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The Fed

  • Should you be afraid of the looming recession? And what to do about it…
  • US bond markets recently went into inversion. This is when short-term interest rates are higher than long-term interest rates. And what this can mean is a recession is around the corner. In this case, markets are anticipating a recession sometime in the next 6 to 24 months. But, even if you don't look at such a “technical” indicator, it should be clear the risk of recession is high. T... ››› more
  • [04 April 2022]
  • Why the big names in finance have changed their tune on Bitcoin
  • For years, some high profile, investors and economists as well as governments have denounced bitcoin. They've called bitcoin “evil” A useless asset… A giant bubble… And declared it “dead” over 400 times. But the digital asset has persisted and converted some of its most critical sceptics… ------------------------------------------------------------------------------... ››› more
  • [23 March 2022]
  • I think it's GAME-OVER for the South African Rand in 2022
  • Since last year, emerging currencies have been falling. Scrap that… CRASHING… We aren't sure why exactly, but I think it's all down to what is happening with the US. You see, the FED is expecting to raise their interest rates this year. This will help dampen the inflation rate. As this is good for the GDP and the economy, it will lead to US dollar strength and weakness among o... ››› more
  • [21 February 2022]
  • What could possibly go wrong in 2022?
  • Following a shocking 2020, we had a strong economic recovery in 2021. The US index, S&P 500 ended 2021 up 27%. Its best three year stretch since 1999. The Dow was up 19% on the year, while the Nasdaq gained 21%. Over the last three years, the S&P 500 is up 90%. The JSE All Share index returned 24% for the year (29% including dividends), with the Top 40 shares on the JSE growing 19% (total re... ››› more
  • [22 January 2022]
  • AVOID the S&P 500 index in 2022 - Here's why…
  • The S&P 500 is arguably the most popular stock Index. It contains the companies most widely owned by individual investors. It also accounts for roughly 80% of the overall value of the stock market in the US. And it's been a boon for investors who have held in their portfolio over the past decade. But the era of high returns could be ending. Let me explain… ... ››› more
  • [19 January 2022]
  • What does the US inflation figure mean for your portfolio?
  • US inflation came in at 7% on Wednesday. This is so far beyond the US target rate of 2% it's terrifying. To give you some perspective about how big a miss this is, our SA target rate is up to 6%. So, to miss it as much as the US did, our inflation rate would need to be 21%. Up until recently, the US Fed argued they didn't have to raise interest rates to combat inflation, since it was “t... ››› more
  • [18 January 2022]
  • Three themes that could dominate 2022
  • Incredibly, it's already that time of year when brokers, banks and analysts' dust off their crystal balls and start making wild predictions on what will happen to financial markets over the next 12 months. Now, it's important for you to remember, that no matter how fancy the title of the person making predictions, or how prestigious the institution, the future has a way of surprising us all. ... ››› more
  • [12 January 2022]
  • Why the rising petrol price is here to stay
  • The petrol price in South Africa is breaking the R20 a litre level. December 2020 it sold for R14.26 a litre. That's an increase of 41.6% Sure - the 2020 level for petrol prices was a low base. Covid reduced demand and the oil price was really low. But the huge increases we're seeing now are hurting - and they'll definitely affect business as well. -------------------------------------------... ››› more
  • [03 December 2021]
  • I'm no Nostradamus - But the rand is in major trouble
  • The rand has really taken a beating this year.    In July I wrote an article, From Lockdown 4 to Jumanji - Here's why I'm selling the rand. I predicted that the rand would fall from R14.30 to R15.58.   This was due to local reasons such as the looting that took place, the slow vaccination roll-out as well as a bearish chart pattern.    And to catch you up, you... ››› more
  • [23 November 2021]
  • How to profit from the 2021 Dollar Decline!​
  • The amount of available dollars is on the rise... In simple terms, as dollars become more plentiful, their value drops. Dollars are less scarce, so individuals and businesses are less worried about having access to them when needed. The Federal Reserve has been a huge driver of this. It's doing whatever it can to support economic growth. Currently, the Fed's purchasing roughly $120 bil... ››› more
  • [26 January 2021]
  • Investors are looking left… when they should be looking right
  • The only thing on investors' minds right now is the US election. At the time of writing the final votes have yet to be tallied. Right now, many battleground states are still up for grabs, with Pennsylvania looking like the key to victory. Trump has already claimed the win and approached the courts filing multiple lawsuits in most of the swing states. He's demanded a recount in Wisconsin. A... ››› more
  • [06 November 2020]
  • The Week Ahead - Apple and Tesla share splits
  • Some big-name companies announced stock splits and today is an important day for investors. Apple (APPL) shares split four for one on Friday close. This means it will start trading today at 25% of its closing price of $499.23 on Friday. This is the fifth time its split in 33 years. If Apple never did these share splits, 1 share would be changing hands at almost $29,000, from an IPO price of $2... ››› more
  • [01 September 2020]
  • MY GOLD TARGET: REACHED
  • On 1 April 2020, I sent out an article: This precious metal just proved its safe-haven status during the world-wide lockdown At the time, gold was trading at $1,450. I predicted (based on a Megaphone Formation) that the price was heading to $1,960. This was due to the following factors at the time… • The Fed printed over $2 trillion stimulus package for households and business... ››› more
  • [24 August 2020]
  • Forget Gold… This is the best precious metal to buy right now!
