When you invest in a share, there's always certain risks involved….
Competition, new regulations, the economy, currency…just to name a few.
The problem is, it can be hard for investors to quantify all these potential risks.
Rather than develop a complex, but flawed, analysis of risk... it's more helpful for an investor to think of "risk" in a simpler form…
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History shows that stocks go up around 75% of the time during December.
What's more - the gains they post are typically bigger than for other months as well.
The MSCI All Country World Index, which measures equity returns from 23 developed and 24 emerging markets, has declined just six times in December over the past three decades.
That's gotten many investors and fund managers hopeful fo... ››› more
Have you heard of Robert Hagstrom? He's best-known as the author of a handful of popular investing books including his New York Times bestseller, The Warren Buffett Way.
When he published this book in 1994, it quickly became a phenomenon. In fact, more than 1.2 million copies have been sold to date.
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President Trump sent global markets roaring higher after he and China's President Jinping agreed to de-escalate the tit-for-tat tariffs. It's only for the next three months, but signals Trump is realising the potential damage he is causing to the US economy.
This is good news, when you consider Fed Reserve Chair... ››› more
Globally, shares are deep in correction territory, offering patient investors opportunities to deliver returns in a tough market.
Sasol has fallen almost 30% from its September high to below R420 on a weaker oil price and weak global sentiment. The R400 support level should be the bottom ahead of a move higher.
Last week, Sasol released a positive trading update for the interim period to 3... ››› more
It's no secret that US stocks are flying.
Even if there's a small correction, share prices always seem to bounce back and keep going higher.
In fact, US stocks have gone up for almost 10 years now - without a losing year. This has led many people to think that they're extremely expensive.
But what if I told you US stocks are actually cheap?
You'd probably be surprised and call me crazy. ... ››› more
Right now, the world's best value in stocks is in a specific country's stock index.
And I'm not talking about a small random country but one of our global trend setters.
Its index holds some of the largest companies in the world.
Companies bigger than its US counterparts in terms of assets and sales.
So why is this index verging on rock bottom?
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2018's been a tough year on the stock market. Based on the data I've filtered through there hasn't been a share that's returned more than 100% for the year to date!
In fact, there have only been six shares to return more than 50% for the year so far!
In total, there are 53 shares with 10%+ gains for 2018 to date…
So, what do these companies have in common, and why are they up while ther... ››› more
No question about it… There is a mountain of reasons to be worried about the South African stock market.
Since March 2017, the JSE Small Cap index is down 19.62%.
At the same time, the mainstream media is bombarding investors with “Take all your money offshore now” messages.
But there are groups of investors that are bullish as can be.
And they're buying small cap stocks like the... ››› more
The JSE is at the whim of global sentiment. And one thing every investor should remember is sentiment drives prices, but company values change much slower.
This provides investors with opportunities to accumulate mispriced shares at much lower prices than they previously did or could.
As the market takes a leg lower, investors should look to accumulate quality companies on the cheap.
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In 1954, 24-year-old Warren Buffett received a phone call that would ultimately change his life.
The person on the other line offered Buffett a job in New York City and he accepted without asking about the salary.
It was arguably the smartest - and most profitable - decision he ever made.
That's because Buffett knew the man who had just employed him. A man he studied under at Columbia Uni... ››› more
AB InBev (ANH:JSE) has steadily fallen from it's R2,000 high in Feb 2016 down below R1,100 today. The fall is as a result of them processing the massive take-over of SAB, the Rand strengthening and the market pricing in a dividend cut in the full-year results to December.
ANH's emerging market exposure will provide it with superior growth over the long-term, and with Trump likely to strike a tr... ››› more
When you've been around the penny stock investing industry as long as I have, you get tired hearing the same old lies about penny stocks over and over.
While these stories don't affect me at all, I am tired of how they discourage investors that are eager to start, and to learn more about the opportunities out there.
So, give me a moment of your time today to tell you about the lies, and myth... ››› more
Last week, Richemont (CFR:JSE) announced its joint venture with Alibaba. An opportunity for mass distribution like this could see Richemont's sales soar over the coming years. Especially in China, where Alibaba has a strong presence and China is expected to account for nearly 50% of the luxury goods market in the next six years.
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If you're looking for the ultimate formula that consistently picks winning investments, I'm sorry to say, there isn't one.
If there was, we'd all be rich.
But there are ways to improve your chances of winning more often…
And that's by knowing these three secrets to picking the right investments
You ma... ››› more
You've probably never heard of Abraham Germansky and Jesse Livermore. Both were investors nearly 100 years ago.
Abraham Germansky was a multimillionaire real estate developer in 1920s. He also loved stocks, investing heavily as the market boomed. But when the crash of 1929 unfolded, he was wiped out.
After that he disappeared.
On the other hand, Jesse Livermore had a very different experi... ››› more
At first glance investing seems inaccessible, confusing and sometimes even scary.
But the concept really is simple - investors (like you) buy small pieces of companies called shares.
The amount of money you make will be based on how well the company's share price does, and whether it gives you any share of the profits it makes (called dividends).
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When the market opens today it will officially be in a bear market as the JSE extends the recent sell-off on overnight weakness offshore.
Most of this sell-off has been driven by global politics and rising interest rates in the US, with other developed markets to follow suit.
Retail investors are yet to “Panic” about the value of their portfolios.
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Volatility provides buying opportunities, as investors panic sell and then buy after the shares inch higher.
Investors were complacent leading up to last week due to low amounts of volatility experienced in the past two months.
The sell-off caught almost everyone by surprise. But this is a normal function of the market. Over the past 90 years, the S&P 500 has had a 5% decline around every 2... ››› more
We bought into Dischem back in May at R30.50 and added to it in July at R28.00 banking us 12.5% when we closed it at our trailed stop loss.
Today, it has fallen again below R30.00 and support should build at R28.00 with any sell-offs below that level being short lived.
Management provided an update to expected earnings for 2019 that will be a tailwind for the share price to move back above... ››› more
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Remember: Never invest more than you can afford to spare and that the value of any investment, and the income derived from it, can go down as well as up. The past is not necessarily a guide to future performance.
Editors or contributors may have an interest in investments commented on in this newsletter. However they have signed restraints to prevent the abuse of their position as contributors to this publication.