Markets have been incredibly skittish over the last week.
And, while there are many reasons for concern, one of the main issues driving share prices lower is fear over the “inverted yield curve”.
If you skim the financial news, you'll see headlines like:
“Yield curve inversion hammers US small banks”
“Bond market yield curve inverts, signalling Fed may be too slow to cut... ››› more
As Winston Churchill once said “Never let a good crisis go to waste”, we believe investors should be ensuring they have enough exposure to offshore assets that will be a hedge against a “deeper crisis” and should be slowly buying depressed local assets if they have cash on hand. Most investors have been sitting on the sidelines not fully exposed to equities
You can't blame local invest... ››› more
I'm sure you have seen the headlines signaling the Rand is on a downward spiral. We highlighted the Rand being at risk of weakness when it was below R13.90 to the USD two weeks ago. It's lost almost 3% but recovering steadily.
This bout of weakness is on the back of Eskom's new lifeline of R59 billion, over the next two years. After government committed R69 billion over three years earlier thi... ››› more
EOH's share price has pulled back and our stop loss at R24 helped us protect 71% of our gains. The share price has pulled back to R20.00 and the company has indicated the forensic inquiry has identified R1.2 billion in suspicious payments.
This is not a massive number and signals that the turn around in EOH will materialize over the coming months as Stephen van Coller delivers on his strategy. ... ››› more
The rand has only just broken back below the key R14/$ level and I can tell from the client flows going through our treasury desk, many South Africans are once again keen to get money out of the country.
The USD/ZAR exchange rate was well over R15/$ just a few weeks ago.
This means, the rand has firmed up around +7.75% in the last month-and-a-half. Put another way, that's about a year's wo... ››› more
President Trump's willingness to get around the negotiating table has sparked a risk on rally, with safe havens like Gold, Yen and the Swiss Franc pulling back.
President Trump said he would hold back on new tariffs and China would buy more farm products. He also indicated the US Commerce Department could decide if Huawei should be removed off the list of banned firms and can do so without go... ››› more
Bidcorp's attempted breakout above the R320 per share resistance level failed, this is the third time since 2017 that Bidcorp's share price failed to move above R320.
The share price has pulled back over 3% with further advances unlikely, investors should look to lock in profits as the share price is on a standard deviation of 2.4. This signals a pullback is likely, and a retracement has starte... ››› more
This Thursday is futures closeout from 12h00 until 12h15. During this time the market is in an auction as the June derivative contracts close with a final mark to market price. Typically, closeout presents many profit opportunities as banks, hedge funds and traders manage their positions. Their aim is to maximise profits on some positions and reduce risk of loss on others.
Stocks to watch are ... ››› more
Take a moment to look at following logos:
Behind these logos are some of the strongest, blue-chip companies on the planet.
These global companies have such a broad reach that even today, at the tip of Africa, you’ll likely recognize some, if not most, of the brands.
6 Shares... ››› more
Theresa May's recent (modified) Brexit deal has again been convincingly beaten in the House of Commons.
Although it was by a smaller margin than before, it was however still a strong rebuke of her overall deal.
So, what’s next?
At the time of writing we were about to face a vote by MPs that will determine whether or not the UK wants to leave the EU with no deal in... ››› more
The Rand has been one of the strongest EM currencies in the past few weeks, but the strength will be short lived. The Rand has been boosted by a dovish FED, an ECB trying to balance monetary policy and economic growth, and the easing of Trade War fears. But all the positives are fickle and cautious investors should be looking a few steps ahead.
Investors looking to diversify off... ››› more
April is almost over, and I can't believe this is only my second structured product pick for 2018.
Originally, I planned to introduce at least one structured product per month, but the financial markets have just not played ball.
And, given the nature of these products, I would rather send you nothing than introduce you to a product that didn’t meet my stringent criteria.
You s... ››› more
As we enter 2018, many people are looking to diversify their portfolios.
Normally this would be an ideal time to invest offshore, but unfortunately offshore markets are at record highs. So it's difficult to find any value.
At the same time, staying in cash is not viable with global inflation edging up slowly.
So how can you diversify offshore without putting too much of your money at ... ››› more
Over the last couple of months, you may have heard about structured products and why they're an attractive investment class.
I've been writing about them for MoneyMorning since March.
But I've not had a chance to recommend one until today…
Let me explain why.
New Release: ‘Double your Money’ Stock Play Book for 2018 by Francois Joubert
This structure... ››› more
According to a poll by Kantar Public, Cyril Ramaphosa's support as next ANC president rose to 43% in November from 36% in August. He is also leading the nominations, Ramaphosa has an over 500 branch lead. A lot can still happen in the next few weeks, so, watch this space. As the saying goes, plan for the worst, hope for the best.
Additional tail winds for a global rally is the traction being m... ››› more
Q.Hi Timon, I have seen a lot of flushes about options trading. What is your view about trading options? Is it something one can consider to embark on?
Answer by Timon Rossolimos:
Options trading is one of the most complicated forms of trading as you have to consider the variables of Delta, theta and gamma...
I would stick to CFDs with trading as the returns are similar and the finan... ››› more
The Rand strengthened 3.3% last week on a weaker US Dollar, higher appetite for risk assets and a court ruling indicating President Zuma could face corruption charges - that were previously withdrawn.
Support for Cyril Ramaphosa as the ANC's next leader is growing. A Bloomberg survey of 26 political analysts has 16 of them expecting Ramaphosa to pip Dlamini-Zuma - with which we concur. A Ramph... ››› more
The Top40 index is up 15.5% year to date, which is a result of Naspers and Richemont. In fact, if you strip out NPN and CFR, the Top40 index would be down 0.50%.
We've had a buy on both shares this year, and remain invested.
Global markets are working in tandem and hitting record highs, this week we have Federal Open Market Committee minutes and Mario Draghi, all eyes are on any indication... ››› more
Regular readers will know I'm quite a fan of structured products.
The combination for capital protection and market related returns are very attractive in the current economic environment. Especially with international markets posting new all-time highs while downside risks to your portfolio seem to grow daily.
Over the last year or so, I have always been able to find one or two products e... ››› more
Imagine turning on the TV and finding the following Infomercial:
We are giving you the opportunity to invest in the S&P500. It is the world’s premier equity index, dwarfing the JSE. Receive dollar based returns while getting exposure to some of the world's largest and most innovative companies including Apple, Berkshire Hathaway and Caterpillar.
But that’s not all, we also gi... ››› more
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