especially when the markets are in trouble.
And boy did we just have a tough week… with the JSE (and most global stock indices) down 10%+ on the back of the world economy.
But does this mean you should sell your shares and head for the hills?
Probably not… But let's h... ››› more
If you hold property stocks, or one of the big four supermarket chains you need to listen up…
A major new finding by the Competition Commission is coming into effect, and it could have far reaching implications for these companies.
Let me show you in more detail.
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Is this the secret to becoming a stock market millionaire?
... ››› more
This is sad but you need to know.
Today, I am taking yet another company off my trading watchlist.
Telkom…
Since June we've seen this telecommunications giant' share price crash from R100 down to R46.00 per share.
That's a 54% sharp drop which signals MAJOR red flags when it comes to trading.
In today's article, we'll go into four reasons why Telkom is getting killed, where i... ››› more
Vodacom released interim results yesterday, and it isn't enough to see it push through the critical resistance level above R136.50.
Headline earnings per share came in at R4.60 (half year), which is below the full year 2020 consensus expectation of R9.61. Vodacom will have to do very well in the remaining period to achieve consensus and not disappoint investors.
SA reported mobile service ... ››› more
It's official.
The US-China trade war just might be the catalyst that will send America into its next great recession.
But I don't worry about that because there is always a profit opportunity that will follow…
In fact, there is one indicator that shows a major 20% crash for the S&P 500 is likely, thanks to this impending recession.
Let me explain why the S&P will fall...
Th... ››› more
Q. “Hi Timon, I've been using MetaTrader 4 for the last month, and I still have no idea how to place an entry. Before I would just type the price I wanted into my other platform and now with MT4 I have to choose between 4 different entry orders. Could you please explain when to use each one so I know for the future?”
A. This was a question I had when I changed platforms as well… And I be... ››› more
In the first three months of the year, we saw a major rally on a number of resource stocks listed on the JSE.
Take a look at the chart of the JSE-Resources Top 20 Index to see what I mean…
During the 20% resource rally, we took full advantage and my Red Hot Storm Trader members managed to bank a total gain of 245.65% including a:
• 51.95% gain on Anglo American Plat... ››› more
It's been a tough few weeks for South Africa.
It all started when finance minister, Tito Mboweni, unveiled yet another bailout for Eskom. The R59 billion taxpayer band aid then spooked international investors and prompted announcements from ratings agencies Fitch and Moody's.
Both echoed the usual concerns about slowing growth, rising government debt and the inability of our policy framewo... ››› more
Q. “Last month, you sent out an article about the Fibonacci sequence, explained how the different ratios act as support and resistances on any high traded market and gave us a trading strategy.
I found this fascinating and would like to try and build a Fibonacci calculator for currency pairs and markets that aren't available to trade on my trading platform.
Could you help share with me the... ››› more
Q. "I received a trade from PickPocket Trader last week to short the rand using CFDs. Could you tell me a formula I can use to know how many CFDs I must sell, in a way that I don't lose more than 2% on my R35,000 portfolio?"
A. The CFD calculation for Forex currency pairs is a little different to the calculation you need for buying stock CFDs.
Here's a formula you can use for currency CFD... ››› more
Bidcorp's attempted breakout above the R320 per share resistance level failed, this is the third time since 2017 that Bidcorp's share price failed to move above R320.
The share price has pulled back over 3% with further advances unlikely, investors should look to lock in profits as the share price is on a standard deviation of 2.4. This signals a pullback is likely, and a retracement has starte... ››› more
The Rand fell over 3% from its open to close last week. This is on the back of Ace Magashule's surprise (and incorrect) inclusion of changing the Reserve Bank's mandate and possible quantitative easing. When you add the bad GDP growth figures, you can see why people panicked and sold the Rand for any price they could get. Typically, this herd mentality happens at exactly the incorrect time creatin... ››› more
Telkom released annual results last week and its share price soared after a brief pull back. It has rallied over 50% year to date. Investors were expecting information on the potential property portfolio unlock. Nothing concrete has been delivered.
The CEO Sipho Maseko highlighted “Our strategy to separate our property and mast and tower portfolio to increase management focus and unloc... ››› more
This week I received a message from a friend, P, saying: “Celebration time - we sold the property and took a big loss”
Usually you'd not celebrate when taking a big loss on an investment.
But in this case it is a good thing.
And as soon as I explain I hope you'll see that selling an investment at a loss isn't always losing…
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If this support level holds, we could see our market run to record highs. And the elections could be the catalyst for a strong bounce and rally to the previous highs.
The old stock market adage of “sell in May and go away”, seems to be ringing true for the JSE as we approach May. The JSE (Top 40 future) is pulling back, testing a crucial support level.
This back-up plan will allow Americ... ››› more
On Wednesday 10 April 2019 EOH shares traded at a low point of 946c.
By 10:00 Am on Tuesday 16 April 2019 the share traded at 1625c, up 71.77% in less than 7 days!
That must be one of the biggest runs a stock has done on the JSE this year!
But here's the thing - since 30 September 2016 EOH shares are still down 90% from their level of R176!
So, what does this mean for investors lik... ››› more