The general consensus amongst professional sports bettors is that home-field advantage in the NFL is worth three points.
But there are a number of factors that go into that…
Those variables can change making the advantage more or less valuable.
Today I want to take a look at those factors that bettors should consider before wagering on NFL games and then examine the home-field advant... ››› more
Defence!… Defence!… Defence!
It's an iconic chant you hear roaring throughout any football stadium.
It's so important and such a big talking point that most post game shows only ever talk about a team's defensive stats.
That's why today, I want to wade through all the nonsense and give you the most important defensive stats!
Let's get started…
___________________________... ››› more
It's crucial for all sports bettors to evolve their NFL betting strategy.
That's if you want to be on the winning end of the bet!
And the best way is to look at net Yards per Play to find your next profitable opportunity.
It's a simple calculation that exploits discrepancies in the football market.
And it's one I'm dying to share with you…
_______________________... ››› more
It's no secret that I'm a big fan of multiples.
I'm talking about placing ‘multiple bets' at one time.
You see they also multiply your winnings too!
If you're a member of The Winning Streak you know all too well, I use them in nearly every bet I send.
But there is an art to using this strategy, and its one that I've cultivated over the last four years.
And today I want to shar... ››› more
It's finals time!
The 2019 Rugby World Cup is almost at an end but there are still two opportunities for us to profit!
Third and fourth place will be decided on Friday between the defending champions and Wales.
While South Africa look to take on England on Saturday, in what will be considered the most important game of the tournament.
Will South Africa stun the world and li... ››› more
Last week Thursday, I gave you my predictions for the quarter final of the Rugby World Cup.
And lo and behold…
I got 7 out of the 8 correct, that's an 87.5% win rate!
My emails have been flooding with request after request after request… for my Semi Final predictions.
So without further ado, let's get stared….
Why ... ››› more
From the 20 teams that started in the rugby world cup, only eight remain.
We've seen some great upsets, from the likes of Japan and Uruguay and some poor performances from Russia and the USA.
However, all the remaining sides cannot be ignored as we go in to the quarter finals.
That's why today I want to give you my predictions for the upcoming knockout encounters this weekend!
Let... ››› more
Whether you're in finance, banking or the sports betting market, being able to calculate expected value on a trade or a bet is fundamental to your long term success.
In fact, one mathematician used expected value to win the lottery!
And despite its accuracy, most sports bettors are not familiar with this technique.
That's why today, I want to show you how to use expected value and why ... ››› more
A couple of people have been emailing and texting me non-stop about the odds during the rugby world cup.
Here's one saying:
“They're terrible! - how do you expect to make any money from these odds?”
And he has a good point.
Just look at these two games:
France vs USA and New Zealand vs Canada
From the odds you can see that a bet on France to beat the U... ››› more
Last week Thursday I gave you guys my round 1 picks for the Rugby World Cup.
• Japan to win
• Australia to win
• France to win
• New Zealand to win
• Italy to win
• Ireland to win
• England to win
• Wales to win
And if you'd taken each one of my predictions, you would have walked away with an 8 out of 8 winning streak.
I have been receiving a number of emails fr... ››› more
One of the most important decisions you'll make when sports betting has nothing to do with picking the right side or the correct score of a game.
This crucial decision is picking your online bookmaker.
There are dozens of companies offering sports betting over the internet, and many of them seem to offer the same service…
So how do you decide which one is best for you?
Well I hav... ››› more
When was the last time you decided to bet on a team, but discovered new information and changed your bet to back the opponent?
If you don't do this very often, it could be because you've become victim of “Confirmation Bias”!
It's a little known phenomenon that can end up destroying your bankroll and put you out for good.
But don't worry, because while this may be something harmful ... ››› more
“What do I look at FIRST when analysing a soccer match?”
This is a common question I get, and I always give the same answer…
You need to look at the variables!
Once you know these variables, you'll have an indestructible game plan you can follow to make accurate predictions when you take a bet.
Let's get into them…
... ››› more
The sports betting world is filled with different types of bettors.
They range from being your ‘average Joe' or recreational sports bettors to the more experienced ‘wise guys'.
But no matter who you think you are, you'll likely fall in to one of two categories:
1. ‘Sharp Sports Bettor'
2. ‘Square Sports Bettor'
So, Which one are you?
_________________... ››› more
When we bet, we usually bet intuitively.
Meaning we rely on what we know and feel about a particular team or player and make an on-the-spot judgment of the chances of success.
While Intuition is great at instantly assessing if someone is upset or angry at you, it's not great when assessing whether a team or player will successfully win their respective matches.
The Halo Effect is a big... ››› more
It took over 200 years for Thomas Bayes' work to be recognised.
With the invention of the personal computer Thomas Bayes' Bayesian analysis has gained wide spread acceptance in many different spheres.
Such as predictive models and artificial intelligence to name a few.
In its simple form the Bayesian analysis uses probability and reasoning to make a decision in the face of uncertainty,... ››› more
As a sports bettor, I am constantly looking at ways to maximise my bottom line.
I've tried and tested nearly every market the bookie has to offer.
And one increasingly popular type of market has caught my attention.
It's called the over under market, and nearly every sport has it on offer.
Today I want to show you how it works and what you can do to maximise its potential.
Let'... ››› more
I doubt you've ever considered whether you're more of a Lion or a Rhino.
However, these two animals are not only part of our beautiful big five, but illustrate important traits about the way we think and impact our ability to make successful betting predictions. “Lions know many things, while Rhino’s know one big thing!”
Find out which one you are below?
_____... ››› more
Dear Trading Tips reader,
I recently wrote an article on how to analyse a boxer’s fighting style.
But this is only the beginning.
You see, with boxing being such a high-level sport, there are a few other aspects to consider to make accurate predictions.
Things like how much a weight a boxer must lose, to make the correct weight category.
Or bettin... ››› more
Did you know that on average you could double your money betting on a draw than on just the old-fashioned winner?
TWO TIME MORE!
Just last weekend, Chelsea took on Manchester United.
The odds for Chelsea to win were 1.77, this means you could turn R1,000 into R1,770.
While the odds for Manchester United to win were 1.80, this would turn R1,000 into R1,800.
But now take a look a... ››› more
Disclaimer Note that FSP Invest, a division of Fleet Street Publications (Pty) Ltd, is a research house and not a registered broker, financial advisor or financial service provider. Our editors and customer services teams also do not give personal investment advice. The advice in this website is general advice only and may not be appropriate to your particular investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, so before investing or if in any doubt about your personal situation, you should seek professional advice from a stockbroker or independent financial adviser authorised by the Financial Services Board.
We research our recommendations and articles thoroughly, but disclaim all liability for any inaccuracies or omissions found in this publication.
Remember: Never invest more than you can afford to spare and that the value of any investment, and the income derived from it, can go down as well as up. The past is not necessarily a guide to future performance.
Editors or contributors may have an interest in investments commented on in this newsletter. However they have signed restraints to prevent the abuse of their position as contributors to this publication.