Every year we start off with our biggest, boldest and best predictions for the coming 12 months.
How will the world around us change? What will stock markets do? And where do the biggest opportunities exist?
Five predictions to start off the year
Prediction #1 - The pandemic will end in 2022
It’s the prediction no one has been willing to make. Just as we think things are taking... ››› more
Last week's GDP data showed that South Africa's economy shrunk in the third quarter of 2021.
This follows four quarters of economic growth from pandemic lows.
It also means that another quarter of economic contraction would put the country back in recession.
So, are we heading back into recession, or will the economy turn upwards from here?
Let's have a look at what the numbers say… ... ››› more
I recently got a mail from Keith asking about Brait's latest rights offer:
“Hi Francois. Hope all is well with you. I have BAT shares, only 545. Now they have some kind of rights offer and I got 1 BATN, lol. I need to make an election, but I don't understand. Currently the BATN is trading around 1000 c. Take up value is 100,000c. Does it mean I can take up the nil share, it gets added to the 5... ››› more
The petrol price in South Africa is breaking the R20 a litre level.
December 2020 it sold for R14.26 a litre. That's an increase of 41.6%
Sure - the 2020 level for petrol prices was a low base. Covid reduced demand and the oil price was really low.
But the huge increases we're seeing now are hurting - and they'll definitely affect business as well.
-------------------------------------------... ››› more
Right now, there are a couple of big trends playing out in stock markets.
Renewable and sustainable energy is a big thing – (see my SA renewables watch list I wrote about last week).
Internet of things, cryptocurrencies and fintech are also a really hot topic. And so are electric vehicles.
Tesla for instance is worth a trillion dollars – around four t... ››› more
Q. ”This year I joined Timon's trader service. I must say I'm loving the simplicity of the emails and the high number of profits so far. In one of the recent emails, it said that you had banked a certain percentage on a trade. Please clarify a formula to calculate the gain and loss percentage in a trade?”
A. Thank you for the question Happiness and glad to have you on board.
Le... ››› more
On 15 November 2021 Grindrod Ltd (JSE:GND) made an important announcement.
The company said it is entering into a joint venture with Maersk - the world's largest container shipping line and vessel operator since 1996.
This hasn't been frontpage news, and its not receiving a lot of attention. But as I will explain to you in a moment - this is huge news for Grindrod shareholders.
____... ››› more
Q. “Would you please clear something for me. There was recently a trade recommendation for Brent Crude. This is quoted in US dollars? How do you work out a 2% risk with a South African rand denominated account?”
A. Sure, I’ll share with you an easy calculation from the most recent Brent crude trade we sent out via Pickpocket Trader on 28 October 2021.
Here are the tr... ››› more
I'm sure you've heard, with a great deal of fanfare from the COP26 conference, that the US, UK, Germany, France and the EU have secured a deal to provide South Africa with R130 billion in climate finance to build more renewable energy - and replace aging Eskom plants.
A recent Moneyweb article - interviewing RMB CEO James Formby - indicates this could branch out to become a R500 billion inject... ››› more
Q “Last Wednesday you mentioned the 5 Satrix ETFs you're mainly trading. I saw that recently they launched another Satrix ETF called the CAPI… Can you please explain what the ETF does and if you're looking at trading it in the future?”
A. Yes, most definitely.
As soon as the CAPI is available to trade on the trading platform and there is high volume of buying and selling, I will be a... ››› more
I have been picking structured products for several years now and rarely have I seen a product as good as the one I've found this month.
Tell me where you've ever heard of an investment that:
Has a 100% capital guarantee,
Delivers 400% of UNCAPPED index performance,
Offers a guaranteed 12% tax-rate on your final return,
Is backed by an A-rated international bank, ... ››› more
China's second largest real estate developer is going bust.
The company is $300 billion in debt. And it is struggling to pay interest when payments are becoming due.
It's easy to think that an ailing real estate developer in China is an isolated case and it won't affect you…
But the thing is, China's real estate market is worth $55 trillion. It is bigger than the US stock market, and... ››› more
Q. “I'm looking to invest in different local ETFs other than shares and indices. What are your top local ETFs you're mainly investing and trading this year when it comes to South Africa Timon?”
A. In 2021, it's important to look at the most cost effective, easy to find and highly traded ETFs when it comes to investing and trading…
Just a reminder, an ETF is an investment vehicle that... ››› more
On October 20, the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (NYSE: BITO) opened for trading.
It's the first crypto-linked exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the US market. And it had an immaculate debut - with $1 billion in volume on the first day.
That makes BITO's debut the second-most actively traded ETF launch in history!
Off the back of the launch, bitcoin rallied over 60%.
Even better, the ... ››› more
In case you've been living under a rock, Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $67,000 last week. And if you've been reading Trading Tips, this should be of no surprise…
In 2020, I predicted Bitcoin would rally from $10,000 up to $24,442.
And on 18 May, when Bitcoin was at $42,700, I made a prediction that it would rally to $73,000.
You would probably think that I would sell ... ››› more
In the last month Capitec Bank hit an all-time high of R1,913 a share. It's pulled back slightly from that. But the bank has seen phenomenal growth with a 51% return in the last year, 158% in the last 5 years and 791% in the last ten years.
In fact, in its August 2021 figures the bank announced a figure of 16.8 million clients.
That's compared to 15.8 million clients in February 2021 and 1... ››› more
“Hi Timon, I have R265,000 in my trading account and I want to take the trade idea on the ALMI 40 you sent last week. I want to risk 3% of my portfolio and I see it works differently to shares. How many CFDs would I need to buy and do you have an ALMI calculation to help make it easier?”
You can find the full Article here:... ››› more
Between 10 August 2021 and 20 September 2021, the JSE All-Share Index dropped 12.66%, the US Nasdaq was down around 7% from its September highs.
Basically the market is down - and it's the first sustained drop since November 2020.
Is this a market crash, or a time to buy?
You can find the full Article here:... ››› more
Ever heard of the Cape Town Stock Exchange?
You're forgiven if you haven't.
The Cape Town Stock Exchange (CSE) opened up on Thursday 30 September - it used to be the 4 Africa Exchange - but it has rebranded and focused its business on small cap companies. In fact, it calls itself the Nasdaq of Africa - with reference to the US stock exchange also focused on giving affordable listing opport... ››› more
Bell Equipment is a little company on the JSE with HUGE potential.
You see, the company is seriously underappreciated by investors.
The company sits with stock on hand that's roughly equal to R34 per share - while the share price is merely R12 a share!
But there's even more compelling reasons for upside in this stock right now…
You can find the full Article here:... ››› more
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