  • I'm talking about silver… You see, silver is used in three main industries: • Jewellery (30% demand) (Bracelets, necklaces, rings, coins etc…) • Industrial (50% demand) (Electronics, solar panels, 5G tech, silverware & electric vehicles) • Investment as a form of a safe haven And now we're seeing more cars on the road, factories opening their doors and investor sentiment is... ››› more
  • [20 July 2020]
  • REVEALED: The deepest US recession and yet I expect another 27% rally for the S&P500
  • Did you know… The US economy is in the deepest recession in living memory. Also, the US Federal rate has dropped from 2.25%, taking the borrowing interest rate to 0.25%. And yet, in the last quarter, the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 have baffled the world having the best quarterly rallies since 1998. In the last three months, each stock market has surged more than 20%. Now I don... ››› more
  • [06 July 2020]
  • The gold price is heading for $2,000, even $3,000, here's how to profit
  • The gold price is up 55% in the past 12 months in rand terms! In dollar terms its up 13% this quarter alone - making for its best quarter in years. It currently hovers just below $1,800 - but all indications are that it will hit the $2,000 mark soon.       ________________________________________   Discover: 103% gains on the table for savvy investors, thanks to this... ››› more
  • [02 July 2020]
  • My Structured Product Pick for June 2020
  • It's very hard to make sense of markets right now. On the one hand, it's crystal clear the economy is in a mess. Unemployment is even higher than the worst of the Global Financial Crisis of 2008. The damage done by lockdowns cannot be easily undone. On the other hand, governments have pumped unprecedented amounts of money into the system and the market seems to be on an unstoppable rise. J... ››› more
  • [19 June 2020]
  • 4 Reasons why I also expect the JSE to hit new all-time highs
  • Last week I mentioned that the worst was finally over for America and that I expected the Dow Jones to hit new all-time highs. This was based on three things… • The boost in confidence as the economy was starting to re-open. • Two bio-tech companies announced the progress of future vaccines for the coronavirus. • The federal reserve to inject $600 billion for SME (Small-Medium En... ››› more
  • [08 June 2020]
  • Why gold's little sister is becoming more attractive
  • This year, I've been a precious metal bullion. I've made predictions on gold, platinum and I've sent out 7 trade ideas to Red Hot Storm Trader. Fortunately, the trades I've made have been correct 5 out of 7 times including: AGL 47.09% BIL -27.87% AGL -46.43% ANG 82.20% KIO 50.51% AGL 103.79% ANG 50.34% These resource companies have helped me back a 259% gain for ... ››› more
  • [04 May 2020]
  • JSE ALSI: TARGET REACHED ✔️
  • On 3 February 2020, I sent out an article: WARNING: The deadliest threat to the JSE At the time the JSE All Share Index was trading at 55,000… I predicted that the index would drop to 50,405 in a couple of weeks…   ________________________________________   Did you miss ANOTHER triple-digit gain this last week?   Those canny Pickpocket Traders didn’t - thi... ››› more
  • [03 April 2020]
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