Week after week, market commentators highlight how investors are not making positive returns in USD. The US dollar is king now, with it paying a positive yield and investors who have missed the gold rally are hording it. This has caused liquidity to be squeezed.
It's increasingly likely that President Trump will use the 1934 Gold Reserve Act to sell US Dollars and buy foreign currency as a way... ››› more
Markets have been incredibly skittish over the last week.
And, while there are many reasons for concern, one of the main issues driving share prices lower is fear over the “inverted yield curve”.
If you skim the financial news, you'll see headlines like:
“Yield curve inversion hammers US small banks”
“Bond market yield curve inverts, signalling Fed may be too slow to cut... ››› more
As Winston Churchill once said “Never let a good crisis go to waste”, we believe investors should be ensuring they have enough exposure to offshore assets that will be a hedge against a “deeper crisis” and should be slowly buying depressed local assets if they have cash on hand. Most investors have been sitting on the sidelines not fully exposed to equities
You can't blame local invest... ››› more
I'm sure you have seen the headlines signaling the Rand is on a downward spiral. We highlighted the Rand being at risk of weakness when it was below R13.90 to the USD two weeks ago. It's lost almost 3% but recovering steadily.
This bout of weakness is on the back of Eskom's new lifeline of R59 billion, over the next two years. After government committed R69 billion over three years earlier thi... ››› more
The rand has only just broken back below the key R14/$ level and I can tell from the client flows going through our treasury desk, many South Africans are once again keen to get money out of the country.
The USD/ZAR exchange rate was well over R15/$ just a few weeks ago.
This means, the rand has firmed up around +7.75% in the last month-and-a-half. Put another way, that's about a year's wo... ››› more
The Rand has staged a stellar rally. Strengthening from above R15 against the USD to below R13.90. It came within half a cent of our R13.8550 target against the USD but the price is consolidating. It's time to bank our profits after a 6.24% gain, with gearing your gain could have been more than ten times larger.
Trading the other way and going long the USD against the ZAR has good risk to rewa... ››› more
Bidcorp's attempted breakout above the R320 per share resistance level failed, this is the third time since 2017 that Bidcorp's share price failed to move above R320.
The share price has pulled back over 3% with further advances unlikely, investors should look to lock in profits as the share price is on a standard deviation of 2.4. This signals a pullback is likely, and a retracement has starte... ››› more
This Thursday is futures closeout from 12h00 until 12h15. During this time the market is in an auction as the June derivative contracts close with a final mark to market price. Typically, closeout presents many profit opportunities as banks, hedge funds and traders manage their positions. Their aim is to maximise profits on some positions and reduce risk of loss on others.
Stocks to watch are ... ››› more
Warren Buffett has many great investment quotes, but perhaps my favourite is “Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget rule No. 1”. This has never been more applicable than now. The world is about to become a far more uncertain place for investors as a series of political and economic events threaten to derail the global economy.
Number one on the list of threats is the US-Ch... ››› more
April is almost over, and I can't believe this is only my second structured product pick for 2018.
Originally, I planned to introduce at least one structured product per month, but the financial markets have just not played ball.
And, given the nature of these products, I would rather send you nothing than introduce you to a product that didn’t meet my stringent criteria.
You s... ››› more
As we enter 2018, many people are looking to diversify their portfolios.
Normally this would be an ideal time to invest offshore, but unfortunately offshore markets are at record highs. So it's difficult to find any value.
At the same time, staying in cash is not viable with global inflation edging up slowly.
So how can you diversify offshore without putting too much of your money at ... ››› more
Over the last couple of months, you may have heard about structured products and why they're an attractive investment class.
I've been writing about them for MoneyMorning since March.
But I've not had a chance to recommend one until today…
Let me explain why.
New Release: ‘Double your Money’ Stock Play Book for 2018 by Francois Joubert
This structure... ››› more
Regular readers will know I'm quite a fan of structured products.
The combination for capital protection and market related returns are very attractive in the current economic environment. Especially with international markets posting new all-time highs while downside risks to your portfolio seem to grow daily.
Over the last year or so, I have always been able to find one or two products e... ››› more
Since my last article on the subject of structured products I have received a number of enquiries from readers asking for more information. Due to the overwhelming response I decided to do this follow-up article and go over the most frequently asked questions.
First, for those who may not have read the original, here is a brief recap. I discussed a currently available structured product with ... ››› more
As it stands, we are at the tail end of an eight-year bull market and, by most estimates, markets in the developed world are massively overpriced versus historical levels.
When we have seen such conditions in the past, global markets almost always fell dramatically within a year or two.
Adding to this risk is the fact that the US Fed, the European Central Bank and a number of other central ... ››› more
In this uncertain environment, investors want capital protection while not wanting to miss market performance.
Normally as an investment advisor, I would say it is impossible to have both, security and market exposure.
But the good news is, there's now a way to tap into an investment that provide exactly this.
This investment is only available for a limited time. So you... ››› more
Imagine a country with massive amounts of natural resources.
The richest economy in its region.
However, there are signs of trouble, including rising inequality and societal unrest.
To combat this the government is turning to populism by taxing the rich, confiscating assets and dramatically increasing the redistribution of funds to the poor.
This is not South Africa in 2017 I am t... ››› more
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