Last week the Federal Reserve pushed US interest rates up by 0.75%. This was an attempt to fight inflation which has risen to multi-decade highs.
By raising interest rates, the Fed hopes to slow economic growth and stifle employment. This will reduce the demand for goods and services within the economy and (hopefully) get inflation under control.
It's important to understand reducing growth,... ››› more
The JSE crashed 14.45% between 2 March 2022 and 9 May 2022.
Similarly, the Dow Jones index in the USA is down 10.74% year to date of which half of this drop has been in the past month. And the S&P 500 index is down 14.75% year to date.
We hear about inflation, war, lockdowns, supply chain issues all as contributing to this bear market…
So, what is fuelling the market's drop - and are we... ››› more
It seems that uncertain times are ahead of us.
On the one hand we have the main stock markets crashing to new yearly lows.
Since March 2022:
The JSE All Share Index is down 9.6%
The SP500 has crashed over 14.6%
The Nasdaq has dropped over 20%
Also gold is down over 10% and some of the main crypto's like Bitcoin and Ethereum are down over 50%.
Some believe we are entering into a ... ››› more
If you've heard of ‘value investing', you may automatically think of Warren Buffett or Benjamin Graham, the man who coined the term - Value Investing - and, arguably the world's greatest value investor.
However, there's another person who revolutionised value investing, back in April 2000.
And he doesn't even invest!
He's a little-known accounting professor, who wrote a 57-page research... ››› more
Over the last few months, I've written quite a few rather bleak articles (to say the least). I've issued warning after warning about the state of the financial markets. So, if you follow my Money Morning column regularly, you may easily believe I'm a permabear. A permabear is someone who believes markets will fall no matter what the conditions on the ground look like.
Given my very negative sla... ››› more
Q. “Hi Timon, I have a R250,000 portfolio and I am using the special 2% risk rule per trade as you have taught us. Based on your last trade with Shoprite with the entry being R242 and your stop loss being R232.00 does this mean I should buy xxx CFD contracts in this trade?” Hi Pete,
The number of contracts purely depends on the how much money you deposit…
So if you have a portfolio of R2... ››› more
There are many economic signals that can accurately predict a recession.
A few weeks ago, I wrote about the “inverted yield curve”. It's a very strong predictor that economic growth will contract in the short-term.
Rapidly rising oil prices are another excellent indication that recession is hovering just over the horizon.
Historically speaking, high inflation combined with low unemp... ››› more
One electric vehicle maker is on a mission.
The mission?
To become the creator of the world's most sustainable vehicle!
And, the company is well on course to achieve this...
An EV to rival Tesla's
Fisker (NYSE: FSR) is a US EV manufacturer aiming to develop the world's most sustainable EV on the market - the Ocean SUV.
Some of the sustainable feature include…
Full length sola... ››› more
It looks like things are finally heading up with the world's markets since Russia invaded Ukraine in late February.
In fact, from the middle of February 2022 we have already seen the markets move up including:
7.6% for the JSE All share index
11.2% for UK's FTSE 100
8.8% for the Dow Jones 30
But that's not all…
The star index that I see major upside to come is showing the most prom... ››› more
By now, you've probably heard of sustainable investing…
Well, at the centre of sustainable investing is climate tech - the ecosystem of technology companies, financiers and providers of “green/clean” energy that do not produce emissions of carbon dioxide or CO2).
And right now an unparalleled wave of innovation is emerging to help solve the most pressing problems associated with decarb... ››› more
Small companies on the JSE have become popular takeover targets.
In 2021, 25 companies were delisted from the JSE, many of these were companies being bought out by management teams or acquiring companies from abroad.
Think of companies like Value Group, Adapt IT, Anchor Group and Spanjaard.
These companies are delisting because their share prices have remained too cheap - and that's creat... ››› more
We're all watching as Russia and Ukraine are in the midst of a bloody war. Over 3 million people have already been uprooted from their homes, and have fled Ukraine. All this following Russian President Vladimir Putin's address to his people announcing a “special military operation” in Ukraine to “denazify” the country.
We're experiencing the uncertainty a war like this brings.
The po... ››› more
As the war between Russia and the Ukraine continues to dominate headlines, we're starting to see a realignment of the global order. The US, and its allies in Europe, are driving the push back against the invasion.
You may find this astonishing (especially if you only get your news from US and European media outlets) but they're finding little support in the rest of the world. South America, Afr... ››› more
I'm finally getting a strong reason to buy gold.
Unfortunately, it comes off the back of bad news.
And this news, is a potential war brewing between many different countries.
If things escalate, it could be a World War 3 threat…
Already, Russia, Ukraine, the EU, America, and the UK are talking about attacks, hacks, sanctions and even war threats…
And guess what has been flying u... ››› more
A couple weeks ago, it was revealed that SA's inflation hit the highest level since 2017.
The number came in at 5.9%, but the reality is, prices for some goods and services seem to have doubled over the past year.
In response to rising inflation, SARB increased the repo rate to 4%.
The average SA consumer may not care all that much about inflation as a topic, but they sure as hell care ab... ››› more
The S&P 500 is arguably the most popular stock Index.
It contains the companies most widely owned by individual investors.
It also accounts for roughly 80% of the overall value of the stock market in the US.
And it's been a boon for investors who have held in their portfolio over the past decade.
But the era of high returns could be ending.
Let me explain…
... ››› more
US inflation came in at 7% on Wednesday.
This is so far beyond the US target rate of 2% it's terrifying.
To give you some perspective about how big a miss this is, our SA target rate is up to 6%. So, to miss it as much as the US did, our inflation rate would need to be 21%.
Up until recently, the US Fed argued they didn't have to raise interest rates to combat inflation, since it was “t... ››› more
Every year we start off with our biggest, boldest and best predictions for the coming 12 months.
How will the world around us change? What will stock markets do? And where do the biggest opportunities exist?
Five predictions to start off the year
Prediction #1 - The pandemic will end in 2022
It’s the prediction no one has been willing to make. Just as we think things are taking... ››› more
For many decades, we escaped reality through books, magazines, and movies.
In the future, we will escape via 3D-internet platforms, like VR gaming, virtual bars/clubs, and immersive shows and movies.
This future world, where the physical and the digital combine, to transform the online sphere into a more immersive, 3D experience is called the “Metaverse”.
And the metaverse is expected... ››› more
I sometimes imagine the stock market as a constant humming. Not the hubbub hum of an open outcry trading floor, nor the electrical buzz and click of servers and machines, but the whine of millions of voices guiding billions of dollars, rand and rupees into bets on global business profits, economic scarcity and the future direction of mankind. It's the droning roar of the engine that powers the wor... ››› more
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