The S&P 500 is arguably the most popular stock Index.
It contains the companies most widely owned by individual investors.
It also accounts for roughly 80% of the overall value of the stock market in the US.
And it's been a boon for investors who have held in their portfolio over the past decade.
But the era of high returns could be ending.
Let me explain…
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US inflation came in at 7% on Wednesday.
This is so far beyond the US target rate of 2% it's terrifying.
To give you some perspective about how big a miss this is, our SA target rate is up to 6%. So, to miss it as much as the US did, our inflation rate would need to be 21%.
Up until recently, the US Fed argued they didn't have to raise interest rates to combat inflation, since it was “t... ››› more
Every year we start off with our biggest, boldest and best predictions for the coming 12 months.
How will the world around us change? What will stock markets do? And where do the biggest opportunities exist?
Five predictions to start off the year
Prediction #1 - The pandemic will end in 2022
It’s the prediction no one has been willing to make. Just as we think things are taking... ››› more
For many decades, we escaped reality through books, magazines, and movies.
In the future, we will escape via 3D-internet platforms, like VR gaming, virtual bars/clubs, and immersive shows and movies.
This future world, where the physical and the digital combine, to transform the online sphere into a more immersive, 3D experience is called the “Metaverse”.
And the metaverse is expected... ››› more
I sometimes imagine the stock market as a constant humming. Not the hubbub hum of an open outcry trading floor, nor the electrical buzz and click of servers and machines, but the whine of millions of voices guiding billions of dollars, rand and rupees into bets on global business profits, economic scarcity and the future direction of mankind. It's the droning roar of the engine that powers the wor... ››› more
In July this year, I pinpointed 3 green lights for its rally to 4,600. And have you seen recently it's been trading at around 4,681
The price has shot right through the price target and then some.
At first, I was going to just bank my profits and run…
However, I've just been alerted another 3 MAJOR buying signals.
And now my SP500 price target just got bigger, better and even mor... ››› more
Right now, there are a couple of big trends playing out in stock markets.
Renewable and sustainable energy is a big thing – (see my SA renewables watch list I wrote about last week).
Internet of things, cryptocurrencies and fintech are also a really hot topic. And so are electric vehicles.
Tesla for instance is worth a trillion dollars – around four t... ››› more
US inflation just hit a 30 year high. And the US is not the only country experiencing rising prices. The EU, as well as the UK, have also seen the price of goods and services rising.
There are many reasons for this: Supply chains were disrupted by the pandemic; oil prices are high; demand has increased due to stimulus; wages are rising… the list goes on.
But the big question every inve... ››› more
I'm sure you've heard, with a great deal of fanfare from the COP26 conference, that the US, UK, Germany, France and the EU have secured a deal to provide South Africa with R130 billion in climate finance to build more renewable energy - and replace aging Eskom plants.
A recent Moneyweb article - interviewing RMB CEO James Formby - indicates this could branch out to become a R500 billion inject... ››› more
China's second largest real estate developer is going bust.
The company is $300 billion in debt. And it is struggling to pay interest when payments are becoming due.
It's easy to think that an ailing real estate developer in China is an isolated case and it won't affect you…
But the thing is, China's real estate market is worth $55 trillion. It is bigger than the US stock market, and... ››› more
Since stock markets first began, many centuries ago, investments in technology have always resulted in the greatest profits. This is true from sailing ships navigating new territories, to building railways or the creation of the internet. It's always the newest innovations that have been the most profitable.
Over time however, what was once new, becomes old and boring.
Over the last 40 yea... ››› more
Coal is the dirty stepchild in the mining sector. And boy is it unpopular at the moment.
Coal miners report that it's getting more and more difficult to get finance for new projects.
After hitting a low of $56 a tonne in April 2020, the coal price has soared. Coal now sells for double what it did in 2020 - with the latest Richards Bay Coal Terminal pricing coming in around $112.92 a ton wi... ››› more
I am a Bitcoin bull and generally expect major upside.
But today, the factors and chart I'm about to reveal might shock you.
What we know already is that companies like Tesla stopped Bitcoin transactions due to high energy costs. And countries like China are stopping Bitcoin transactions because of the lack of control.
But the main reason for the slump of bitcoin, right now, is due to ... ››› more
So, you spend less than you earn and you're putting some savings in the bank each month?
Truth is - your money in a savings account isn't doing anything for you with how low interest rates are right now…
Perhaps you've considered investing - but you've been unsure about where to start?
Here's what you need to know…
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Get starte... ››› more
In the last two weeks, I've sent out predictions on the next Nasdaq and S&P 500 rallies.
It seems like America is really showing signs of upside to come, as the stock markets have both continued to rally to new all time high prices.
Today we've saved the best for last.
I call it the US stock market hat-trick rally.
I've yet again been alerted of another American stock market rally. ... ››› more
Previously, I spoke about a Nasdaq rally coming soon.
Since then the Nasdaq hasn't stopped rising. If you missed out on it, don't worry.
I already have my eyes on the next big rally…
The S&P500.
The S&P 500, is a stock market index that tracks the stock performance of 500 of the largest companies listed on stock exchanges in the United States.
And as of last week, we saw it r... ››› more
There are a thousand indicators, ratios and models we can consider when investing or trading.
But at the end of the day the all-important figure is the SHARE PRICE.
No matter, earnings per share, revenue or growth potential. The company's stock price is the final indicator that matters to all investors.
It's the figure we consider when buying or selling. And it's the final indicator of... ››› more
An ex executive director of Netcare (who retired 10 years ago), reached out to me the other day.
He was curious to hear my take on the health company as a shareholder.
In short, he asked me to do an analysis over the last 10 years to see if it was more profitable to invest in Netcare shares or invest in a high interest savings bank.
In this article, I'm going to give you a breakdown on... ››› more
What is a government to do if it has added billions, or even trillions of rands of debt in a short amount of time?
South Africa's national debt increased 30% to R3.7 trillion in 2020. The US printed a fifth of all the money in all its history - in mere months.
Simply put - these amounts are too big to just pay back.
So, these governments need to use another tactic. The ‘raise cash' b... ››› more
It's that time of year again.
Investors and traders all around the world, have the ‘Old Adage' echoing in their heads.
"Sell in May and go away, then come back again on St Leger day".
News reporters, analysts and investing companies are warning people, to not buy stocks in May.
Whereas I like to do my own research, and show you why I don't follow the herd.
In this article, we... ››› more
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